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Thursday, July 31, 2008

Fighting Chance Fantasy's 2008 Quarterback Rankings

I can’t believe football season is almost here already. I can’t wait! Leagues are already forming, and we’ve got all the positional rankings you’ll need to make great decisions in your draft. This list covers the top 30 QB’s going into 2008. Complete with last year’s numbers. Stay tuned for rankings for RB, WR and TE. Here is the list…

Elite Options

Tom Brady, New England Patriots
398-578 4,807 yards, 50 TDs, 8 INT, eight 300 yard games, 2 Rushing TDs

Brady had a season for the ages last year, as he broke the single season touchdown record as he threw 50 on the season. The only player to really depart the machine that was the New England offense was Donte Stallworth, and he wasn’t really used all that much anyway. The Pats still have Randy Moss, they still have Wes Welker, Jabar Gaffney started coming on at the end of the year, and second year player Chad Jackson could be a sleeper in 2008. With all of those weapons many teams forget about Kevin Faulk, but Brady never does. He has an embarrassment of riches on the offensive side of the ball, and although you definitely shouldn’t expect a repeat of last year’s numbers, He still should be the number one quarterback on draft day, but I wouldn’t take him before near the end of the first round.

Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
337-515 4,040 yards, 31 TDs, 14 INT, three 300 yard games, 3 Rushing TDs

Even without the services of Marvin Harrison for much of the season, Manning had another vintage Peyton season. I was expecting a bit of a step back after it seemed that he spent every second of the offseason filming commercials, but you just can’t go wrong when you have the talent and preparation that Manning puts into the game. Figuring that Harrison is healthy, and that pesky gun incident goes away, Peyton has three quality receivers with Marvin, Reggie “now an elite receiver” Wayne, and soon to be much more popular in fantasy Anthony Gonzalez. Just like Brady, Peyton is either a late first round, or early second round selection.

Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys

335-520 4,211 yards, 36 TDs, 19 INT, seven 300 yard games, 2 Rushing TDs

Anyone who drafts Romo will undoubtedly hope that Jessica Simpson stays away from Cowboy games in 2008. Even though he has had serious troubles in the playoffs the past two seasons, fantasy football doesn’t go into the NFL playoffs, so you don’t have to worry about that. Romo took a big step forward from his first full season to his second,

click here for the rest!

Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Team Report: St. Louis Rams

ST. LOUIS RAMS
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 3rd
2007 Record: 3-13 (4th NFC West)
Head Coach: Scott Linehan (third season)

Roster Quick View
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Marc Bulger Coming off the worst season of his career. Can guide a good offense, but lacks the leadership to carry a bad one.
RB: Steven Jackson When healthy, the third best running back in football (behind L.T. and A.D).
FB: Brian Leonard Lacks the size to be a true FB. Good player but needs to be getting 10-15 touches as a RB. Can’t do that behind Jackson.
WR: Torry Holt Whispers about his age (32) are picking up. What, did nobody notice that he caught 93 passes despite playing in a horrific offense last season?
WR: Drew Bennett After disappointing in the slot, the hope is that a return to the outside will reboot him.
TE: Randy McMichael Production doesn’t usually live up to athleticism. Must embrace whatever role this offense presents him.
LT: Orlando Pace All-Pro when healthy, but has played in just nine games over the past two years.
LG: Jacob Bell** The most valuable free agent signing this team has had in years. Feeble interior O-line will benefit greatly from his power and intensity.
C: Brett Romberg Currently has less job security than an American tech support operator. Will have to beat out Mark Setterstrom, Dustin Fry and Richie Incognito.
RG: Richie Incognito On-field demeanor can rub some the wrong way. So can his history of knee problems.
RT: Alex Barron So athletic, it’s almost sexy. But his questionable passion and shaky fundamentals litter his future with question marks.
---------------
QB: Trent Green** Concussions are a major concern. Good backup because of leadership and deep familiarity of Al Saunders’s offense.
RB: Travis Minor Always seems to find playing time off the bench, but will have to fight off Antonio Pittman for backup duties.
WR: Donnie Avery* The first wideout drafted in ’08. Rams hope he can learn their complex offense well enough to immediately fill the slot.
WR: Dan Looker Good for about four or five impressive first down pick ups a year. Outside of that, a special teamer.
TE: Anthony Becht** Brought in as the much-needed upgrade at the blocking tight end position.

Defense
LDE: Leonard Little Turns 34 in October and is coming off major toe surgery. He’d better perform––there are already several heir apparents on the roster.
UT: La’Roi Glover Still a capable veteran, but if Claude Wroten or Clifton Ryan break out, he’ll start seeing the writing on the wall.
NT: Adam Carriker Excellent combination of power and quickness, but doesn’t have the pizzazz of a featured star. Still, appears to be a long-term cog.
RDE: Chris Long* (Insert obligatory line about Hall of Fame father.)
SLB: Quinton Culberson Undrafted free agent a year ago who impressed late in the season and on special teams. Not a lock to start, but the coaching staff is pulling for him.
MLB: Will Witherspoon Epitomizes a solid linebacker. Good at everything but great at nothing. That works.
WLB: Pisa Tinoisamoa Plays the game remarkably fast, which makes him look better than he really is. Injuries have stifled his production the last two years.
CB: Tye Hill Remember this name. If he stays healthy, he’ll be one of the five best cornerbacks in football come Christmas.
SS: Corey Chavous At 32, he’s sparring with Father Time. Could still bounce back from a poor ’07 season, but skeptical eyeballs are on him.
FS: Oshiomogho Atogwe Not quite as good as his NFC-leading 8 interceptions suggest, but certainly an adequate starter. Could stand be a little more consistent.
CB: Fakhir Brown An excellent No. 2 CB, but has had mild issues with the substance abuse policy each of the past two years.
---------------
DL: Victor Adeyanju His viability in run defense suggests he should probably be starting.
LB: Chris Draft Very intelligent player with tremendous versatility. The problem for him is that coaches can’t resist using him as a utility backup.
NB: Ron Bartell Terrific tackler who can play anywhere in the secondary. Don’t be surprised if he becomes a starting safety at some point.


Key Acquisitions
G Jacob Bell (Ten)
K Josh Brown (Sea)
WR Reche Caldwell (Was)
QB Bruce Gradkowski (TB)
QB Trent Green (Mia)
CB David Macklin (Was)

Key Losses
OL Milford Brown (Car)
WR Isaac Bruce (SF)
TE Dominique Byrd
LB Brandon Chillar (GB)
QB Gus Frerotte (Min)
K Jeff Wilkins (retired)

Two of the franchise’s lifers are gone: Bruce and Wilkins. The Rams can afford their loss, but it’s never fun saying goodbye. Bruce will be replaced by last year’s high-priced acquisition, Drew Bennett. Wilkins is replaced by Brown, one of the most clutch kickers in football. Green will play ahead of Gradkowski because of his experience in Al Saunders’s offense. Gradkowski, though, could be St. Louis’s long-term backup. Bell is a great addition. Of course, he only fills one of the team’s three gaping holes on the O-line.

Draft
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 2 Chris Long DE Virginia
2 33 Donnie Avery WR Houston
3 65 John Greco T Toledo
4 101 Justin King CB Penn State
4 128 Keenan Burton WR Kentucky
5 157 Roy Schuening G Oregon State
7 228 Chris Chamberlain DB Tulsa
7 252 David Vobora LB Idaho

Defensive coordinator Jim Haslett wanted Glenn Dorsey, but he should have no problem making do with Long. The former Virginia Cavalier gives the Rams another tenacious, multi-talented presence up front to go with Adam Carriker. It was a surprise that Avery was the first wideout drafted. The Rams couldn’t pass on his speed. He is a great fit for this offense. They’d love to see Greco beat out Alex Barron at RT. King and Burton both provide depth. Vobora was Mr. Irrelevant, though this team’s paucity of linebackers makes him a virtual lock for the 53-man roster.



2008 St. Louis Rams Preview Report
Their voice has been cracking. New parts of their body are growing hair. When they eat, they eat a lot. When they stop, they’re still hungry. So, they eat some more. They see a dame walk by and their mind gets deluged with new thoughts. Powerful, perplexing, intriguing, confusing, unrelenting, gross, graphic, delicious new thoughts. Sometimes they wonder if there’s something wrong with them. If there is, then they don’t want to be right. They never tell anyone this. Too embarrassing.
But everyone can see it. Puberty is a process. Everyone hits it. If you don’t have someone there to mentor you and guide you through it, it will hit you. That’s how things like going 3-13 happen.
Insert the St. Louis Rams––a team going through puberty without even knowing it. They’re a sad sample of what an absence of leadership can produce. Nobody told them that at some point they had to wear deodorant. Now, they stink. Nobody told them they had to wash their face. Now, they look bad.
The Rams are a team in flux. Half of them remains tied to their identity of the past 10 years, while the other half is meandering toward an uncertain future. This is a problem that can be traced back to 2005. The once-happy Ram family went through some ugly turmoil and transition that year. Head coach Mike Martz and the front office got divorced. Martz left, and the dysfunction of the front office quickly rose to the surface. To make a long story short, there was a reshuffling of executives, leaving president of football operations Jay Zygmunt as the unquestioned man in charge of personnel.
During the three years of reshuffling is when the Rams started experiencing the bizarre changes. Veteran players started to age. Injuries clouded their once-clear picture. Coaches started filing out, taking their playbooks with them. All the while, the Rams were losing games and wondering why.
Stable leaders would have had this team prepared. Stable leaders would have implemented a quick rebuilding project. They would have formulated a plan for developing the offensive line. They would have committed to investing primarily in either offense or defense (rather than in kind of one and kind of the other). They would have constructed a roster that fit the mantra of a new coaching staff (or vice versa).
But the Rams were without stable leaders. And last season, they spiraled out of control. They made foolish mistakes, such as turning the ball over 31 times or regularly surrendering back-breaking big plays. Their moodiness was palpable––just ask the coaches and teammates who were on the other end of public censures from Marc Bulger, Steven Jackson and Torry Holt. When things got bad, more adversity would strike, mainly in the form of injuries. And the Rams handled it horribly.
Puberty does not offer a mulligan. Botch it and face problems later on. This is where St. Louis is today. A scan of their roster reveals evidence of a team with identity issues. There’s the superstar running back playing in the pass-happy system of new offensive coordinator Al Saunders (who was with the Rams during their illustrious Greatest Show on Turf childhood). There’s the $65 million quarterback floundering behind different makeshift offensive lines each week.
There’s the defense, filled with middle-tier finesse players, being coordinated by ultra aggressive tough guy Jim Haslett. There’s Haslett’s starting front line––an almost comical paradox between yesterday and tomorrow: on the left side is 11th-year end Leonard Little and 13th-year tackle La’Roi Glover, both of whom are slowing down; on the right is first-year end Chris Long and second-year tackle Adam Carriker, both of whom are on the rise.
Overseeing the whole operation is Scott Linehan––the third-year head coach who has been like an exhausted step parent trying to guide this rudderless group. It’s hard to say whether Linehan’s team has recognized the rebuilding project it fell into, but after a three-win season, how could it not?
Pinpointing exactly where the Rams will be in a few years is like trying to project the next president’s approval rating. St. Louis really only has three studs in its long-term foundation: Carriker, Long and cornerback Tye Hill. And none of the three are sure-things yet. The rest of the roster’s upper crust––Bulger, Jackson, Holt, offensive tackle Orlando Pace, linebacker Will Witherspoon––is currently in its prime. Who knows where everyone will be down the road?
Long-term leadership remains a big issue. Linehan is on a short rope, which is why his playbook seems mutable and his power in personnel input appears iffy from afar. This makes his job that much more difficult. But firing Linehan would help very little. If he gets canned, the next guy will just have a team spinning more mud.
Rams ownership is not going to improve anything. This past year Chip Rosenbloom inherited the franchise from his mother, the late Georgia Frontiere. Rosenbloom is a likeable guy, but his expertise is in Hollywood (he’s a writer and producer). His mother was never a factor in the Rams’ on-field output, as she often referred to the team’s L.A.-based president John Shaw. Rosenbloom will spend most of his time in California as well.
Absent owner, shaky front office, precarious coach, and a roster in relative flux. Really, St. Louis’s best hope for prosperity is to simply start winning some of the games they’re supposed to lose.

