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Thursday, November 29, 2007

Week 13 Sleepers GURU Style!

Week 13 is suppose to be the bad luck week, but we have 10 good sleepers for you this week. Here we go:

Trent Dilfer QB, (SAN) - He did well last week, and this week he should do just as well against Carolina. Look for 2 TDs and 225 yards.

Lendal White RB, (TEN) - He was bad last week and looks to bounce back against a soft Houston defense. We see 100+ yards and a TD.

Selvin Young RB, (DEN) - With Hall hurt this game belongs to Young, which many managers are probably overlooking. He will own the Oakland defense to a tune of 125 yards and 2 TDs.

Patrick Crayton WR, (DAL) - He's been quiet lately, but will find the end zone again with at least 4 catches and 60 yards.

Bobby Engram WR, (SEA) - With Hackett out Engram should get allot of looks. He will also find the end zone.

Vernon Davis TE, (SAN) - Dilfer knows how to find him and will find him 5 times for a TD and 65 yards.

Reggie Williams WR, (JAC) - Garrard will be in a shootout with Manning. He won't keep up with him, but he should find Reggie Williams for a TD, maybe 2.

St. Louis DEF - This is a great match up for them against Atlanta. If you need a good plug in defense look to these guys.

NY Jets DEF - They are playing Miami and we see a DTD or even a STTD from the Jets. Miami cannot score, and shouldn't score much.

Sidney Rice WR, (MIN) - This guy has 4 TDs on the year and will look to pad his stats against a week Detroit secondary. T. Jackson will throw to him all day and find him in the end zone 1-2 times. This should be a big game for Rice.

Good Luck!

Week 13 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 12 brings tough match ups for the good QBs and RBs, but provides for WRs and TES. Does that make sense? Yes, and we will show you.
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Drew Brees
Peyton Manning
Ben Roethlisberger
Derek Anderson
Tony Romo
Kurt Warner
Phillip Rivers
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Matt Hasslebeck
Tom Brady - This is not Brady's best week. He'll throw maybe 2 TDs and 275 yards.
Matt Schaub
Eli Manning
David Garrard
Jason Campbell
Jon Kitna
Brett Farve
Jeff Garcia
Jay Cutler
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Carson Palmer - In Pittsburgh. He's getting better, but I think this will be more of a grudge match. Starting Palmer is a tough call, but you have too.
Marcc Bulger - He's hurt and if he's smart he won't play this week. He has a good match up, but one hit could take him out. I'd stay away.
Trent Edwards - Washington is hurting from the loss of a fellow teammate. They will be playing this game for Taylor, but how much heart will they have, and how badly will they miss Taylor as a shutdown safety?
Harrington - I would never recommend starting Harrington, so the risk is simple. Good match up on turf, but he's Joey.
Kellen Clemens & John Beck - 2 bad defenses and to bad teams. Miami will get its first win of the season, and we think these two guys will throw allot. We don't recommend starting them unless you are in a super deep 14 team league or something like that.
Drew Brees - If Haynesworth plays, Brees will be in trouble against Tennessee on the road. However, he has played well. Watch if Haynesworth plays and make your decision based on that.
Kyle Boller - After what AJ Feely did, why not Boller and at home!
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Rex Grossman
Duante Culpepper
Vince Young
Brodie Croyle
Philadelphia QB

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Willie Parker
Joseph Addai
Maurice Jones-Drew
Brian Westbrook - Check injury status
Stephen Jackson
LaDainian Tomlinson
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Reggie Bush
Adrian Peterson (Chicago)
Jamal Lewis
Marion Barber
Willis McGahee
Kevin Faulk
Ernest Graham
Justin Fargas
Thomas Jones
Clinton Portis
Frank Gore
Kolby Smith
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Derrick Ward - If he plays in a solid #2 Runningback. Start him.
Adrian Peterson (Minnesota) - If he's plays he won't get all the carries and will probably go easy on his knees. On the other hand its Detroit and he could have a filed day. Choose wisely.
Warrick Dunn - Dunn can own the Rams and take over the game. The question is, do you trust him? We think you should.
Maurice Morris - He'll get his carries, but don't be surprised if the Eagles hold him and force Hasslebeck to pass more. Consider him a low #3 runningback this week.
Edgerrin James - You tell me? Good match up, but Arizona passes way too much.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Jessie Chatman
Kevin Jones
Ron Dayne
Julius Jones
Rudi Johnson/K. Watson
Ron Grant
DeShaun Foster
Chester Taylor
Laurence Maroney

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Roy Williams
Joey Galloway
Hines Ward
Santonio Holmes
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Torry Holt
Donald Driver
Andre Johnson
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Plaxico Burress
Braylon Edwards
Santana Moss
Anquin Boldin
Wes Welker
Randy Moss
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Chad Johnson
Marques Colston
Chris Chambers
Roddy White
Brandon Marshall
Greg Jennings
Amani Toomer
Ronald Curry
Calvin Johnson
Santana Moss
Chris Henry
Deion Branch
Justin Gage
Shaun McDonald
Isaac Bruce
Jerricho Cotchery
Steve Smith
Benard Berrian
Donte Stallworth
Joe Jurevicius
Anthony Gonzalez
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Lee Evans - Edwards is starting and that's not good for Evans. However, Washington is without its best defensive player and can be passed on.
Dwayne Bowe - He's got the rookie throwing to him, but a soft defense. Its a hard call. We like the match up, just worry about the QB.
Kevin Curits - This is a great match up for Curtis, but we don't know which QB will throw to him and if he can get the ball in his hands. Very risky.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Brandon Stokley
Marty Booker
David Patten
Antwaan Randle El
M. Muhammad
Jerry Porter
Vincent Jackson

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Jason Whitten
Donald Lee
Antonio Gates
Leonard Pope
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Tony Gonzalez
Jeremy Shockey
Dallas Clark
Bo Scaife
LJ Smith
Tony Scheffler
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Tod Heap - I never know if this guy is playing. If he is, he could have a nice game against New England.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Eric Johnson
Alge Crumpler
Desmond Clark
Randy McMichaels
Marcus Pollard
Mercedes Lewis
Chris Baker
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Seattle
New England
Pittsburgh
San Diego
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Tennessee
Dallas
NY Giants
Houston
Detroit
Indianapolis
Philadelphia
Minnesota
Chicago
Tampa Bay
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Washington - This defense is playing the the death of its best player. Its really hard to deal with that, andlose such a valuable memeber of the team. We do expect hem to come out and play the best game of their lives.
Atlanta - If Bulger is out, play them. If he's in, bench them.
Kansas City - Its a good match up for them, but in the end they have a rookie QB so they could be on the field allot.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
San Francisco
Baltimore
Jacksonville
Oakland
Arizona
New Orleans
Denver
Green Bay
Miami
Carolina
Cleveland
Cincinnati
Buffalo


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wendsday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Wednsday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show or listen to a replay of the show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

The True GURU Wins All 3 Games in Week 12! 31-5 Overall!




Week 12 was a great week full of tough match ups. I managed to win in all three leagues and tacked on another 3-0 week. I clinched my final playoff berth spot that I could in the FOX Sports league with a 10-2 record and 2 games left. In the Yahoo! league I remained 12-0 and I've kept the dream undefeated season alive. This week I face a good team and an ol' rival PACKERS. Funny, its the same week my Cowboys play his Packers. In the CBS League I cemented my already fantastic season with a great win over an old friend. I've had the top score in this league 2 of the last 3 weeks, and as far as my division goes the last 3 weeks.
Lets checkout the results. Overall for the season I'm 31-5:

FOX Sports League - LV Cowboys (10-2) 125.5 - Bayou Bengals (3-9) 52.6
My FOX league team clinched a playoff berth with a decisive blowout over a weak yet rival opponent in the Bayou Bengals. Beat down with injuries, this is the same manager who commands the CBS Sportsline league with The GOAT team. I had outstanding performances finally from my Colts in Manning and Wayne. Marion Barber also came through along with my Chicago defense. As you can see by the score, my team played well.


CBS Sportsline - Lv Cowboys (9-3) 208.84 - TITS (4-8) 168.87
This match was much closer than it looked. TITS was loaded with 4 Turkey Day players and I only carried Marion Barber and he exploded with a huge lead going into Sunday with Manning leading the way. I stormed back early Sunday with Chad Johnson and Derek Anderson, but I put it away when he lost Benson and Gates caught 2 TDs. Westbrook closed out over Hines Ward for the big win.

Yahoo! League - LV Cowboys (12-0) 126.01 - Manticores (1-11) 92.2
I had a considerably easy match this week compared to the last few weeks and the next two weeks. Tony Romo opened this week great for me, along with Chad Johnson. With those two I was carried to victory. Next week will be the toughest challenge of the season for me in this league against the Packers who have won 4 straight and have such a good team I'm not the favorite. The injury bug has been hitting me. I was without Jacobs and Lynch last week, and it looks like I'll lose them this week along with Hackett. I did get Deion Branch back.




Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wednesday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Week 12 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 12 was a great week for us at least from a consistency point-of-view. We averaged over 60% in all categories including 74% in correctly called QBs. With 116 picks (A record for us), we were correct on 68% of them. We have been hovering around the 65% range, which is good, but we are still trying to gt to the golden pot and break back into the 70% range. Since we are calling games on Wed we don't always know all the injuries. We will try to put a check injury status next to possibly hurt players. Others we just won't call for the week since its too up in the air. Sometimes we may not know for sure if a QB will start. We recommended benching Cleo Lemon. We were pretty sure Beck was going to play, so we wanted to make sure Lemon was benched. As for not calling Beck. I really didn't feel like wasting my time telling the readers to bench Beck against the Steelers.

Our sleepers were excellent this week with 6.5 (See below on the .5) successful calls out of 10. We are very pleases getting 65% of our sleepers correct, which in our eyes is incredibly good for sleepers.


Here is a rundown for week 10 with all the numbers:
QB's 14/19 Correct ( 74%)
RB's 14/21 Correct (67%)
WR's 25/40 Correct ( 63%)
TE's 9/15 Correct (61%)
DEF's 17/27 Correct (63%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 79/116 Correct (68%) Last week 72/111 Correct (64%) "Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (14/19 74%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We were 6/9for 73% here. Most of the top QBs had a great week. Eli Manning, Big Ben, and Matt Hasslebeck had tough weeks. The other six had 2 or more TDs.

2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had amazing success here with 6 out of 7 QB's having great games with the only let done being Marc Bulger who left the game with a concussion. Palmer, Rivers, and Farve had awesome days.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 3 QB's and got burned by Trent Dilfer. I have a feeling everyone did.


RUNNINGBACKS (14/21 67%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
This wasn't the best week for top notch RBs. We recommended 8 and only 4 came through. Marion Barber, Maurice Jones-Drew, and Ron Grant had stellar performances. Reggie Bush and Lendal White our heroes from USC were major busts.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We were much improved here with 7 out of 9 correct calls to start at runningback. Brian Westbrook, Willis McGahee, LaDainian Tomlinson, Ernest Graham, Chester Taylor, and Justin Fargas had great games. Cedric Benson was a bust, but left the game with a season ending knee injury.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
Again, Jamal Lewis has burned us. Wow. All the rest you hopefully benched.


WIDE RECEIVERS (25/40 63%)

1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we gave you 13 WR's to start and 5 let us down for the second week in a row. Those 5 were BIG names like Andre Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Randy Moss, Torry Holt, and Anquin Boldin had BUST games. Larry Fitzgerald and Greg Jennings came up big.


2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
This tier had 16 picks and we only got 50% right. Wow, outside of great performances by Chad Johnson, Benard Berrian, and Issac Bruce there isn't a whole lot more to talk abut. Just terrible.

4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 8 WRs, and we were on target all, but two for the second straight week. Roddy White and Arnez Battle burned us. I don't think we will say that again this season.

TIGHT ENDS (9/15 61%)

Tight Ends To Start:
We got 4/8 in this tier. Tightends didn't do much this week. Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark, Jason Whitten, and Kevin Winslow had great games.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
We did better in this tier picking 3/5 correct. Antonio Gates stands out here, along with Tony Scheffler.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Vernon Davis, Desmond Clark, and Alge Crumpler again this week. This time we got burned by Vernon Davis and the hot new Dilfer-to-Davis connection.
DEFENSES (17/27 63%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
We did well in this tier with 7/9. 5/8 correct. Arizona and Seattle were busts, and New England did poorly, but did get turnovers and scored a DTD.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Ok, where do we start. We got 2 out of 7 right. Those were Tampa Bay and Washington ans we aren't bragging about those calls. Just terrible.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

We told you to bench 11 defenses in fear of heavy scoring. 2 burned us and had good performances. Believe it or not those two teams were Miami (in heavy rain) and Cincinnati. Yeah...

SLEEPERS 6.5/10 65%)

Oakland, DEF - 17 points, under 300 yards, 3 sacks, FF, and INT. Not bad for a one shot start.

Chris Chambers, SAN (WR) - 5 catches for only 22 yards, but he got his TD.

Anthony Gonzalez, IND (WR) - 6 catches for 105 yards, we will take that. We hoped for the TD, but he did well.

Kellen Clemens, NYJ (QB) - We expected more against the Cowboys. He was over matched and outplayed.

Vince Young, TEN (QB) - Disappointment of the week. Allot of readers said this wasn't a sleeper. THEY WERE RIGHT!

Kolby Smith KAN, (RB) - 150 yards and 2TD's. GREAT CALL!

Frank Gore, SAN (RB) - I knew he was due to explode. 148 yards and 2 TDs.

James Jones, Green Bay (WR) - In a reception point league 5 catches for 75 nets you 10 points. Here is the .5 in our average. He was kinda good. HE OUTPLAYED RANDY MOSS!

Ron Dayne , HOU (RB) - 85 total yards isn't anything to bragg at.

David Garrard - 300 yards and a TD. I'll take that!


Thursday, November 22, 2007

Week 12 Sleepers GURU Style!

Here are the week 12 sleepers. We have plenty of good ones for you. We hope to get at least 7/10 for you guys, but 10/10 would be awesome. Here we go:


Oakland, DEF - This defense is ragged, but has talent. They are facing a rookie QB and RB. Look for some success for Oakland including 3-4 turnovers and a possible TD.

Chris Chambers, SAN (WR) - He hasn't had much success in San Deigo, but we feel that will change this week. Look for 90 yards and a TD.

Anthony Gonzalez, IND (WR) - Its him and Wayne. He hs to get allot of looks and he'll catch some. Check his injury status. He should be good to go, and good for a TD.

Kellen Clemens, NYJ (QB) - The Jets will fall behind the Cowboys and you can throw on them. He will be forced to throw the ball 35-40 times and show get 1-2 TDs and 275 yards.

Vince Young, TEN (QB) - He is facing Cincinnati. That has to be good. If he is going to pull out of his funk, this is the week.

Kolby Smith KAN, (RB) - He's a rookie, but facing a horrible defense. If he can hold onto the ball he should rack up 120 yards and a TD.