Offense
After toiling in what many agree was an overly simplistic scheme in 2007, the Rams are returning to their Greatest Show on Turf formula. Theoretically, anyway. Coordinating the offense will be Al Saunders, formerly of the Chiefs, recently of the Redskins. Saunders was the receivers coach for this team in ’99 and ’00 when it boasted football’s best offense under coordinator Mike Martz and head coach Dick Vermeil.
Distant as those days now seem, Saunders actually has comparable firepower at the quarterback, running back and wide receiver positions.
At his best, quarterback Marc Bulger is a Pro Bowl pocket passer. He has posted a rating over 92 in four of his six years as a starter.
Running back Steven Jackson doesn’t have Marshall Faulk’s versatility, but neither does anyone else. Jackson is far from one dimensional. At 231 pounds, he is a monster between the tackles and a home run threat in the open field. He’s also an adept receiver, which the Rams plan to take better advantage of in 2008 (Jackson caught 90 balls in 2006 but just 37 last season).
The familiar face of Torry Holt marks Saunders’s third golden skill player. There is a rumor that the 32-year-old is slowing down. Holt, however, has caught 93 passes for more than 1,185 yards in each of the past two seasons. Whatever oomph his speed has lost is amended by his wisdom. He is a crafty route runner, deceptive target (defenders find it nearly impossible to pick off passes coming his way because he waits so long to put his hands up) and consistent outlet.
All three of St. Louis’s key players come with caveats. For Bulger, it’s his leadership. At times, his demeanor is hardly that of an eighth-year, 31-year-old veteran. Too much of his intensity comes out in negative form. The Rams are hoping that the arrival of the venerable Trent Green can calm their quarterback position. Green has a storied relationship with Saunders, having commandeered his offense in Kansas City for five years. Salving as Green’s presence is, it’s too much to think that, at 38, the oft-concussed vet can push Bulger for his job.
The caveat with Jackson has to do with the fact that he missed four games with injury last year and was noticeably irritable throughout the season. Ever the competitor, Jackson is an intelligent individual who has the ability to be great. He turns 25 in July and is in the early stages of his pinnacle as a runner. The Rams will be careful to not overwork him in 2008. Fullback Brian Leonard, a second-round pick out of Rutgers last year, figures to see a fair number of touches. At 226 pounds, Leonard lacks the girth of a traditional fullback, which is why it would make the most sense for him to come off the bench ahead of role players Travis Minor and Antonio Pittman. Of course, the Rams would then need to find a lead-blocker to plug in.
Holt created his caveat during the offseason when he all but said that when his contract runs out in two years, he’d like to return to his home state of North Carolina and join his younger brother, Terence, on the Panthers. Fans will criticize the veteran for his candor, but it’s hard to fault him for his outlook (who wouldn’t want to return home to play with family?). Controversy or not, Holt is here until 2010, and during that time, he’ll be the offense’s go-to receiver.
Starting opposite Holt is Drew Bennett, who, so far, after signing a six-year, $30 million contract, is earning about two Range Rovers per catch. Bennett’s lackluster output in ’07 (33 receptions for 375 yards) was, St. Louis hopes, an aberration. The forecast looks better this season, as he has left the slot and is back to his familiar position out wide, playing in an offense that highlights deep routes (Bennett’s forte).
In the slot will be second-round pick Donnie Avery, a darting 190-pound speedster from Houston. The rookie figures to play ahead of novelty wideouts Dante Hall and Marques Hagans. Hall and Hagans, in fact, may even end up playing behind fourth-round rookie Keenan Burton.
There will be just enough balls left over for tight end Randy McMichael to contribute in the passing game, though it’s on McMichael to embrace his ancillary role. Saunders also must prioritize the ex-Dolphin. Last season, McMichael never found a rhythm with his assignments, turning in a disappointing 39 catches and ho-hum blocking output. Anthony Becht gives them the second tight end that they so badly needed. Becht’s long arms are a plus in run-blocking, and his starting experience from New York proves he is capable of at least catching what is thrown to him.
Given that St. Louis’s offense has not performed despite being good on paper, it’s fitting to end this report with another caveat. An inconsistent front five has made this offense a luxury car with a flooded engine. Injuries are a big reason why; last season, the Rams used an astounding 18 different combinations of O-linemen up front.
The problems start with the lynchpin player: future Hall of Fame left tackle Orlando Pace. The seven-time Pro Bowler is coming off a torn right rotator cuff and labrum, and has missed 22 games over the past two seasons. His health problems do not have to be career-threatening. Pace has played 12 years since being the first offensive lineman drafted No. 1 overall, but he’s still only 32.
It was once thought that Pace’s successor would be Alex Barron, but the former first-rounder has not been able to overcome rickety fundamentals and a predisposition for mental mistakes. Folks in Missouri have also questioned his passion. The Rams would be thrilled to see the less talented but more invigorated John Greco capture Barron’s starting right tackle job in ’08. Greco, a third-round pick out of Toledo, possesses 6’5”, 325-pound size, making him a wonderful fit at the mauler position.
Should Pace be injured, you’d almost certainly see Greco slide in on the right side, with Barron once again moving over to the left. Veterans Brandon Gorin and Adam Goldberg, while both well-sized, have proven to be fringe players.
The interior of St. Louis’s line is as settling as an economic recession. Ex-Titan Jacob Bell should get recognized as an elite guard this season, assuming whoever is at center does not drag down his performance. Bell is a brute run-blocker who is mobile enough to operate at the second level. On opening day, he’ll be lining up with two of the following five men: Mark Setterstrom, Richie Incognito, Brett Romberg, Nick Leckey, and Dustin Fry. For good measure, throw fifth-round rookie Roy Schuening’s name in there too. Aside from Schuening, all these men are capable of playing guard and center. If talent wins out, you’ll see Incognito at right guard and Romberg at center. Both men missed significant time with injuries last season, but then again, so did Setterstrom, the third most gifted player of the group.

Defense
The Rams defense is a lot like popcorn: spry but easily burnt. Last season, St. Louis gave up the second most points in football (438). They ranked 21st against the pass, though 27th in yards allowed per pass play.
Some of this just has to do with the zealous style of Jim Haslett. The ex-linebacker loves to pressure the quarterback and, not having a decent pass-rushing end last season (Ram defensive ends combined for a paltry 5.5 sacks), Haslett opted to blitz linebackers and defensive backs.
A strong bounce back from toe surgery by veteran Leonard Little would do wonders in helping Haslett’s unit. Offensive linemen will tell you that Little’s speed makes him one of the most feared edge-rushers in the game. Given his age (34 in October) and mediocrity against the run, it would make more sense for Little to come off the bench on third downs. This would allow the Rams to start run-stopping connoisseur Victor Adeyanju.
You may have heard that second-overall pick Chris Long has a father who played in the NFL. Comparing Chris to Howie seems obvious. That’s why we won’t. All that needs to be mentioned about the ex-Cavalier is that, right now, he is definitely good enough to play ahead of James Hall. How his style best fits this scheme remains to be seen.
Adam Carriker became a more fitting force once Long entered the picture. Carriker, who can play anywhere up front, seems more like a stud role player. Euphemistic as this sounds, it’s a very high compliment. Veteran La’Roi Glover is not the double-team magnet he once was. He’s still capable of busting into a backfield every now and then, but don’t be surprised if he loses his starting job to 24-year-old Clifton Ryan. Ryan, however, like fellow backup defensive tackle Claude Wroten, must improve his endurance. He also needs to learn how to unshackle from blocks better.
The Rams potentially have a very good run-stopping D-line, which is almost vital considering their slimness at linebacker. Mike backer Will Witherspoon is an ace at rushing the passer (seven sacks in ’07), avoiding blocks and sniffing out ball carriers (110 tackles last year, 35 more than the next highest tackler, O.J. Atogwe). But adjoining Witherspoon is speedy but fragile Pisa Tinoisamoa on the weak side and undrafted second-year pro Quinton Culberson on the strong side. Veteran Chris Draft is an extremely smart player who has been a productive starter in previous stops at Atlanta and Carolina. The Rams, however, are intrigued by Culberson’s toughness near the line of scrimmage, plus they like being able to use Draft at all three linebacking spots off the bench.
It’s plausible that Culberson will prove to be a fine starter. For now, St. Louis’s linebacking situation presents questions marks. The safeties might have to play a key role in run support this season. Strong safety Corey Chavous can make stops but won’t get the opportunity to if he doesn’t improve in coverage. Bouncing back from a sub-par ’07 won’t be easy for Chavous as, at 32, he has lost some of his speed and quickness.
O.J. Atogwe is the reigning NFC interception leader (eight), but he too could stand to be more consistent against the pass. Atogwe can be a decent presence in the box, which is why secondary coach Ron Milus may want to consider moving him to Chavous’s strongside spot and inserting Ron Bartell at the starting free safety position. Bartell, currently the nickel back, should be playing with the first unit. If he remains at nickel, then the backup safeties will be Jerome Carter, a capable dime back, and Todd Johnson, a painfully slow special teams player.
Third-year cornerback Tye Hill is extraordinary. Only 5’10”, 185, the Clemson product is one of the elite man-to-man defenders in football. Opponents completed less than 50 percent of their passes against him last season, and that was after Hill missed the first eight games with a broken bone in his back. Fully healthy, Hill has excellent change-of-direction ability, quick feet and shrewd man-to-man skills.
With Hill at 100 percent, No. 2 corner Fakhir Brown will undoubtedly be tested more in 2008. St. Louis drafted Jonathan Wade in the third round last season and Justin King in the fourth round this year, but Brown’s starting job is safe for at least the next year or two.

Special Teams
The Rams didn’t need to research Josh Brown to know they wanted to make him the league’s highest paid kicker (five years, $14.2 million). As a Seahawk in ’06, Brown kicked two game-winning field goals against St. Louis. If he had missed just one of those kicks, the Rams would have been NFC West champions that year.
Donnie Jones averaged an impressive 39.3 net yards punting last season. The return specialist is Dante Hall. He remains the human joystick, though keep in mind, thanks to inventions like the Nintendo Wii, joysticks are slowly becoming outdated. Hall always reaches for the big play. This is both a strength and weakness. Last year, for the most part, it paid off as he averaged 15.1 yards on 19 punt returns.

Bottom Line
One must utter a lot of qualifiers when talking about this team’s chances in 2008. If the front five comes together, the offense can score a lot of points. The defense is modestly talented in spots, but the middle looks soft with a linebacking unit that has virtually no depth and no dependable forces on the outside. The leadership of this franchise as a whole remains dubious, which means so does the long-term outlook.



Myth Buster
Torry Holt is over the hill
What hill? Holt finished last season with 93 receptions for 1,189 yards (10th most in football) despite playing in an offense that couldn’t consistently run the ball, protect the passer or stretch the field. Defenses had every reason to hone in on him, and still, he produced.
During his decade-long career, Holt has managed to say relatively healthy and free from punishing blows. He’ll reap these benefits in his later years. True, Holt’s speed is abating, but his cleverness in running routes and disguising his intentions is not. He still has four or five good seasons in him.


Open Thought
The NFL denied the Rams permission to wear their throwback blue and yellow uniforms in two games this season because the team did not issue the request soon enough. Wearing the throwbacks would have meant wearing different helmets. This begs the question: Do players ever get annoyed having to break-in a new helmet in the middle of a season? Anyone who has played football knows that one of the most miserable experiences is enduring the three or four days that it takes for a new helmet to mold to your skull. The helmet’s front pad rubs your forehead, and its crown feels like a stack of bricks resting on top of it. You’d think players would gripe about having to go through this in mid-season practices.

Team Report: Seattle Seahawks

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 1st
2007 Record: 10-6 (1st NFC West)
Head Coach: Mike Holmgren (10th season)


Roster Quick View
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Matt Hasselbeck Probably deserves a little more credit than he gets for his annual improvements and stable leadership.
RB: Julius Jones** Criticized in Dallas for a perceived lack of toughness. Lucky for him, the fans up here are accustomed to seeing Shaun Alexander.
FB: Leonard Weaver Terrific all-around FB who can lead-block and occasionally handle the ball. Pro Bowls await him.
WR: Bobby Engram Coming off his first 1,000-yard season. Still more of a No. 2 than a No. 1.
WR: Nate Burleson Has never really earned a starting job anywhere but will get an opportunity here, thanks largely to attrition at wide receiver.
TE: John Carlson* Seahawks had him rated as the draft’s top tight end. Is expected to contribute in the passing game right away.
LT: Walter Jones Has been supplanted by Joe Thomas as the best LT in football, though NFC defensive ends may disagree.
LG: Mike Wahle Was underwhelming last year in Carolina, but at 31, has veteran experience and enough left in the tank. Good pickup for the Hawks.
C: Chris Spencer
Has evolved into the team’s best interior offensive lineman, but hasn’t quite yet fulfilled all the potential that made him a first-round choice.
RG: Rob Sims Moves to the right side after having some issues early last season on the left. Talent is acceptable––just needs to improve awareness.
RT: Sean Locklear Natural skill has allowed him to develop too many bad habits. New five-year contract will likely stunt the rest of his growth.
---------------
QB: Seneca Wallace Hey Charlie Frye! Start playing up to par so this guy can move to slot receiver!
RB: T.J. Duckett Downhill running style makes him a good fit in this straight-line offense.
WR: Courtney Taylor Sixth-round pick last year, caught only five passes in limited action.
WR: Deion Branch (injured) Coming off February ACL surgery, likely won’t be ready to compete until midseason (if then). His absence hurts.

Defense
DE: Patrick Kerney Led the NFC with 14.5 sacks last season, though wore down late. Regularly feasts on shoddy right tackles.
DT: Brandon Mebane Holmgren loves the guy. He’ll love him even more if his improved quickness pays off as expected.
DT: Rocky Bernard Offseason arrest for domestic abuse looks bad, but frankly (perhaps sadly?), not bad enough for the Seahawks to forget how explosive he can be.
DE: Darryl Tapp A quintessential solid DE. Overcomes mild lack of size with adeptness in his second move.
SLB: Leroy Hill The third guy in the dynamic linebacking trio. Doesn’t have blazing wheels, but a demon at the point of attack.
MLB: Lofa Tatupu Three Pro Bowl appearances in three years. Enough said.
WLB: Julian Peterson Versatility makes him perhaps the team’s best front seven player.
CB: Marcus Trufant Received a well-deserved top-dollar contract this past offseason. Teams are starting to throw away from him.
SS: Deon Grant By no means a star, but consistently performs up to par wherever he is.
FS: Brian Russell If you think he’s a classic example of a limited athlete surviving on scrappiness and smarts, you might be surprised….by exactly how right you are.
CB: Kelly Jennings Improved drastically during his rookie season; Seattle may have a gem in this No. 2 cover corner.
---------------
DL: Craig Terrill Down on the depth chart, but his underrated quickness always seems to afford him playing time.
LB: Will Herring Almost exclusively a special teamer because Tatupu, Peterson and Hill never come off the field.
NB: Josh Wilson May have a tough time keeping Jordan Babineaux out of the nickel duties.


2008 Seahawks Preview Report
Pssstt. Come here. Shhh. Listen up.
Now, what I’m about to tell you needs to be kept quiet. You can’t repeat any of this to anyone––especially not the Seahawks. If they hear you, this plan will be foiled. Got it? Good. Now listen: As you know, head coach Mike Holmgren is retiring after the season. Can you believe he’s been here 10 years now? Neither can he. But come 2009, he’s done. Wants to open a bakery with his wife Kathy or something. Anyway, because he’s leaving, everyone––the media, fans, whoever––will begin to say that the 2008 season will be one last hurrah for this Seahawks team.
This, of course, is nonsense. For whatever reason, people either don’t realize or don’t believe that this franchise is pretty well set. There is a winning roster in place for at least another two or three years (which, in pro football time, is an eternity). GM Tim Ruskell has done a very fine job.
Why are you shrugging your shoulders? What, you don’t agree?
You guess? What’s there to guess? Ruskell has done a great job! He joined the team in 2005 and has been making upgrades ever since. Look at Seattle’s offense: He has built around quarterback Matt Hasselbeck, who, at almost 33, seems to get a little better each season. He replaced Shaun Alexander––who was deader than the fish they toss at Pikes Market––with Julius Jones and T.J. Duckett. Granted, neither Jones nor Duckett is a star, but you gotta admit….at least they’ll run with some courage.
The offensive line is solid. Granted, Ruskell screwed up big time when he let Steve Hutchinson get away, but that’s over and done with. At least Mike Wahle will shore things up, right?
Come on….you know this offense will be decent. It’s finished in the top 10 in yardage five of the last six years.
Okay––and what about the defense? See, that’s what people are missing. This defense is spectacular. The linebackers are all stars––genuine stars. Lofa Tatupu’s been to three Pro Bowls in three years. Julian Peterson has also gone to three. And how about the defensive line? Ruskell invests in the front four like rednecks invest in mud flaps. And his return has been great. He drafted Darryl Tapp in 2006 and witnessed nine sacks from him as a fulltime starter last season. A year ago he signed Patrick Kerney and saw the veteran record 14.5 sacks. He also spent a third-round pick on defensive tackle Brandon Mebane, who became an effective starter midway through his rookie season. And this year, Ruskell spent the 28th overall pick in the draft on a four-year starter from Los Angeles’s professional team (the Trojans). His name is Lawrence Jackson.
Still not convinced that Seattle is in great hands? Jeeze. Fine, how about the secondary? Ruskell locked up Marcus Trufant––a feared cover corner––with a six-year deal this past offseason. (It was similar in value to the new deal he gave Tatupu.) And three years ago, Ruskell drafted a kid from Miami named Kelly Jennings. Jennings has blossomed into an excellent man defender, which, in this league, makes him a jewel. The Seahawks’ safety position even got upgraded last season––Deon Grant and Brian Russell both lived up to their contracts. And the depth across the board is fine.
So you see? Ruskell has done well, and this team is set. Anyway, whatever.
Now shhhh….this is where you need to listen. As I was saying, with Holmgren retiring after the season, everyone is going to think that this is one last hurrah for the Seahawks. They’ll say it’s one last chance at a Lombardi Trophy and then question the future from there. It doesn’t matter that defensive assistant Jim Mora Jr. has already been named the next head coach. Anytime a prominent coach like Holmgren is about to leave, people always talk about a final hurrah. It’s a product of the whole idea of selling sports through drama.
Now, what you need to do is play along. Maybe even sell a little yourself. The hope is that the Seahawk players will notice the hype and start to believe it. If they believe it, they might finally maintain their focus. So, DO NOT tell them what I just told you. DO NOT let them know that they’re going to be competitive for at least a few more years. If they find that out, they’ll just win 10 games and get drubbed in the playoffs like they do every year.
We’re sick of it. Problem is, this city doesn’t seem to be. Fans in the Pacific Northwest are just too tame for pro football, know what I mean? Sure, they get together at Qwest Field and all scream their freakin’ lungs out. They make more noise than a Boeing 747. But the fans are never caustic toward their own team. You don’t hear them calling for the coach’s head or demanding perfection. Yes, of course, such demands are ridiculous, but that’s not the point. The point is….I don’t know…the point is…ugh….Seahawk fans…it’s like they’re too smart or something. They’re too willing to see their team’s playoff exit and understand that 31 of the 32 clubs fall short of their ultimate goal. They’re too willing to accept that playing in January means their team was at least pretty good. They’re right, but it’s not…uhh….it’s just not…the Seattle people just need a little more Phillyness in them. You see what I’m saying? They need to demand more. I mean, look at Shaun Alexander for example. For years, the guy would frolic around the field and cower at the first sign of contact. But these fans didn’t start getting on him until last season. And even then they only groaned. Where was the booing? Where was the venom?
You don’t think the players sense this all? Surely at least part of them subconsciously says, Hey, it’s okay if we don’t dominate because these fans––our 12th man––will appreciate us anyway. If the players didn’t feel so comfortable, then by now they would have had more magical seasons than just 2005.
So don’t tell the Seahawks. Don’t tell them that this is not actually their last shot at a title. Let them think that Holmgren’s exit makes this season special. Right now, you’re the father building the dollhouse, and they’re the three-year-old helping with their plastic hammer and Styrofoam lumber. Just smile and let them be. Maybe, just maybe, they’ll maintain their focus for once.