Frank Gore, SAN (RB) - He's been mostly bad this season, but we feel he poised for a great game and Arizona is in his sites.

James Jones, Green Bay (WR) - He's facing Detroit, and could find some open looks. Look for a TD.

Ron Dayne , HOU (RB) - He's stepping in for Green and should have a solid game against a weak Cleveland run defense.

David Garrard - We see him having a big game vs Buffalo. Look for 2-3 TDs (Running and Passing), and 300 yards. Buffalo cannot contain anyone.

Happy Thanksgiving!

Week 12 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 12 brings many tough match ups as good defenses are piled up against good offenses. The results are low fantasy points. No fear there are still plenty of good match ups to consider like the Jets at Dallas or Philly at New England.
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Tom Brady
Drew Brees
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Ben Roethlisberger
Derek Anderson
Tony Romo
Matt Hasslebeck
Matt Schaub
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Phillip Rivers
Jon Kitna
Brett Farve
Kurt Warner
Carson Palmer
Marc Bulger
Jay Cutler
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Duante Culpepper - At this point I wouldn't start or touch this guy.
Jeff Garcia - The Washington secondary is tough and will be head hunting after getting burned by Dallas. Not a good match up for Garcia.
Rex Grossman - We actually like this match up and he's at home. If you need a desperate QB start, what the heck. Give him a hot.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Trent Dilfer
Joey Harrington/Byron Leftwich
Cleo Lemon

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Willie Parker
Joseph Addai
Marion Barber
Maurice Jones-Drew
Ron Grant
Reggie Bush
Lendal White
Maurice Morris
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Stephen Jackson
Brian Westbrook
Willis McGahee
LaDainian Tomlinson
Ernest Graham
Justin Fargas
Chester Taylor
Cedric Benson
DeShaun Foster
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Edgerrin James - This game has shootout written all over it. He may get 10-12 carries. He can catch some passes, but doubtful.
Kevin Jones - This guy is hit or miss. Detroit will have to mix things up to beat Green Bay, so they have to ball control and run allot. We thin he's a great start this week, but again its hit or miss.
Rudi Johnson - He's having a terrible year, but at some point this team has to have a good game. Tennessee is not the ideal match up, but he could do well.
Selvin Young - His primary risk is how many carries will he give up to Andre Hall. Otherwise he is a solid start this week.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Jessie Chatman
Jamal Lewis
Clinton Portis
Warrick Dunn
Thomas Jones

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Hines Ward
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Torry Holt
Greg Jennings
Andre Johnson
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Plaxico Burress
Braylon Edwards
Marques Colston
Anquin Boldin
Wes Welker
Randy Moss
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Roy Williams
Joey Galloway
Chad Johnson
Amani Toomer
Ronald Curry
Santana Moss
Chris Henry
DJ Hackett
Patrick Crayton
Deion Branch - (Check his injury status)
Shaun McDonald
Isaac Bruce
Jerricho Cotchery
Brandon Stokley
Steve Smith
Benard Berrian
Donte Stallworth
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Lee Evans - He's good and can burn New England. I think Buffalo will give them a run for their money.
Donald Driver - We think Farve will have a hard time in Detroit. When he throws TDs it will likely b Lee or Jennings getting the TDs.
Dwayne Bowe - He's got the rookie throwing to him, but a soft defense. Its a hard call. We like the match up, just worry about the QB.
Brandon Marshall - On the road against the Bears. We see lots of hand-offs. Bench.
Bobby Engram - If Branch is back and with the emergence of Hackett, Engram's looks will fall off quite a bit.
Derrick Mason - I have no idea what Baltimore is doing, but its not good for Mason.
David Patten - For NOW he's fallen off the map.
Calvin Johnson - Has potential for a good game, but can be over matched by the aggressive Green Bay defense.
Lee Evans - Loseman will be running for his life the whole game. That doesn't bode well for Evans, buthe can still catch a bomb or 2.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Arnez Battle
Marty Booker
Antwaan Randle El
M. Muhammad
Jerry Porter
Vincent Jackson
Roydell Williams
Roddey White

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
Bo Scaife
Jason Whitten
Donald Lee
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
Jeremy Shockey
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Tony Gonzalez
Antonio Gates
LJ Smith
Tony Scheffler
Eric Johnson
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Todd Heap - Big risk. His quarterback isn't there and he's rusty.
Leonard Pope - He can catch TD passes, but nothing else. BIG RISK.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Vernon Davis
Alge Crumpler
Desmond Clark
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Seattle
New England
Dallas
Arizona
Chicago
Pittsburgh
San Diego
Jacksonville
Indianapolis
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Tennessee
Kansas City
Denver
Tampa Bay
Green Bay
Baltimore
Washington
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
New Orleans - Another risky week for New Orleans, but they can over-match Carolina. Philadelphia
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
San Francisco
Philadelphia
Miami
Minnesota
Carolina
Cleveland
Atlanta
Cincinnati
St. Louis
Buffalo
NY Jets


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Wendsday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Wednsday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show or listen to a replay of the show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

The True GURU Goes 2-1 in Week 11 for a 28-5 overall season!

Week 11 was a solid week for me with some very tough match ups. I lost in the FOX Sports league to a division foe who was 5-5 and fighting for a playoff spot. I managed to pull out a huge win in my CBS league, and clinched a playoff berth with the win. IN the Yahoo! league, my dream season at 11-0 continues.
Lets checkout the results. Overall for the season I'm 28-5.

FOX Sports League - CHI TOWN (6-5) 87.9 - LV Cowboys (9-2) 61.8
My FOX league team had the chance to clinch a playoff berth this week and failed miserably. Hardly anyone on my team performed well or at all. My busts this week are (its a long list) Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Marion Barber, Chicago defense, and Nick Folk. To leave a a positive note, I got Anquan Boldin back in my starting lineup and he performed well. Other honorable mentions go to Cooley and Colston. I should clinch next week.


CBS Sportsline - Lv Cowboys (8-3) 199.42 - LV Ravens (4-7) 198.47
This was a extremely close match that went down to the wire. I clinched a playoff berth with this win cementing that I will be in the playoffs in all three leagues. This match wasn't even close until Romo threw 2 TDs to TO in the 4th quarter and Gould added points with a BS field goal at the end of the Chicago game. I owe this game to great performance from Larry Fitzgerald, Braylon Edwards, Janikowski, and Green Bay defense. Gates and Westbrook also did well. I did pick up Kurt Warner for a spot start and he performed good as well.

Yahoo! League - LV Cowboys (11-0) 96.1 - Sassy Raiders (6-4) 83.80
This was a tough match up and I was bailed out by my QB Romo who almost cost me the game in the CBS league. I also grabbed DJ Hackett off of free agency and played him. he was great. Outside of Romo and Hacket, Jacobs and Jones-Drew did very well for me. Chad Johnson, Winslow, and Gore did not.

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set.

Monday, November 19, 2007

Week 11 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 11 was a good week for us. With 112 picks, we were correct on 64% of them. We have been hovering around the 65% range, which is good, but I'd like to break back into the 70% range. We were again great with 76% accuracy with QBs, but performed somewhat poorly on RBs and for the first time defenses. There were allot of mis-matches and poor performances this week the helped to skew the results. Our sleepers were solid again with 6 successful calls out of 10. We are very pleases getting 60% of our sleepers correct.
Here is a rundown for week 10 with all the numbers:
QB's 16/21 Correct ( 76%)
RB's 13/22 Correct (59%)
WR's 23/35 Correct ( 66%)
TE's 9/14 Correct (64%)
DEF's 11/20 Correct (55%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 72/112 Correct (64%) Last week 66/105 Correct (63%) "Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (16/21 76%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We had another great week with QB's, but not as well in the 1st tier. Big Ben and the Manning brothers were terrible this week. All that said, our other 5 picks were not only easy, but came through.