Offense
No question about it, this is Matt Hasselbeck’s team. The 10th-year veteran from Boston College has assumed the leadership qualities that Holmgren so diligently helped instill clear back even in their days together in Green Bay. The player and coach still butt heads, but in a respectful, almost familial way. The fact that they now stand apart whenever Hasselbeck comes to the sideline after an interception (instead of review pictures together and bicker) says everything about the quarterback’s status on the team and grasp on the offense.
Hasselbeck knows the West Coast system, he understands his playmaking capabilities and he makes everyone around him better. How else do you think a player like Bobby Engram, fluid but not fast, experienced but not rock-steady, could catch 94 passes for 1,147 yards in his 12th season? Or how could an offense that, last year, had virtually no tight end (sorry Marcus Pollard), no running game (sorry Maurice Morris) and an inconsistent offensive line (sorry Rob Sims, Chris Gray and Sean Locklear) still rank ninth in total yards and points?
Hasselbeck may have his work cut out for him in ’08. He’ll be without Deion Branch early in the season, which means he’ll be without a true weapon. Branch, who went under Dr. James Andrews’s knife to repair a torn ACL in February, is the only serious playmaking threat in Seattle’s catch-and-run offense. In his absence, Engram will assume the flanker duties, while Nate Burleson will line up at split end. Both players have spent the majority of their career in a reserve role, and their presence in the starting lineup puts a considerable dent in Seattle’s depth at wide receiver. Second-year pro Courtney Taylor will be given a chance to earn the No. 3 duties, though third-year man Ben Obomanu has more experience in the West Coast system. Obomanu saw fragmented action last season but didn’t always capitalize on his opportunities.
The Seahawks are hoping to get more from their tight end in 2008. After Pollard failed to produce, they went out and drafted Notre Dame’s John Carlson in the second round. Carlson is the latest NFL tight end to have significant basketball experience. He played in two hoops games during his freshman season at Notre Dame and was a McDonald’s preseason All-American in high school. However, his mark with the Irish was made in front of Touchdown Jesus, of course. He had 87 catches over his final two years. The Seahawks hope Carlson can be their long-term answer at tight end. Behind him will be career backup Will Heller and ex-Bronco and-Texan Jeb Putzier. The former can block, the latter can catch.
Pass protection has never been much of a problem for Seattle, thanks in no small part to seven-time Pro Bowl left tackle Walter Jones. However, the run-blocking by this unit was atrocious last season, prompting Holmgren to fire offensive line coach Bill Laveroni. Replacing Laveroni is Mike Solari, who spent 11 years coaching what was generally a dominant front line in Kansas City.
Solari inherits a slightly better group than the one Laveroni had in ’07. Next to Jones will be 11th-year vet Mike Wahle, a gritty run-blocker who earned Pro Bowl recognition two seasons ago in Carolina. Wahle replaces 24-year-old Rob Sims, who moves over to the right side where the team hopes he can improve his awareness against blitzes and stunts.
To the right of Sims will be tackle Sean Locklear. Locklear is a prime example of what happens when a good athlete admires his talent too soon. Blessed with a dexterous 308-pound frame (which functions like a 330-pound frame), Locklear has gotten away with forming too many bad habits. He plays with B-grade effort and probably doesn’t even know it. Because Ray Willis and Pork Chop Womack have never taken advantage of their opportunities to start, Seattle felt compelled to sign Locklear to a new five-year, $32 million contract. That’s like tossing a bone to the dog that won’t come.
At center is Chris Spencer, a man on the path to fulfilling his first-round billing. A shoulder injury hindered his progress the past couple years, but Spencer’s strength and quickness are commodities that will really start to flourish as he stays healthy and begins to fully understand the details of coordinator Gil Haskell’s offense. Improvement from Spencer could help variegate Seattle’s north-south run-blocking schemes.
More complex blocking approaches may not be needed though. New starting running back Julius Jones prefers to operate from space rather than behind a road-grader. At 211 pounds, Jones is more durable than he’s given credit for, though he likely won’t outperform his career-best ’06 season, when he posted 267 carries for 1,084 yards. Jones is built a lot like Maurice Morris, Seattle’s longtime backup. Morris might have seen his playing time evaporate when the Seahawks became the latest team to sign bruising back T.J. Duckett. They’re paying the former first-round pick $7 million over the first two years of his five-year deal, which means Duckett may finally be given a true chance to contribute.
Jones is more accustom to being a lone back, but there’s no way Seattle will allow burgeoning fullback Leonard Weaver to lose his role. The Carson-Newman product (Carson Newman, by the way, is a liberal arts college in Jefferson City, TN) learned from mentor Mack Strong and is poised to follow in his Pro Bowl footsteps.

Defense
There’s no reason the Seahawk defense can’t be the most formidable in the NFC. Coordinator John Marshall (who runs a Cover 2) has a front seven that helped create 45 sacks last season (fourth in the NFL) and a secondary that features the enviable benefit of having two excellent cover corners. Sixth-year veteran Marcus Trufant was paid the GDP of a small country after posting a career-high seven interceptions in 2008 (he had just two picks total in 2006-07). Ruskell reluctantly gave the Washington State product a six-year, $52 million deal. As a negotiating ploy, the GM had declared that he did not believe Trufant to be in the Darrell Green-Deion Sanders-Champ Bailey shutdown class. However, when DeAngelo Hall’s $10 million a year contract in Oakland elevated the cornerback wage scale, Ruskell was forced to cave on Trufant’s $9 million a year demands.
Its money well spent. Not only has Trufant become a playmaker but, more importantly, he’s a play-stopper. Trufant––who moved back to his natural left cornerback position under secondary coach Jim Mora’s last season––has fluid coverage skills, particularly downfield (a rare trait for any defensive back). Teams aim to throw away from him, not just because they fear the interception but because whoever Trufant’s defending usually isn’t open.
Trufant’s brilliance puts more pressure on right cornerback Kelly Jennings, a former first-round pick who improved weekly in his first fulltime starting gig last season. Uncommon for a player of Jennings’s youth is the polished technique that the 25-year-old displays. Jennings gives up a minimized buffer zone and shows impressive patience in timing his breaks. He’s not extraordinarily quick, but he consistently gets between the ball and the receiver (he broke up 12 passes in ’07).
Auxiliary defender Jordan Babineaux can play safety or corner and seems to be a superior option to second-year pro Josh Wilson for nickel duties. Wilson, however, was a second-round pick last season and will be given every chance to earn playing time. Strong safety Deon Grant and free safety Brian Russell have done exactly what they were brought in to do, which is lead and buckle down against the deep ball.
An improved pass rush has aided the secondary. Patrick Kerney’s NFC-leading 14.5 sacks set the tone up front in ’07, though his disappearing act in the Divisional Round loss at Green Bay suggested that fatigue had set in on his 31-year-old body. This prompted the drafting of Lawrence Jackson in Round One.
Jackson will slide into a defensive end rotation that includes Kerney and moderately undersized yet productive Darryl Tapp. Tapp occasionally struggles to hold his ground in play-side run defense, though when he’s able to maintain initial separation and get into his second and third moves, he can be an unruly attacker.
Second-year man Baraka Atkins may have trouble carving out a niche in this defense. In addition to the rookie Jackson, the Seahawks will employ weakside linebacker Julian Peterson as an edge-rusher, as well as athletic ex-Texan Jason Babin.
Inside, Brandon Mebane has drawn the praise of Holmgren and the coaching staff after capturing Craig Terrill’s starting job midway through last season. Mebane has nice litheness for an inside player, which he uses to his advantage against the run. His natural ability to avoid entanglements with bigger offensive linemen is a skill that coaches must zone in on and help maximize. In all, Mebane is still at least a year away from recognizing his full potential, which is why Seattle will likely call on veterans Terrill, Chris Cooper and Larry Tripplett to play some downs in ’08.
Rocky Bernard starts at the other defensive tackle position. His offseason was marred in controversy after he was arrested for allegedly punching his girlfriend in the forehead. Assuming Bernard is on the field, he gives Seattle an enticing blend of power and agility, shown in the penetration he often gets.
Sandwiched between the secondary and front line is the best three-man linebacking unit in football. Spearheaded by middle man Lofa Tatupu and flanked by outsiders Julian Peterson and Leroy Hill, the Seahawks have a trio of stallions that devour the run and, perhaps more impressively, stifle the pass. Tatupu is an intelligent player, though he tends to gamble like Barkley, which occasionally causes him to over-pursue or misdiagnose. His speed can actually exacerbate his misreads (of course, that same speed can just as easily ameliorate them).
Peterson’s wide-ranging talent puts him in the discussion of best outside linebacker in the NFC. Consider him third behind DeMarcus Ware and Lance Briggs. Hill is one of the best closing forces in the NFL. His raw skills are a cut below those of his running mates, but put him in an average linebacking unit and he’d stand out.
Injuries have never been a problem for Seattle’s linebackers, and they’d better hope that remains the case. Should one of the three go down, into the lineup would go either Will Herring, a fifth-round pick a year ago, D.D. Lewis, often an out-of-football injury bug victim, or Lance Laury, maker of 19 tackles in 2007.

Special Teams
The Seahawks should be kicking themselves for letting Josh Brown get away. Instead, they’ll likely just be kicking fewer successful field goals in ’08. At 35, Olindo Mare still has a powerful foot on kickoffs. However, his accuracy is waning, which is why the team drafted Brandon Coutu in the seventh round. Punter Ryan Plackemeier––himself a seventh-round pick two years ago––struggled in ’07, averaging just 34.3 net yards per punt (31st in the NFL). Reggie Hodges was brought in for camp competition, but Plackemeier isn’t likely to lose his job quite yet.
Nate Burleson is a terrific return artist, though his elevated role in the offense will prompt Holmgren to gauge other options here. Josh Wilson seems the likely choice. He returned 14 kickoffs last season, including an 89-yard touchdown.

Bottom Line
The Seahawks are still the most talented team in the NFC West, but how many years of good-but-not-great football has this club had? A lot of key players have recently been well compensated, and there aren’t a lot of job competitions heading into training camp. If Mike Holmgren’s farewell tour can ignite a sense of urgency with this team, a run at Super Bowl XLIII is not out of the question. But if no sparks ablaze, say hello to 10-6….again.



Key Acquisitions
DT Chris Cooper (FA)
RB T.J. Duckett (Det)
RB Julius Jones (Dal)
LB D.D. Lewis (FA)
S Omare Lowe (Atl)
K Olindo Mare (Mia)
TE Jeb Putzier (Hou)
DT Larry Tripplett (Buf)
G Mike Wahle (Car)

Players Lost
RB Shaun Alexander
OT Tom Ashworth
LB Kevin Bentley (Hou)
K Josh Brown (Stl)
DT Chuck Darby (Det)
WR DJ Hackett (Car)
LB Niko Koutouvides (Den)
TE Marcus Pollard (NE)
DL Ellis Wyms (Min)

Replacing Tinkerbelle Alexander with Julius Jones and T.J. Duckett was a great move. Neither player is a stud, but at least they don’t go down when breathed on wrong. Losing Brown hurts, especially considering that he stayed in the division. Mare is by no means a lock to make the team. Their special teams will take a hit with the departure of Bentley and Koutouvides (their captain). Lewis has been out of football too long to be counted on, which is why their linebacker depth is non-existent. Wahle was a good pickup considering their serious needs at guard.


2008 Draft
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 28 Lawrence Jackson DE USC
2 38 John Carlson TE Notre Dame
4 121 Red Bryant DT Texas A&M
5 163 Owen Schmitt FB West Virginia
6 189 Tyler Schmitt LS San Diego State
7 233 Justin Forsett RB California
7 235 Brandon Coutu K Georgia

Experts say that every six seconds, someone in the world gets brought in by the Seahawks to play D-line. Seattle has been stockpiling defensive linemen the past few years. Jackson, their latest addition, was a four-year starter in college. He’ll rotate with Patrick Kerney and Darryl Tapp and play inside on passing downs. The Hawks traded their third-round pick to move up 17 slots and snatch Carlson. In him, they believe they’ve finally found their long-term starter at tight end. Careful here––the last guy like this turned into Jerramy Stevens. You don’t see many teams draft back-to-back Schmitts. The fullback version will have a tough time making the roster; the long snapper version will probably, like most long snappers, be here 20 years.



Myth Buster
Myth: The Seattle Seahawks are an offensive team.
The feeling you get when assessing these Seahawks is not unlike the feeling you get when you’ve been outside all day and suddenly realize that, somewhere along the lines, it got dark. Long considered an offensive team, the Seahawks have subtly transformed into anything but. They lack playmakers at all the skill positions other than quarterback, and they no longer boast a dominant front five.
On the other side, their defense is one of the elite 11-man units in the game. With stars like Lofa Tatupu, Julian Peterson, Patrick Kerney and Marcus Trufant, and rising young forces like Brandon Mebane, Darryl Tapp and Kelly Jennings, Seattle has a plentiful blend of defensive playmakers and show stoppers. Given their homefield advantage at noisy Qwest Field, there’s no question about it: Mike Holmgren, a West Coast offense guru, has bread that is buttered with a rich Cover 2 defense.


Open Thought
The coolest new tradition in football is the raising of the 12th Man flag in Seattle. This pregame ritual has managed to avoid falling into the trap of cheesiness or cliché that ruin so many inspirational moments. The idea of featuring a different flag-raising guest each game is excellent. The instant momentum that is built from the moment is an advantage.

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

2008 Fantasy Football Search Expert League Is Set

Alright everyone. Here are the participants in the 2008 FFSEL (Fantasy Football Search Expert League:

Todd Farino, Fantasy Football Sarch,

AJ Pelletier, NFL Fantasy Playbook

Mike Bowser, Xtreme Fantasy Football

Jeff Coruccini, Fantasy Football Starters

Joe Quiles, Owners Box Sports

Geoff Stein, Mock Draft Central

Johnny Archive, Johnny Archive.com

Rhett Oldham, Fantasy Sports Zone

Paul Hickey, NoOffseason.com

Chris Farino, Pro Fantasy Football

Kevin Welsh, Fantasy Football Big Game

Ryan Hallam, Fighting Chance Fantasy

Jeff Mans, Scout Fantasy Football

RC Rizza, Junkyard Jake


We will be creating an expert league section at Fantasy Football Search so you can visit the league. It will be ran in ESPN and can been sen here http://games.espn.go.com/ffl/leagueoffice?leagueId=84789

I will keep you all posted with any developments.

TTG

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Team Report: Carolina Pathers

Carolina Panthers
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 1st
2007 Record: 7-9 (2nd NFC South)
Head Coach: John Fox (7th year)


Roster Quick View
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Jake Delhomme Coming off Tommy John surgery that has reportedly increased his arm strength substantially.
RB: DeAngelo Williams Didn’t get enough touches in 2007. Shifty runner who is a quicker version of Emmitt Smith (in terms of style, that is).
FB: Brad Hoover Another FB who always seems to get it done. Signed a three-year contract to finish his career in his home state.
WR: Steve Smith Uninspiring ’07 season, but look who was throwing him the ball. Defenses had better not ease up on this guy.
WR Muhsin Muhammad** Brought back to fulfill the same possession receiver duties that he handled so well his first nine years here.
TE: Jeff King Caught a respectable 46 passes last season. They’ll ask him to block more in ’08.
LT: Jordan Gross Moving over from right side, but he’s played LT before. His feet are quick and his mind is sharp. He’ll be fine as always.
LG: Travelle Wharton Capable of handling the left tackle duties, but the team wanted to give him an opportunity to thrive. So, they slid him over one space.
C: Ryan Kalil Disappointing as a rookie, but coaches did not hesitate to make him the starter early in the offseason.
RG: Keydrick Vincent** Brought in to add some veteran beef to the front five.
RT: Jeff Otah* First-rounder who is too rough around the edges to play the left side. That’s fine––at 340, he’s more of a natural mauler anyway.
---------------
QB: Matt Moore One of five undrafted quarterbacks on the roster heading into training camp. Has a long-term future as a backup.
RB: Jonathan Stewart* Highly-regarded power-runner before having surgery on a turf toe injury. He’ll split carries with DeAngelo Williams.
WR: D.J. Hackett** Told he would be the starter when he signed. By “starter,” they must have meant “first guy off the bench.”
WR: Dwayne Jarrett Immaturity is a problem. Can’t you just sense that he’s fast becoming a bust?


Defense
LDE: Tyler Brayton** Never established a niche in Oakland, which is partly why he never established much of a stat line either. Not someone you want starting.
DT: Ma’ake Kemoeatu A good space filler more than anything.
DT: Damione Lewis A pass-rushing specialist, though improvements in recent years justify his promotion to starter. Still, he’s nowhere near the player Kris Jenkins was.
RDE: Julius Peppers Coming off a flat-out awful season. The hope is that a move back to the right side––his college position––will ignite him. It could. And so could his expiring contract.
SLB: Thomas Davis Not in the highest stable of linebackers, but a fearsome playmaker who can be a force in a variety of ways.
MLB: Jon Beason Will be the best inside linebacker in football before Winter Solstice.
WLB: Landon Johnson** Versatile veteran who can really thrive in an ancillary role. Agility and adeptness in coverage are a plus.
CB: Chris Gamble Doesn’t flash amazing speed or quickness––he just plays football extremely well. Receivers have a hard time shaking him.
SS: Chris Harris Solid presence––especially if he forces eight fumbles again this year.
FS: Charles Godfrey* Third-round pick who played CB at Iowa. Panthers are smitten over him.
CB: Ken Lucas Good player but highly unlikely that he’ll be able to keep his job from fast-rising Richard Marshall.
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DL: Charles Johnson Has a chance to start, thanks to the dearth of talent at DE. Was only active for two games last season despite being a third-round pick.
LB: Dan Connor* Good player. But not as good Jon Beason. And probably not as good as Thomas Davis. Why exactly did Carolina pick him?
NB: Richard Marshall Crawling with talent; corrects his weaknesses on almost a weekly basis. He can be one of the really good ones.