2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had great success here with 6 out of 8 QB's getting the job done. We dropped Romo because of the tough Redskin secondary, who was in the end banged up. He came through along with Hasslebeck, Garcia, Kitna, and even Rivers with 300+ yards and a TD. The let downs were McNabb and Bulger.


4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 5 QB's and all were correct. Clemens came close, but was worthy of a bench.


RUNNINGBACKS (13/22 59%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
Out of the 8 RB's we selected in this tier, 75% of them had great games. This wasn't a particularly great week for RB's in general. Willie Parker and Stephen Jackson stunk it up. McGahee, LT, Westbrook, and Jacobs all had solid performances in a weak RB week.


2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We did awful with our 2nd tier of RB's getting 2 out of 7 correct. Nearly all were a bust Ernest Graham and Maurice Jones-Drew . Marion Barber has been a dud for 3 weeks now.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 RB's, and 2 burned us. Thomas Jones had his first good game of the year, and so did Cedric Benson. Go figure. Next week, they will still be on the Bench list.


WIDE RECEIVERS (23/35 66%)

1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we gave you 13 WR's to start and 5 let us down. Those 5 were Hines Ward, Roy Williams, Reggie Wayne, Amani Toomer, and Bobby Engram. TO, Randy Moss, and Larry Fitzgerald did very well.


2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We did a little better in the 2nd tier leading the way was Anquin Boldin and DJ Hackett. After Crayton was shutout last week, we knew he was due. Edwards only had one catch, but he made it count. Chambers, Randle El, and Chad Johnson were some of the busts.


4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 8 WRs, and we were on target all, but two. Calvin Johnson got a great TD pass.


TIGHT ENDS (9/14 64%)

Tight Ends To Start:
We did poorly for top tier TE's. this week We chose 7, and only 4 did well for us. Cooley, Gates, Lee, and Winslow has great games.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
We did better in this tier picking 5/8 correct. No real stars just solid TE performances.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Vernon Davis, Desmond Clark, and Alge Crumpler this week. They all did poorly.

DEFENSES (11/20 55%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
It was tough to be a defense this week. Lots of scoring. We gave you 6 top tier defenses, and 3 came through. New England, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay did well. Pittsburgh was a bust.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
We recommended 6 defenses in the 2nd tier. They all did average or below average. Not much success here.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

We told you to bench 11 defenses in fear of heavy scoring. 4 burned us and had good performances. San Francisco, St. Louis, Arizona and Cleveland all did well.

SLEEPERS 67/10 60%)


Jason Campbell, WAS (QB) - Did great. 348 yards and 2 TDs. This was one of his best games in his young career.
Neil Rackers, K (ARI) - 5 PATs, and nothing else.

Chester Taylor, RB (MIN) - Huge day. 200 total yards and three TDs. Beautiful.

Rudi Johnson, RB (CIN) - Very poor again. We thought that the Bengals would attempt to revive the running game, but no. Guess what, they lost.

Ronald Curry, WR (OAK)

Joe Jurevicius, WR (CLE) - We expected much more from Jurevicius, but we still got a decent game, especially in a point per reception league with 4 catches and 82 yards.

Julius Jones, RB (DAL) - Again a bust. We expected him to run more against the Redskins.

Denver, DEF - Excellent call here. The Denver defense showed up to the tune of 5 (forced fumbles) turnovers and a sack. Add in the Special teams TD.

Owen Daniels, TE (HOU) - We expected him to find the end zone, but he still had a great day considering TE standards. 5 catches, 74 yards.

Minnesota, DEF - I really thought they would show up against a terrible team like the Raiders, but they were a bust.

Friday, November 16, 2007

Week 11 Sleepers GURU Style!

We have some very nice sleepers for you this week. Since there are no more BYE weeks, but plenty of injuries and tough match ups, here are a few sleepers that should do well.

Jason Campbell, QB (WAS) - Campbell will have to throw as the Cowboy defense will stop Portis. The Cowboy secondary is suspect when it comes to the long bomb, so look Randle El to catch one. He should get no less than 2 TDs and 250 yards.

Neil Rackers, K (ARI) - He will be kicking all day, and should get enough opportunities to make it worth your while. We see 2-3 FGs and 3-4 extra points at the least.

Chester Taylor, RB (MIN) - Oakland has very little run defense and Chester can run. He's not Adrian Peterson, but we see 130 total yards and 1-2 TDs. Start him if you got him.

Rudi Johnson, RB (CIN) - He's been bad lately, but with the offense whole again look for them to set up the pass with the run. We expect Rudi to get 20 carries, and find the end zone.

Ronald Curry, WR (OAK) - If Oakland is to score it will have to be through the air. Culpepper has some chemistry with Curry. Curry should pull in 100 yards and a TD, but more could happen.

Joe Jurevicius, WR (CLE) - Baltimore will force Cleveland to throw and they will. Anderson should have another great game. We see Jurevicius getting into this mix up with 1-2 TDs and 100 yards.

Julius Jones, RB (DAL) - Julius hasn't done much, but a team he matches up well with is Washington. We see 95 total yards and a TD.

Denver, DEF - Denver is playing Tennessee. Young looks terrible and the run game is inconsistent. Add in its in Denver and on Monday Night. If you need a 1 week defense, try Denver.

Owen Daniels, TE (HOU) - Schaub is back, and so is Andre Johnson. That should open things up for Daniels. He should get several looks and pull down 5-6 catches and a TD.

Minnesota, DEF - The Raiders are in town and Culpepper is leading the way. Start them!

Two others that nearly made the list, Priest Holmes and Randy McMicheals.
There you have our sleepers for week 11!

Thursday, November 15, 2007

Week 11 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 11 brings sunshine and no more BYE teams. All teams are playing and all players are in the bowl. Lets see who you should start and who you should bench. (Hint Tom Brady is a Must Start)
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Tom Brady
Peyton Manning
Eli Manning
Carson Palmer
Ben Roethlisberger
Brett Farve
Kurt Warner
Derek Anderson
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Jon Kitna
Drew Brees
Tony Romo
Phillip Rivers
Marc Bulger
Jeff Garcia
Donovan McNabb
Matt Hasslebeck
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
David Garrard - It looks like he's playing and he can score points. He's a risk coming off injury and might be rusty.
Jay Cutler - Tennessee can be tough, but its Monday Night Football in Denver and good things happen.
Duante Culpepper - At this point I wouldn't start or touch this guy.
Damon Huard - He looked terrible last week. This week he has the Colts and no Dwight Freeny. He might do something.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Kellen Clemons
David Carr
Alex Smith
Byron Leftywich
Cleo Lemon

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Willie Parker
Brian Westbrook
Joseph Addai
LaDainian Tomlinson
Willis McGahee
Reggie Bush
Lendal White
Stephen Jackson
Brandon Jacobs
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Kevin Jones - Check injury status.
Marion Barber
Ernest Graham
Edgerrin James
Maurice Jones-Drew
Frank Gore
Ron Grant
Jessie Chatman
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Edgerrin James - This game has shootout written all over it. He may get 10-12 carries. He can catch some passes, but doubtful.
Selvin Young - His primary risk is whether Travis Henry will start. If he starts it s tough defense, and we don't expect much.
Jamal Lewis - Pittsburgh will be tough to run on. Yea he had 4 TDs last week, but this week is just too hard. Bench him.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
DeShaun Foster
Clinton Portis
Warrick Dunn
Ahman Green
Justin Fargas
Thomas Jones
Cedric Benson

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Hines Ward
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Roy Williams
Torry Holt
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Donald Driver
Plaxico Burress
Braylon Edwards
Marques Colston
Wes Welker
Randy Moss
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Derrick Mason
Joey Galloway
Chad Johnson
Bobby Engram
Santonio Holmes
Brandon Marshall
Chris Henry
Anquin Boldin
Dwayne Bowe
Amani Toomer
DJ Hackett
Deion Branch - (Check his injury status)
Chris Chambers
Shaun McDonald
Antwaan Randle El
Greg Jennings
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Lee Evans - He's good and can burn New England. I think Buffalo will give them a run for their money.
David Patten - After Colston the ball is spread around. He can get some catches and a TD.
M. Muhammad - This guy has all the skills, but never gets the ball. Grossman might find him.
Jerry Porter - Culpepper is throwing, and most likely Porter won't see much, but you never know.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Arnez Battle
Steve Smith
Patrick Crayton
Vincent Jackson
Roydell Williams
Benard Berrian
Roddey White
Calvin Johnson


TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark - (Check his injury status)
Antonio Gates
Donald Lee
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
Jeremy Shockey
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Bo Scaife
Jason Whitten
Tony Gonzalez
LJ Smith
Leonard Pope
Tony Scheffler
Eric Johnson
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Todd Heap - Big risk. His quarterback isn't there and he's rusty.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Vernon Davis
Alge Crumpler
Desmond Clark
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Seattle
New England
Tampa Bay
Green Bay
Pittsburgh
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Tennessee
Dallas
Chicago
San Diego
Oakland
Jacksonville
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
New Orleans - New Orleans really has a shotty secondary, but so is the Houston offense. Its a worthy risk.
Philadelphia - Miami. Anyone can stop Miami and they are at home. START THEM.
Indianapolis - No Dwight Freeny, no pressure. This could be bad for the Colts.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
Washington
Baltimore
Detroit
San Francisco
Arizona
Carolina
Cleveland
Atlanta
Cincinnati
St. Louis
Buffalo


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our week 11 sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

The True GURU is back to a 3-0 week in the leagues!

Week 10 was a great week for me with some very tough match ups. In every league I had to face top teams including a division leading team, a 3rd place overall team, and a second place division team. In all three leagues I managed to pull out dominating victories. Lets checkout the results. Overall for the season I'm 26-4.

FOX Sports League - LV Cowboys (9-1) 85.2 - Team B (6-4) 38.5

Playing the closest team to me in my division I took the second to last step before clinching a playoff berth. I routed Team B with tremendous performances form players like Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, Colston, and Chicago defense.


CBS Sportsline - Lv Cowboys (7-3) 180.47 - Manning2Harrison (6-4) 107.07
This was a rematch of last years Superbowl that I lost to M2H. As you can see by the score I pounded him into the ground and got my revenge for the Superbowl upset. The key to this game was my decision to start Bulger over Kitna or Anderson, and starting Larry Fitzgerald and benching Chad Johnson. Also, picking up Green Bay's defense and benching the Colts defense helped.


Yahoo! League - LV Cowboys (10-0) 86.3 - Sassy Raiders (6-4) 66.10
I'm 10-0 and just beat the top scoring team in our league and took over that title as well by 1 point. I got lucky cause she had Tom Brady on the BYE week. I have a feeling I'll see her again in the Playoffs. I got great performances in this league from Tony Romo and Marshan Lynch. I benched Jones-Drew or I would have done better. I clinched a playoff berth in this league last week.

Week 10 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 10 was a solid week for us. With 105 picks, we were correct on 67 of them. We were great with 79% accuracy with QBs, but performed poorly on RBs and TEs. We don't think too many people did well on either of those positions this week. Our sleepers were also solid with our best calls being Isaac Bruce and Maurice Morris. Here is a rundown for week 10 with all the numbers:
QB's 15/19 Correct ( 79%)
RB's 9/20 Correct (45%)
WR's 19/30 Correct ( 63%)
TE's 8/16 Correct (50%)
DEF's 14/20 Correct (70%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 66/105 Correct (63%) Last week 74/110 Correct (67%)
"Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (15/19 79%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We recommended 7 QB's as must starts. All but one had great games and that one was Carson Palmer. Derek Anderson through for Romo and Farve were amazing, and Big Ben did fabulous.

2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had great success here as well. Rivers was a bust, along with Loseman and McNair, but Anderson threw 3 TDs, Bulger and Hasslebeck had 2 each.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 4 QB's and all were correct. We weren't sure who would get the call on the Atlanta and Oakland Quarterback Carousel, but either way we knew they'd be busts.

RUNNINGBACKS (9/20 45%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
d 8 Top tier RB's selected. We called Stephen Jackson correct, who was suspect. We also Marshan Lynch and Willis McGahee. We got burned by Barber and Kevin Jones.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Here we did poorly. We will start with the good picks cause there ain't many. Brian Westbrook was a one man wrecking crew against a solid defense. Reggie Bush and Fargas has solid games. Now for the bad, Jacobs, Foster, White, James, and more burned us and did it badly. This truly was a terrible week for RB's. Overall only 1 RB (Westbrook) got more than 1 TD rushing and receiving. The next was Stephen Jackson with 1 rushing and 1 throwing.

4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We normally do well in telling you who to bench, but here we were awful. Portis and Grant burned us. We admit it, and move on.


WIDE RECEIVERS (19/30 63%)
1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we had solid success with our 12 picks. 6 of the picks did very well including Roy Williams, Larry Fitzgerald, and Hines Ward. Though great receivers, not your typical 2007 #1 tier guys.

2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We did much better in the 2nd tier leading the way was Berrian and Crayton. After Crayton was shutout last week, we knew he was due. Edwards only had one catch, but he made it count. Chambers, Randle El, and Chad Johnson were some of the busts.

4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 WRs, and we were on target with all of them.
We don't consider Justin Gage saving the Tennessee WR's. They are awful.

TIGHT ENDS (8/16 50%)

Tight Ends To Start:
Wow, terrible week for top tier TE's. We chose 5, and only Heath Miller did well. If Dallas Clark had played, he'd have done bad as well.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
We did much better in this tier. Donald Lee and Kevin Winslow had great games along with Shockey and Eric Johnson.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Bubba Franks and Alge Crumpler this week. We hope you did!, but we also told you to bench LJ Smith and Leonard Pope, and they burned us bad.

DEFENSES (14/20 70%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Tennessee and Washington failed us, but Chicago was stellar.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:

Green Bay and Seattle are stand outs here with shutouts, but Pittsburgh and Detroit got lit up.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

Can you believe Denver and Cincinnati burned us? Outside of those 2 picks, the rest were correct and most were easy picks.

SLEEPERS (6/10 60%)

Buffalo, DEF - 10 points and a sack. Not bad for a sleeper. Especially if your defense had the BYE.

Donald Lee, GB (TE) - We said Martin, but had sleepy on the brain. We meant Donald Lee. 2 TD's. Great pick!

Damon Huard KAN (QB) - Horrible let down. Bad Pick!

Isaac Bruce, STL (WR) - This is what we said last week: Bruce will look to light up Arizona and get a first win. We see him getting 5-6 catches and 1 TD) Were we right or were we right?

Warrick Dunn, ATL (WR) - 89 yards and a TD. SUCCESS!

Priest Holmes KAN (RB)- Nothing much, bad pick.

Chris Henry, CIN (WR) - 4 catches and 99 yards. In a receptions league not bad. GOOD PICK!