Key Players Acquired
DL Tyler Brayton (Oak)
OL Milford Brown (Stl)
G Toniu Fonoti (FA)
WR D.J. Hackett (Sea)
S Terrence Holt (Ari)
LB Landon Johnson (Cin)
WR Muhsin Muhammad (Chi)
DT Ian Scott (Phi)
RB LaBrandon Toefield (Jax)
G Keydrick Vincent (Ari)
DT Darwin Walker (Chi)

Key Players Lost
QB David Carr (NYG)
WR Drew Carter (Oak)
WR Keary Colbert (Den)
RB DeShaun Foster (SF)
C Justin Hartwig (Pit)
DT Kris Jenkins (NYJ)
S Marquand Manuel (Den)
DT Kindal Moorehead (Atl)
LB Dan Morgan (NO, retired)
DE Mike Rucker (retired)
QB Vinny Testaverde (retired)
G Mike Wahle (Sea)

It’s always unsettling to see a team with this much roster turnover. Carr was a disaster. Carter and Colbert both underachieved; Muhammad and Hackett are huge upgrades. Foster would have counted nearly $5 million against the cap, which he simply wasn’t worth. They traded Jenkins for mid-round picks. His negative attitude had grown old, but the Panthers will soon realize that he was their most valuable D-lineman. Rucker retired at the right time. So did Testaverde and Morgan. John Fox wasn’t happy with Wahle’s ’07 performance, and the hope is that the bigger Vincent will make the rushing attack more powerful. If he doesn’t then they’ll try Brown or Fonoti. Walker and Scott have both recently been with the Eagles and Bears, though not together. Carolina should be happy if one of them works out. Johnson was a good addition, especially for $10 million over three years.

2008 Draft
Rd Sel #Player Position School
1 13 Jonathan Stewart RB Oregon
1 19 Jeff Otah OT Pittsburgh
3 67 Charles Godfrey CB Iowa
3 74 Dan Connor LB Penn State
5 141 Gary Barnidge TE Louisville
6 181 Nick Hayden DT Wisconsin
7 221 Hilee Taylor DE North Carolina
7 241 Geoff Schwartz OL Oregon
7 250 Mackenzy Bernadeau G Bentley

A lot of teams were scared away by Stewart’s pre-draft foot surgery. But if he gets healthy––and there’s no reason to think he won’t––Carolina will have a first-class talent. Stewart and DeAngelo Williams can form a great duo. Otah is inexperienced but too good not to start right away at RT. Godfrey immediately became the starting FS in minicamp. There were probably about 31 other teams that Connor would have liked to have gone to. He’s a natural MLB who now must hope to crack the starting lineup on the outside. He’s too good to ride the bench for long. All three seventh-rounders face long odds at making the 53-man roster.


Carolina Panthers 2008 Preview Report
The pattern was snapped last season. When the Carolina Panthers failed to finish above .500 for the second year in a row. John Fox’s team has always followed a trend: toggle in mediocrity, then surge by winning 11 games and making some noise in the playoffs. Then, catch your breath the following season with another seven or eight-win campaign. Then, fully energized, come back and have another fruitful run. Look at Carolina’s history: 2002…7-9; 2003…11-5 (reached Super Bowl); 2004…7-9; 2005…11-5 (reached NFC Championship); 2006….8-8; 2007….7-9. Oops.
Order broken. It doesn’t take much to figure out why. The Panthers started four different quarterbacks last season. The only one capable of excelling was Jake Delhomme, and he was lost after two games. You need pitching to win in pro baseball, goaltending to win in pro hockey, a large home market to win in pro basketball and quarterbacking to win in pro football. It’s simple, really.
Delhomme is back now after Tommy John surgery (no, not another baseball reference––actual Tommy John surgery). The 33-year-old’s reconstructed elbow has looked superb thus far. Many are saying that Delhomme is actually a stronger passer now than before. Still, that wasn’t good enough for GM Marty Hurney. Mainly because it wasn’t good enough for owner Jerry Richardson. After a second-consecutive humdrum record, the powers that be in Carolina decided that the team had grown stale. (It had.)
So, Richardson put his front office and coaching staff to work and on notice. The objective was to rid the franchise of toxic energy coming from anyone deemed an underachiever. Or malcontent (i.e. Kris Jenkins). Quarterback David Carr was let go––that was an easy call. Wide receivers Keary Colbert and Drew Carter followed. So did running back DeShaun Foster (not so much an underachiever until you consider that his ’08 cap number was close to $5 million). Guard Mike Wahle, a year removed from the Pro Bowl, disappointed coaches in ’07 and was cut. Sadly but wisely, concussion-riddled linebacker Dan Morgan was released. (Morgan signed with New Orleans before deciding to retire.) Center Justin Hartwig was also dismissed.
The roster mini-purge made room for the new personnel that would fit Carolina’s updated mantra of a power offense (an identity they had drifted away from). Defensively, the Panthers just wanted to tighten the screws.
Everything commenced as planned. Hurney went out and signed 325-pound guard Keydrick Vincent, 330-pound guard Milford Brown and “340-pound” guard Toniu Fonoti (last seen eating a Golden Corral out of business somewhere in his home state of Hawaii). The Carolina coaching staff also told the returning linemen to put on weight and get up to 320 (which Travelle Wharton and Geoff Hangartner did).
Having a meaty offensive line to block only for slashing tailback DeAngelo Williams would not have made much sense. That’s why the Panthers used the 13th-overall pick in the draft on 230-pound Oregon running back Jonathan Stewart. And just to show people they weren’t messing around, they mortgaged seemingly half of their ’09 draft to move back into the first round and take 340-pound right tackle Jeff Otah at No. 19. (Warning to Rosie O’Donnell: watch your back––they’ll want you next.)
Needing to solidify the passing attack and force defenses to think about more than just Steve Smith, Hurney brought back longtime Panther Muhsin Muhammad, a superlative possession receiver. Before signing Muhammad, Hurney––or someone in the organization––had told 6’2”, 208-pound free agent receiver D.J. Hackett that he would be a starter if he joined the team. So Hackett signed. Now, the Panthers have Muhammad and a 6’2”, 208-pound No. 3 receiver who is probably a little bit miffed. They’ll take it.
So the offense is rebuilt, and there’s little question about its identity. Defensively, the losses of tackle Kris Jenkins and end Mike Rucker hurt Carolina (Jenkins’s absence especially). But the anticipated improvements of rising stars Jon Beason (middle linebacker), Thomas Davis (strongside linebacker) and Richard Marshall (cornerback) have the front office and coaching staff giddy. Or are they nervous?
Head coach John Fox has been on what they call the “hot seat” before. So has Hurney. No one has come right out and said it, but 2008 could prove to be the final chance for the leaders in Carolina. Another mediocre season and the Panthers will officially be in a stupor. This franchise can’t afford that. The Tar Heel and Palmetto States create a lower-mid-level sized market that would not respond well to indolence from its football team. Sure, Bank of America Stadium would still sell out––maybe––but Football America would tune out. Carolina can ask their old expansion buddy in Jacksonville about that. Not to mention, business aside, this is football, dammit. Richardson and everyone else in Carolina want to win because winning is just more fun.
Can they? You might be surprised. If everybody stays healthy, this is a solid core group of players here. It’s a group with a nice distribution of veteran experience and youth. With a strong identity in place, the Panthers at least have clear intentions. How will things pan out?