Maurice Morris, SEA (RB) - Great week. A ton of yards and a touchdown. GOOD PICK!

Amani Toomer, NYG (WR) - We expected more, and got less. BAD PICK!

Devery Henderson, NOR (WR) - Never again Devery, you stink. BAD PICK!

Thursday, November 08, 2007

Week 10 Sleepers GURU Style!

We have some solid yet risky sleepers coming this week. There are allot of great match ups and many of them should yield lots of fantasy points. This week we focused on sleepers who can come up big against weak defenses or players replacing injured ones, along with some coming off suspension. Check it out.


Buffalo, DEF - The Buffalo defense plays the weak and almost anemic Miami offense. That alone would be worth a start. Also consider that the Bills will pound Lynch, and hit Lee Evans and control the ball. This game won't be a shutout, but we don't see Miami getting more than 10 points and the Bills getting a defense TD.

Donald Lee, GB (TE) - Farve will be throwing often against Minnesota's defense and we see Martin picking up 6-7 catches and a TD. Minnesota does not like to give up the big play, but lots of little plays.

Damon Huard KAN (QB) - Damon will be without Larry Johnson against a suspect Denver secondary. They may have Champ Bailey, but it stops there. Plus, they are at home.


Isaac Bruce, STL (WR) - Bruce will look to light up Arizona and get a first win. We see him getting 5-6 catches and 1 TD.

Warrick Dunn, ATL (WR) - Norwood is hurting and Dunn is playing a defense he can run against in Carolina. He very well could be in free agency. Get him, and start him.

Priest Holmes KAN (RB)- He won't get all the carries, but he will get the goal line. Look for 50 yards, and 1-2 TDs at best.

Chris Henry, CIN (WR) - The missing link to the Cincinnati Bengals offense. Look for Henry to make an immediate impact. We see him catching 4 passes, 60 yards, and a TD.

Maurice Morris, SEA (RB) - Its no secret that Morris is starting for Alexander. He's playing a soft San Francisco defense on Monday night. Look for 125 total yards and at least 1 TD.

Amani Toomer, NYG (WR) - Toomer always puts up solid numbers against Dallas. We think he'll get a TD, and 5 catches for 45 yards in this game. Maybe more.

Devery Henderson, NOR (WR) - He's loss his fame, his job, yet he's still a threat. We see him catching a bomb and scoring against the Rams defense. Expect 3 catches, 70-80 yards, and 1 TD.

There you have our sleepers for week 10!

Week 10 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 10 brings the last BYE week of the season and it carries some pop. Top fantasy players not playing include Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Patriots DEF, L. Coles, Earnest Graham, Joey Galloway, and Jeff Garcia.
Automatically bench any players on the following teams:
New England Patriots, Houston Texans, New York Jets, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Jon Kitna
Peyton Manning
Tony Romo
Carson Palmer
Ben Roethlisberger
Drew Brees
Brett Farve
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Phillip Rivers
Marc Bulger
JP Loseman
Eli Manning
Derek Anderson
Matt Hasslebeck
Steve McNair
Kurt Warner
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Vince Young - At this point he's a risk all every game. He's hit a sophomore slump, but he can throw and run on Jacksonville. We think he'll do OK.
Quinn Gray or David Garrard - Either one that plays will probably be in a low scoring affair with the RB's getting most of the touches. Bench.
Jay Cutler - injured check status. If he plays and is healthy he should have a solid game.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Raiders QBs
David Carr
Alex Smith
Byron Leftywich or Joey Harrington

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Marshan Lynch
Willie Parker
Marion Barber
Joseph Addai
LaDainian Tomlinson
Willis McGahee
Kevin Jones
Stephen Jackson
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Brian Westbrook
Edgerrin James
Lendall White
Adrian Peterson
Reggie Bush
DeShaun Foster
Brandon Jacobs
Justin Fargas
Julius Jones
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Watson/Johnson - Both are healthy enough to play, but it looks as though they will split carries and that is fantasy doom. BEWARE if you start Rudi.
Maurice Jones-Drew - He can run against Tennessee's defense, but they are a tough one and at home very tough. Its a risky call, but our gut says start him.
Jamal Lewis - Pittsburgh will be tough to run on. Yea he had 4 TDs last week, but this week is just too hard. Bench him.
Frank Gore - If he's healthy, he can do well this week. The 49er offense is in disarray.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
LaMont Jordan
Shaun Alexander
Clinton Portis
GB Runningbacks - Most likely Brandon Jackson starting. Bench.

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Larry Fitzgerald
Hines Ward
Terrell Owens
Reggie Wayne
Roy Williams
Lee Evans
Torry Holt
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Bobby Engram
Santonio Holmes
Donald Driver
Plaxico Burress
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Derrick Mason
Chad Johnson - (Check his injury status)
Braylon Edwards
Benard Berrian
David Patten
Patrick Crayton
Deion Branch - (Check his injury status)
Chris Chambers
Marques Colston
Shaun McDonald
Antwaan Randle El
Steve Smith
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Arnez Battle - He has the skills and can over match the Seahawks defensivebacks, but can smith get him the ball. Tough call.
Brandon Marshall - If Cutler plays and is actually healthy, look for a nice game. If you have a better option look at it.
Marvin Harrison - If he plays, he'll play hurt. Check his injury status, but we suggest benching him either way.
Santana Moss - At this point he's a risk every week. We like him this week, so start him if you can, but don't be shocked if does bad.
Greg Jennings - He had a great game last week, but defenses will start to cover him more, and that opens the door for Driver.
M. Muhammad - This guy has all the skills, but never gets the ball. Against the Raiders he can put up 1-2 TDs, but Griese has to remember he's on his team.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Vincent Jackson
Roydell Williams
Roddey White
Ronald Curry
Jerry Porter
Kevin Curtis
Tennessee WRs

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
Antonio Gates
Heath Miller
Jason Whitten
Tony Gonzalez
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Bo Scaife
Kevin Winslow
Donald Lee
Tony Scheffler
Eric Johnson
Desmond Clark
Jeremy Shockey
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Randy McMicheals - This guy has all the talent in the world and should be able to score on New Orleans, but he's been all but absent this season. Look for a nice game.
Vernon Davis - We have zero confidence in Alex Smith. Its a major risk to play this guy.
Todd Heap - He should be healthy, but is facing a defense that covers TEs well. You almost have to start him, but keep your expectations tamed.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Bubba Franks
Alge Crumpler
LJ Smith
Leonard Pope
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Tennessee
Washington
Jacksonville
Chicago
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Detroit
Pittsburgh
Green Bay
Indianapolis
Oakland
Seattle
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Baltimore - They looked bad last Monday, and will have problems with Cincy on the road.
Dallas - They could come up big, but in the end they are on the road facing a hot offense. Bench them if you can.
Philadelphia - Their backs are against the wall. Washington can't mount much of an attack. Look for Philly to swarm Campbell and Portis.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
Denver
San Diego
San Francisco
Arizona
Minnesota
Carolina
Cleveland
Cincinnati
New Orleans
St. Louis


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our week 10 sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set

Wednesday, November 07, 2007

The True GURU Goes 2-1 in Week 9 for a 23-4 overall season!

Week 9 was another somewhat tough league. I lost to the best team in my CBS league and fell into second place in my division. I had solid performances across the board on my team, but only got 2 TDs. I managed dominating wins in my other leagues and rebounded well from my first loss in the FOX Sports league.