Offense
From all accounts, quarterback Jake Delhomme is healthy. Thus, so is Carolina’s passing attack. Delhomme has never been one to throw lasers, and his athleticism is about as average as a Tuesday. But, over his five years starting, the Louisiana-Lafayette alum has consistently found ways to be effective. Delhomme leads with exuberant passion––something a player can get away with when he understands the offense inside and out. Should Delhomme’s health fail him again, the Panthers would be in trouble. The only other remotely experienced quarterback on the roster is Matt Moore, who entered the league as an undrafted free agent three years ago.
The return of Delhomme means the return of Steve Smith. Perhaps the toughest cover in football outside of Randy Moss, Smith’s impact last season was mitigated by Carolina’s quarterbacking woes. (He was still able to catch 87 passes for 1,002 yards.) Smith and Delhomme have an innate chemistry––the kind where eye contact can lead to the quick-hit completions that give Smith the ball in space. Or, the kind of chemistry that allows the quarterback to force attempts to the 5’9” receiver despite double coverage.
Assuming Smith stays close to 100 percent––and, given his history of broken bones and pulled hamstrings, that’s no minor assumption––the Panther offense will have a perfect big-play weapon to balance the half-court style of Muhsin Muhammad. Carolina’s familiarity with Muhammad is what will relegate D.J. Hackett to the slot. The fifth-year pro was scheduled for a breakout campaign with Seattle in ’07, but a high ankle sprain threw a wrench in the plans. If Hackett stays healthy, he gives the Panthers a dangerous, versatile third receiving option (something they’ve never really had).
Last season’s second-round pick, Dwayne Jarrett, was supposed to evolve into a starter at some point. However, doing so requires maturity, which is why John Fox and offensive coordinator Jeff Davidson are tacitly losing faith in the 22-year-old. They’ll try to work Jarrett into the offensive rotation, though they may wind up settling for the unrefined speed of return specialist Ryne Robinson instead.
Jeff King is a decent tight end, capable of blocking in the run game or catching short passes in the flats (he had 46 receptions in ’07). Because of fullback Brad Hoover’s prominence in this offense, backup tight ends Dante Rosario and fifth-round rookie Gary Barnidge aren’t likely to have significant roles in 2008.
Hoover offers excellent north-south lead-blocking, which fits the brawny approach that the Panthers front line will be taking. All five slots across the offensive line have new bodies in them.
The left side features tackle Jordan Gross (formerly the right tackle) and guard Travelle Wharton (formerly the left tackle). Gross is one of the few Panthers who demurred when asked to bulk up over the offseason. He thought added pounds would hinder his play. At 6’4’, 300, Gross’s game is predicated on mobility. Moving with dexterity amplifies his quickness and strength, plus it allows him to create excellent angles in run-blocking.
Wharton got bigger, raising his weight from 310 to 320. The added size is a gamble considering he blew out his knee in 2006. Shifting Wharton inside had more to do with Carolina’s situation at guard than the fifth-year veteran’s performance at left tackle (though speed rushers sometimes gave him problems). Wharton is a well-schooled player who should prosper in his new position.
Center Ryan Kalil was awful in limited action as a rookie last September. The Panthers, however, like the knowledge and poise he’s shown in practice. Considering he came at a second-round price, they’re willing to try him out. They know they have an excellent insurance policy in backup Geoff Hangartner, a fourth-year veteran with 19 starts under his belt.
Right guard is said to be an open competition between Keydrick Vincent, Milford Brown and Toniu Fonoti. Anyone with at least one good eye and a half-functioning thalamus can see that Vincent is the class of the group. He is powerful at the point of attack and, unlike the men behind him, able to slide his feet in pass protection. It should always raise eyebrows when you see Fonoti’s name in the mix. Once thought to be the next Larry Allen, the ex-Cornhusker stunted his development by eating like the Nutty Professor. Fonoti is reportedly down to his college weight of 340. However, since 2005 the Vikings, Bucs, Dolphins and Falcons have all bought into his act. And all came to regret it.
Right tackle Jeff Otah will be given a crash course in pass-blocking as a rookie. Otah’s potential is unquestioned, but it’s a little surprising that the Panthers would impetuously start him ahead of proven veteran Jeremy Bridges.
Running behind the nearly one-ton worth of offensive linemen will be DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Williams, a first-round pick in 2006, has proven to be effective, averaging 5.0 yards per carry last season. But he doesn’t run with a resounding burst. His greatest strength is using his vision and shiftiness to maximize the blocks in front of him. Stewart will be expected to pack the punch. He’s a bruising runner, but he also has the speed to turn the corner.
Carolina’s depth in the backfield is tremendous. Thirty-year-old Nick Goings is a fullback-tailback tweener who runs well and catches passes out of the backfield. Despite the presence of the first-rounders, Goings may still find a role as a third-down back (he’s excellent in blitz pickup). Additionally, Hoover and ex-Jaguar LaBrandon Toefield can both handle carries in an emergency situation.

Defense
Even with the soaring food costs, $14.5 million for a little over two sacks seems like an awfully hefty price. But that’s what the Panthers are paying defensive end Julius Peppers. The $14.5 million is the cap number for the final year of Peppers’s contract. The sack total (2.5) is what the three-time Pro Bowler produced in a forgettable 2007 season. It’s even harder to fathom an athlete as gifted as Peppers having such a bad year. It’s impossible to fathom him doing it twice.
To help prevent the unfathomable, Carolina moved Peppers from the left side back to his collegiate position on the right. His natural left-handedness will make his new stance feel a bit awkward, but not having to deal with so many tight end chip-blocks will easily offset any discomfort.
Two-and-a-half sacks would feel like a monsoon of pass-rushing production for newly acquired defensive end Tyler Brayton. In five seasons with the Raiders, the former first-rounder registered six sacks total. Just one of those sacks came in the last three years, despite Brayton having suited up for 48 games (16 of which he started). Such hollow productivity makes Brayton the George Costanza of defensive ends. Part of his problem was that the Raiders constantly moved him around (end, defensive tackle, outside linebacker). But an honest football scholar would call this an excuse.
If Brayton doesn’t rise from the dead, he’ll quickly be buried behind second-year pro Charles Johnson. This would speak volumes about Brayton, considering Johnson was only activated for two games last season. It’s like a duel with no guns at left defensive end. Don’t be surprised if the Panthers just say forget it and go with Stanley McClover.
Fox’s relationship with Kris Jenkins must have been strained beyond repair because it’s not often you see a player that good get dealt for third-and fifth-round draft picks. Marty Hurney touted the value of draft picks after the trade, but the fact of the matter is, the whole reason you use draft picks is to find players like Jenkins. And there aren’t many.
Filling his shoes will be Damione Lewis, another former first-rounder who underachieved in St. Louis but has found his niche as a pass-rusher off the bench in Carolina. Lewis was given a three-year, $14 million contract over the offseason, which the Panthers hope can buy improvements in his run defense. Lewis shouldn’t see too many double teams playing next to 345-pound Ma’ake Kemoeatu, and he won’t have to be an everydown force with veterans Ian Scott and Darwin Walker behind him. Walker, in fact, is good enough to take Lewis’s job if he plays up to his par for the first time in three years.
You’re going to be hearing more and more about middle linebacker Jon Beason. The second-year star is the centerpiece of an excellent Carolina linebacking core. Blessed with a host of five-star attributes––including speed, strength, instincts and fire––Beason may already be the best middle linebacker in football. He is a man of integrity and, at 23, already the leader of coordinator Mike Trgovac’s defense.
Beason’s not the only stallion. Strongside linebacker Thomas Davis can be downright terrifying at the point of attack. Davis closes on tackles with uncanny quickness. And being a former safety, he moves remarkably well in space. Former Bengal Landon Johnson borders on stardom as well, though his tertiary role as the weakside linebacker will prevent his name from infiltrating American living rooms in 2008. Johnson is willowy and versatile. If not for Davis’s and Beason’s prowess in pass defense, he’d be an everydown player.
Carolina’s depth at linebacker is tremendous. Rookie Dan Connor is the newest legacy in Penn State’s illustrious linebacking tradition. Carolina had absolutely no immediate need for Connor, but Hurney couldn’t believe that the first-round prospect was still available at pick No. 74. Considering Na’il Diggs is a dependable veteran with 99 starts to his name, it’s possible that Connor won’t even be Carolina’s first linebacker off the bench in ’08. That means he’ll join talented backups James Anderson, Adam Seward and Tim Shaw on special teams.
The secondary is like a burrito: appealing on the outside but qualmish in the middle. Carolina knows they have three good cornerbacks in Chris Gamble, Ken Lucas and Richard Marshall. They think they have two pretty good safeties in Chris Harris and Charles Godfrey.
A snapshot of the secondary can be illustrated through Marshall. In his third season out of Fresno State, Marshall exudes the type of confidence and athleticism of a playmaking star. He intercepted three passes last season, averaging 35.7 yards per runback. He also broke up 11 more.
Simply put, Marshall is too good to be coming off the bench––even as a nickel back. Fox privately toyed with the idea of moving him to free safety, but the Panthers learned the consequences of playing a promising talent out of position too early when they hampered Thomas Davis’s development during his peripatetic rookie year. Carolina’s weakness at free safety was an issue early in the spring––actually it was an issue years before that––but that maybe changed on Draft Day. Fox and company have been enamored with third-round rookie Charles Godfrey. A cornerback at Iowa, Godfrey showed an immediate understanding of his new position and the defensive scheme during minicamp.
His performance relegated Terrence Holt to the bench and probably closed the door on Nate Salley (who has battled injury over his first two years, including a chronically sore knee that landed him on IR in ’07).
Considering Gamble is rock-solid in all realms, Carolina’s best bet might be to start Marshall at right corner and demote Ken Lucas to nickel. This actually happened for a brief period last season. Lucas is considered to be a mid-upper-echelon cornerback––playing in a six-year, $36.5 million contract, he’s certainly compensated like one––but his slow-swiveling hips prevent him from stopping passes that arrive at the point of a receiver’s break.
Chris Harris’s strong safety job is safe. While not always the most efficient traveler in help coverage, Harris is a physical presence who can light people up. He forced a staggering eight fumbles in his first season as a Panther last year.

Special Teams
Although reliable kicker John Kasay was 2/2 from 50-yards-out last season, the Panthers may save his soon-to-be 39-year-old foot by keeping kickoff specialist Rhys Lloyd on the roster. Punter Jason Baker has long been among the elite, though 54 of his 90 boots were returned last season, which is too many. Ryne Robinson was drafted for his return abilities. He had an up-and-down rookie year that the team hopes settled him down for the long haul.

Bottom Line
If all goes well, the Panthers are capable of making a push in the NFC. The only true weak area on the roster is defensive line––and a monster year from Julius Peppers can fix that. Carolina’s front office and coaching staff is executing a specific plan, something that injuries and roster ambiguity have prevented as of late. The NFC South has had a different division champion in all six years of its existence. It could be Carolina’s turn once again.


Myth Buster
Julius Peppers laid down last season.
A taciturn player with a nonchalant demeanor and uncapped athleticism is always going to be accused of dogging it when things don’t go well. The fact of the matter is, Peppers played hard in 2007––he just didn’t play well. His 2.5 sacks were not misleading. They were reflective of the amount of pressure (or lack thereof) he put on the passer each week. Even worse was Peppers’s defense against the run. Offenses had a field day rushing to the 6’7” ex-Tar Heel’s side.
But where Peppers did not vanish was in backside run defense (his speed and length continued to make him a monster in pursuit). No matter how skilled a player is, it still takes a motor to chase the ball. Peppers did that in 2007.


Open Thought
How many famous Steve Smith’s are there? Lots. There are two who play wide receiver in the NFL (the one with the Panthers and the younger one with the Giants). Search Wikipedia and you find 40 different Steve Smiths. Some are Stephen, like the current foreign minister of Australia. Some are Stephen A., like the haughty NBA analyst for ESPN. Some are Stephen (choose a middle name) Smith, like Stephen Edwards Smith, brother-in-law and campaign manager for JFK. Some are Stephen (choose a middle name) (choose the first part of a hyphenated last name) Smith, like Stephen Hector Taylor-Smith, early 1900s pioneer of rocket mail in India (which is exactly what it sounds like….mail delivery by rockets).
And, of course, there are plenty of plain old Steve Smiths––most of them being in sports. Besides the receivers, there’s the former NBA sharp-shooter and ’96 Dream Teamer. There’s the British high jumper, Philadelphia Phillies first base coach and Irish rugby player. There’s even the American pool player, if that counts. The list goes on.
There are plenty of famous Steve Smiths outside of sports, too. The professor at Yale. The jazz/rock drummer. Steve Smith is even the real name of the renowned clown, T.J. Tatters.
Anyway, are you still reading this? You must know a Steve Smith.