FOX Sports League - LV Cowboys (8-1) 108.2 - LV Ravens (1-8) 65.4

Its been a tough year from my brother, and this game wasn't any easier. I smoked him and the score really doesn't tell the story of this blowout. I had great performances from many of my players including Manning, Barber, Jones-Drew, and Winslow. Just a dominating performance and a great answer to my first lost last week.


CBS Sportsline - The GOAT (6-2) 214.92 - LV Cowboys (6-3) 137.87
This was am other critical match up against a team in my division for the division lead. I had to win and failed big time. My failures were mainly in the fact I only scored 2 TDs the whole day from Barber and Westbrook. Derek Anderson had a great game, but no TDs. The biggest bust this week for me was Antonio Gates, 1 catch 10 yards.



Yahoo! League LV Cowboys (9-0) 139.36 - kickass (3-6) 87.24
An absolutely dominating performance by my Yahoo! team and it propelled me to 9-0. This game took a little time to be officially out of reach, but I always had it in control. My All-Pro team of Tony Romo, Marshan Lynch, Lee Evans, Kevin Winslow, and the Dallas DEF led me to victory this week. I have a brutal match up next week against the surging 6-3 Sassy Raiders, but atlas luck is with me. Tom Brady is on a BYE week. Sassy Raiders is the top point scorer in the league, I'm #2.


Monday, November 05, 2007

Week 9 The True GURU Picks & Sleepers In Review

Week 9 was another great week for us. We improved our average this week to 67% correct calls overall and had the most picks for one week ever with 110. Again our sleepers were sub par with our best call being Justin Fargas. Here is a rundown for week 9:
QB's 13/21 Correct ( 62%)
RB's 14/22 Correct (64%)
WR's 23/33 Correct ( 70%)
TE's 11/15 Correct (73%)
DEF's 13/19 Correct (69%)

OVERALL THIS WEEK: 74/110 Correct (67%) Last week 61/93 Correct (66%)
"Start at your own risk "calls or players that did not play due to injuries were not counted.

Here is the review of our picks and how they stacked up:


QUARTERBACKS (13/21 62%)

1st Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED AS MUST Start:
We recommended 7 QB's as must starts. All but one had great games and that one was Phillip Rivers. Derek Anderson through for over 320 yards and 29 completions. No TD's, but in completion leagues that is very good.

2nd Tier Quarterbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We had great success here. Cutler and Warner really let us down.

4th Tier Quaterbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 6 QB's and and we were only correct on 3. Clemens, Roethlisberger, and Gray burned us and in some case very badly. The other three were good to bench and hopefully you did.


RUNNINGBACKS (14/22 65%)

1st Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
We had some great calls in our top tier of runningbacks. We got 6 out of 7 correct missing only Shaun Alexander.

2nd Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
Out of the 10 picks we made in this tier only about half of them turned out successful. Lamont Jordan and DeShaun Foster were total busts. Kevin Jones did do much either. The star of this tier was Adrian Peterson, 296 yards and 3 TDs.


4th Tier Runningbacks WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 6 RBs this week, all but 1 burned us. If you benched Thomas Jones congradulations. If you benched Jamal Lewis, we are sorry.


WIDE RECEIVERS (23/33 70%)
1st Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST Start:
In this tier we had minimal success with our 11 picks. We got only 5 correct highlighted by TO, TJ, Evans, and Moss.

2nd Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED You have to Start:
We picked 16 WR's in this tier and all but 5 or so did great. Shaun McDonald, Greg Jennings, and Santonio Holmes highlight this tier, while Patrick Crayton, Donte Stallworth, and Steve Smith were major busts.


4th Tier Wide Receivers WE RECOMMENDED MUST BENCH:
We recommended benching 7 WRs, and we were on target with all of them.
Last week Ronald Curry burned us, not this week.


TIGHT ENDS (11/15 73%)

Tight Ends To Start:
We had 7 TE's in our first tier this week and 4 had solid to great games. Whitten and Miller brought in touchdowns, while Winslow piled on 11 catches. Gates and Clark were total busts in a rare display this week.

2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Scheffler and Gonzalez had great games. Only Vernon Davis failed us this week in this tier.

Tight Ends To BENCH:
We recommended benching Bubba Franks and Alge Crumpler this week. We hope you did!


DEFENSES (13/19 69%)

1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Our defensive picks did great in the first tier except for Washington.

2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:

We did poorly here. Dallas, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans did well. Baltimore and Jacksonville were big disappointments.

4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:

Hopefully you benched Philadelphia, Denver, Minnesota, Carolina, Cleveland, and Cincinnati. We were correct on all of them, but most were easy picks.

SLEEPERS (5/10 50%)

Sleepers were tough again this week. Our star sleeper was Justin Fargas. We went 4/10 overall this week,
Marc Bulger STL (QB) - 310 yards and a TD. Not bad.


Jason Wright CLE (RB) - Jamal Lewis played, and we expected that.


Derrick Ward NYG (RB) - Was inactive.


Shaun McDonald DET (WR) - 6 catches, 64 yards. Better than allot of WRs. Right? Namely, Chad Johnson.


Detroit (DEF) - Played well against Chicago giving up only 7 points.

Jason Campbell WAS (QB) - Campbell was bad. No TDs and barely over 100 yards passing.

JP Loseman, BUF (QB) -He did well. nearly 300 yards and a TD.

Selvin Young/Andre Hall DEN (RB) -

Justin Fargas, OAK (RB) - 119 total yards, and a TD. GOOD PICK!

Daniel Graham DEN (TE) - 3 catches and 40+ yards. Nothing worth talking about.

Leonard Pope ARI (TE) - Nothing at all. BIG BUST.

Atlanta DEF - Atlanta had 2 sacks, 3 INTS, and to DFR. Thy only gave up 16 points, so they were very productive.

Houston DEF - Another solid defense. Only gave up 17 points with a blocked kick, 1 sack, and 2 INTs.

Arnez Battle SAN (WR) - 4 catches for 35 yards. we expected a TD, and 6 catches.

Anthony Gonzalez IND (WR) - dislocated his finger on a TD pass. If he caught that pass he'd be a success, instead he's QUESTIONABLE.

Calvin Johnson DET (WR) - Total bummer. He's quickly turning into a bust for the year.

Friday, November 02, 2007

Week 9 Sleepers GURU Style!

Alright, this is a much easier BYE week then the last 2, but still some good players are gone. Here are 10 sleepers to help fill the voids left by injuries and BYEs.

Jason Campbell WAS (QB) - He had a very bad week, and wants some revenge. With a poor running game, he will throw against the Jets. Look for 240 yards and 2 TDs.

JP Loseman, BUF (QB) - He's been getting better, and now he's at home playing Cincy. I bet he's a free agent in your league. Get him now. 300+, 3 TDs.

Selvin Young/Andre Hall DEN (RB) - Henry is hurting and Denver is going to Detroit. Young and Hall should both have a solid week here. Look for Hall to get some Goal line carries, and turn in some TDs. We see either getting 1 TD each, maybe 2. Watch and make sure Henry isn't starting.

Justin Fargas, OAK (RB) - Fargas has been seeing more playing time with Jordan struggling. He'll get 10-12 carries, and maybe more if Jordan gets hurt. We see 50 yards and a TD at the least.

Daniel Graham DEN (TE) - Scheffler gets the TDs, but against Detroit Graham will. He just missed one last week, he'll get it this week and throw in 6 catches.

Leonard Pope ARI (TE) - Look for him to get a TD and 60 yards against Tampa Bay's defense. They are good against WR's, giving Pope more looks.

Atlanta DEF - Altanta is at home against the 49ers and in bad need of a win. If they play a good game I see a defensive TD, and a low scoring game.

Houston DEF - Playing Oakland is always fun for a defense and with Mcknown chucking the ball some are bound to be intercepted and returned for a TD. Good sleeper to start.

Arnez Battle SAN (WR) - He should be able to get open on Atlanta's defense. A score is probable along with 5 catches and 75 yards.

Anthony Gonzalez IND (WR) - His first game was solid, his second was a bust. If Indy is to beat New England they will need to WR's, and Manning knows that. Start him.

Calvin Johnson DET (WR) - Ok, he hasn't done much, but it over matches the corners in Tampa Bay. Look for Kitna to hit him hard. 1 TD is a lock, but maybe 2.

Thursday, November 01, 2007

Week 9 START/BENCH players GURU Style!

Week 9 brings a soft BYE week with top fantasy players not playing including Plaxico Burress, Eli Manning, The Bears defense, and Torry Holt.
Automatically bench any players on the following teams:
Chicago Bears, Miami Dolphins, St. Louis Rams, and New York Giants
(Sleepers will not appear in this blog. If you do not see a player, read our sleeper blog for this week.)

QUARTERBACKS
1st Tier Quarterbacks MUST Start:
Tom Brady
Derek Anderson
Jon Kitna
Peyton Manning
Tony Romo
Carson Palmer
Phillip Rivers
2nd Tier Quarterbacks You have to Start:
Brett Farve
Jeff Garcia
Drew Brees
Matt Hasslebeck
Vince Young (Watch Injury Status)
Jay Cutler
Kurt Warner
3rd Tier Quarterbacks Start At Your Own Risk (Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Donovan Mcnabb - He owns Dallas, and should do well, but that was the McNabb of the past. We think he will have a solid game and get some garbage points, so start him if you have no other reasonalbe choice.
Steve McNair - Playing a tough Pittsburgh Def. He knows them well and should find some open WRs.
Alex Smith - He showed some flair last week, but he is still a major risk and not worth starting in our book.
Damon Huard - Green Bay's defense is solid and will apply pressure, but Huard is at home, and coming off a BYE week. He is a risky start, and if you have a less risky QB, go with them.
4th Tier Quarterbacks MUST BENCH:
Ben Roethlisberger
Daunte Culpepper
David Carr
Kellen Clemens
Quinn Gray
Byron Leftywich

RUNNINGBACKS
1st Tier Runningbacks MUST Start:
.
Marshan Lynch
Lendall White
Marion Barber
Joseph Addai
LaDainian Tomlinson
Shaun Alexander
Brian Westbrook
2nd Tier Runningbacks You have to Start:
Adrian Peterson
Willie Parker
Reggie Bush
DeShaun Foster
Watson/Johnson - Check injury status on Rudi Johnson.
LaMont Jordan
Larry Johnson
Kevin Jones
Houston RB - Green Or Dayne. Check injury status.
Frank Gore
3rd Tier Runningbacks Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Julius Jones - We like this match up and his chances of putting up yards and points are good, but the question is how much will Marion Barber take away?
Atlanta RBs - They have a solid match up in Atlantas against the 49ers but Norwood nro Dunn has been all that great this year. Look for them to run, and there should be points out there to get.
Clinton Portis - He is a BUST this year, but has a great match up. Do you have the confidence to start him?
Maurice Jones-Drew - He still hurting, but playing a week defense in the Saints. Also account for Toefield who is back in the rotation. Its a tough call to start him. If he's healthy, go for it.
Edgerrin James - Tough match up against Tampa's defense. We don't expect much running, but passing should reel in the serious points.
4th Tier Runningbacks MUST BENCH:
Thomas Jones
Earnest Graham
Laurence Maroney/Kevin Faulk
Jamal Lewis
Willia McGahee

WIDE RECEIVERS
1st Tier Wide Receivers MUST Start:
Arnez Battle
Terrell Owens
Randy Moss
Reggie Wayne
Roy Williams
Marvin Harrison - If he plays. Check his injury status.
Braylon Edwards
Lee Evans
T.J. Houshmandzadeh
Chad Johnson
Wes Welker
Bobby Engram
2nd Tier Wide Receivers You have to Start:
Donte Stallworth
Patrick Crayton
Deion Branch
Chris Chambers
Marques Colston
Donald Driver
Santonio Holmes
Brandon Marshall
Shaun McDonald
Dwyane Bowe
Joey Galloway
Greg Jennings
Hines Ward
Kevin Curtis
Antwaan Randle El
Steve Smith
3rd Tier Wide Receivers Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Vincent Jackson - He is being overshadowed by Chris Chambers. He is a risky start.
Hines Ward - Big game last week, but now is locking horns with the Baltimore defense.
Santana Moss - At this point he's a risk every week. We like him this week, so start him if you can, but don't be shocked if does bad.
Greg Jennings - He had a great game last week, but he's never put two together in a row, and is playing a good defense at home.
Roydell Williams - He's good, he's bad, and so on. What will he be this week? Find a better starter.
4th Tier Wide Receivers MUST BENCH:
Roddey White
Kevin Walter
Ronald Curry
Laveranues Coles
Jerry Porter
Jerricho Cotchery
Derrick Mason

TIGHT ENDS
1st Tier Tight Ends MUST Start:
Chris Cooley
Dallas Clark
Antonio Gates
Heath Miller
Kevin Winslow
Kyle Brady
Jason Whitten
2nd Tier Tight Ends You have to Start:
Bo Scaife
Tony Scheffler
Tony Gonzalez
Eric Johnson
Vernon Davis
3rd Tier Tight Ends Start At Your Own Risk(Big Payoff or Big Fall):
Todd Heap - He should be healthy, but is facing a defense that covers TEs well. You almost have to start him, but keep your expectations tamed.
4th Tier Tight Ends MUST BENCH:
Bubba Franks
Alge Crumpler
DEFENSES
1st Tier Defenses MUST Start:
Pittsburgh
Tennessee
Washington
2nd Tier Defenses You have to Start:
Arizona
San Fransisco
Tampa Bay
Green Bay
New Orleans
Jacksonville
Oakland
Dallas
Baltimore
3rd Tier Defenses Start At Your Own Risk:
Indianapolis - Wow, does anyone know what will happen. We think this defense at home matches up will with New Englands arsenal, but we wouldn't start them.
New England - Its your call. You know Manning will be throwing all day.
Jacksonville - Suffering with some injuries, and on the road. If the Saints stay hot, DON'T START. We they the Saints will stay hot.
Buffalo - They are playing Cincy, but they are at home and Palmer is throwing some INTs. Good chance for a defensive score in this game.
Seattle - They have been tough all year, but they are on the road and playing the hot Cleveland offense.
4th Tier Defenses MUST BENCH:
Philadelphia
Denver
Minnesota
Carolina
Cleveland
Cincinnati


We are no longer going to do kickers. They are way to hard to predict. and most teams only have one anyway. If you need to find a kicker cause of a BYE week base your decisions on 3 factors:
1. Is the kicker kicking in a Dome? (that's good)
2. Is the Defense the kicker facing a tough defense?
3. Is the kicker's offense very good?

Watch for our week 9 sleepers coming next!

Listen at 6:30 pm PST every Thursday on Blogtalkradio.com for the Fantasy Football GURU Show with AJ Pelletier, Mike Bowser, RC, and weekly guests. This Thursday we will be discussing a overview of last weeks games, give you advice on who to start THIS week, and go over rumors and injuries. As always we will discuss our weekly sleeper picks. Join us! Call in for questions at (646) 716-9203 or email us at guru@fantasyfootballsearch.com . To logon to our radio show goto The Fantasy Football Guru Show!. Click on the Click to Listen button and you are all set