Team Report: Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 4th
2007 Record: 4-12 (4th NFC West)
Head Coach: Mike Smith (1st Year)

Roster Quick View
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Chris Redman Is Matt Ryan ready yet?
RB: Michael Turner** Excellent combination of power and speed. Should see sixty percent of the carries and be a 1,000-yard back.
FB: Ovie Mughelli Bruising style of play is a much better fit in the new, true power-run offense.
WR: Roddy White Emerged as a 1,200-yard receiver last season. Can still get a little better.
WR Laurent Robinson A potential star, thanks to long frame, field-stretching speed and impeccable quickness. Also capable of playing in traffic. Keep a close eye here.
TE: Ben Hartsock** Blocking specialist being forced into a starting role.
LT: Sam Baker* Must be more consistent than he was as a banged-up senior at USC. Quick, but how’s his strength?
LG: Justin Blalock Gradually improved as a rookie though, right now, nowhere near the run-blocker he could be. His pass protection’s not bad.
C: Todd McClure Veteran cog who has been holding down the fort inside for the better part of the past nine years.
RG: Kynan Forney Hasn’t been the same since 2006 shoulder surgery. Atlanta should ponder a change here.
RT: Todd Weiner Faces uphill battle after serious microfracture surgery on left knee late last fall.
---------------
QB: Joey Harrington If he were a robot, he’d be a star. Unfortunately, he’s a deep-thinking human being with a good memory.
RB: Jerious Norwood Has averaged an insane 6.2 yards per carry over the past two seasons. When he gets around the edge, he could be the biggest home run threat in football.
WR: Harry Douglas* Lacks great size (5’11, 170), but scouts love his potential in the slot.
WR: Michael Jenkins Okay, so he hasn’t lived up to first-round billing. Doesn’t mean he’s not a solid blocker and special teams player.
TE: Martrez Milner Shows some positive signs as a blocker when used in motion.
OL: Tyson Clabo Performed admirably off the bench last season. Will probably eek into the starting lineup at RT in 2008.


Defense
LDE: Jamaal Anderson Eighth-overall pick last season who produced zero sacks. He’ll never be a good pass-rusher, but he’s terrific against the run.
NT: Montavious Stanley Deserves some playing time because he can be effective anywhere on the front line. But having him start at NT is a bit much.
UT: Jonathan Babineaux Significantly improved his quickness and mobility last season. Capable of starting but needs better players around him.
RDE: John Abraham Feared pass-rusher who should only be playing third downs. Becomes a cross between the Lion and Tinman when asked to stop the run.
SLB: Michael Boley Would be Atlanta’s best defensive player if he operated with a greater sense of reckless abandonment.
MLB: Curtis Lofton* Huge undertaking if he indeed starts from Day One. Not oozing with talent, but hard-working and productive. Will that be enough?
WLB: Keith Brooking Pro Bowler and leader who eagerly moves back to natural weakside spot after being stuck in the middle for two years.
CB: Chris Houston Survived as a rookie starter in 11 games last season, but in no way is he a No. 1 CB at this point.
SS: Lawyer Milloy Veteran captain who is almost certain to retire after the season.
FS: Erik Coleman** Couldn’t consistently get on the field in New York. You don’t mind his starting….when someone in front of him is injured, that is.
CB: Von Hutchins** Brought in to provide depth at all the DB positions. Atlanta’s scarcity of talent forced him into the first string.
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DL: Chauncey Davis Nowhere near being fast enough to reach the quarterback. Questionable strength makes him an iffy contributor.
LB: Stephen Nicholas The previous coaching staff loved him. Will find a chance to emerge as a starter at some point….just don’t know where, when or why.
NB: David Irons Second-year player who has performed well on special teams.



Key Players Acquired
FS Erik Coleman (NYJ)
K Jason Elam (Den)
DE Simon Fraser (Cle)
TE Ben Hartsock (Ten)
CB Von Hutchins (Hou)
FB Corey McIntyre (FA)
DT Rashad Moore (NE)
DT Kindal Moorehead (Car)
C Alex Stepanovich (Cin)
RB Michael Turner (SD)

Key Players Lost
TE Courtney Anderson (Buf)
TE Dwayne Blakley (Ten)
DT Rod Coleman
S Chris Crocker (Mia)
TE Alge Crumpler (Ten)
RB Warrick Dunn (TB)
OT Wayne Gandy
CB DeAngelo Hall (Oak)
QB Byron Leftwich
S Omare Lowe (Sea)
CB Lewis Sanders (NE)
LB Demorrio Williams (KC)
DB Jimmy Williams

GM Thomas Dimitroff and the new coaching staff came in and cleaned house. Hall, Dunn, Crumpler and Coleman were four of the team’s top veterans. Atlanta only got a second-round pick for Hall (and a fifth-rounder in ’09) because Hall’s public discontent compromised Dimitroff’s leverage. Leftwich was not worth having around. Demorrio Williams and Sanders were solid but, in the spirit of a roster overhaul, expendable. Jimmy Williams, a second-round pick in 2006, was a bust of monumental proportions. Of the players brought in, only Turner is of distinct significance.


2008 Draft
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 3 Matt Ryan QB Boston College
1 21 Sam Baker T USC
2 37 Curtis Lofton LB Oklahoma
3 68 Chevis Jackson CB Louisiana State
3 84 Harry Douglas WR Louisville
3 98 Thomas DeCoud FS California
5 138 Robert James MLB Arizona State
5 154 Kroy Biermann LB Montana
6 172 Thomas Brown RB Georgia
7 212 Wilrey Fontenot CB Arizona
7 232 Keith Zinger TE Louisiana State

This could prove to be a great draft class. Making six picks in the first three rounds is uncommon. It goes without saying that the Falcons are banking on having a franchise QB in Ryan. They’re paying him an absurd amount ($72 million over six years). They clearly reached on Baker after the run on offensive tackles twisted their arm. Lofton is the latest Oklahoma linebacker to be drafted. The Falcons are hoping he works out better than his Sooner predecessors Rufus Alexander, Rocky Calmus and Teddy Lehman. Jackson will have a chance to compete right away, and they’re excited about Douglas as a slot receiver. DeCoud will likely start in 2009.



Atlanta Falcons 2008 Preview Report
We all know how bad it was. The 2007 Atlanta Falcons endured what might be the most disastrous single season in NFL history. Their 4-12 record paints too rosy a picture. And it’s not like they were prepared for the downfall. The Falcons went 7-9 in 2006––lackluster but not awful. Everything fell apart after that. Their franchise player went to prison. Their supposedly innovative new head coach divided the locker room before screwing them over. The ripple effect of both sucker punchers was torturous. After all was said and done, the Falcons franchise looked like football’s version of a before and after picture in an anti-Meth campaign.
Unlike so many downtrodden organizations, the Falcons weren’t entirely to blame for their problems. They simply made two good investments in what proved to be two bad people. Owner Arthur Blank handled both ordeals with the utmost class. There wasn’t a football fan in America that didn’t feel sorry for the billionaire –
except for maybe the billionaire himself.
Taking it on the chin and in stride, Blank was supportive of Michael Vick as a fellow man, and firm with him as a businessman. Blank went after $22 million of Vick’s original signing bonus, all but severing the last of the quarterback’s ties to the organization. (A judge ruled that Vick could keep the bonus.) Blank took a similar approach with Bobby Petrino. He allowed Petrino to bail on their agreement and bolt for Arkansas––why keep a head coach around if he didn’t want to be there?––but made sure that Petrino would not coach pro football in the immediate future. (Petrino’s dastardly midnight exit probably ensured that he’ll never coach pro football again.)
Soon after, Blank made his most critical move of all: the demolition. He tore down the Falcons and started anew. Team president Rich McKay, a former candidate for the commissioner job, was relieved of his player personnel duties in order to focus more on the franchise’s business aspects. Patriots director of college scouting Thomas Dimitroff was hired to take over as the general manager. Blank then stood back and watched his front office swing the wrecking balls.
To no one’s surprise, the first wrecking ball collapsed the deteriorated coaching staff. Only four assistants were retained (one of them was last season’s interim head coach Emmitt Thomas). Once the rubble was bulldozed, Dimitroff and McKay hired Jaguars defensive coordinator Mike Smith to be the 14th head coach in club history. The low-profile, defensive-oriented Smith is the antithesis of Bobby Petrino. After constructing a new coaching staff, Smith quickly joined the front office in the demolition efforts.
Over a seven-week period, the Falcons axed disenchanted tight end Alge Crumpler (a four-time Pro Bowler), granted the release of august running back Warrick Dunn, cut ties with December-added quarterback Byron Leftwich, terminated the tenures of veterans Rod Coleman, Wayne Gandy and Lewis Sanders, said goodbye to safety Chris Crocker, traded cornerback DeAngelo Hall (a superstar but proverbial malcontent) and booted out mega-bust defensive back Jimmy Williams. Following many of the veterans out the door was the tension and strife that had polluted the locker room.
Blank’s crew didn’t focus only on razing the roster––they broke ground on what figures to be at least a two-year construction project. The Falcons addressed some immediate needs in free agency, most notably at running back where they signed 26-year-old Michael Turner, long known as LaDainian Tomlinson’s backup. Most importantly, they dialed in on the draft.
Thanks to the DeAngelo Hall trade, as well as the previous year’s trade of Matt Schaub (which came to be viewed as cruel irony after Vick’s imprisonment), Dimitroff had four second-round picks at his disposal, along with the No. 3 overall selection and a pair of third-round choices. After some draft day bartering, the Falcons came away with six rookies whom they think can one day start. Included in the six are a franchise quarterback (Matt Ryan), a left tackle (Sam Baker) and a middle linebacker (Curtis Lofton). That’s three players at three keynote positions.
The construction of Atlanta’s foundation has not been without debate. Some have pointed out that the team did not follow its blueprints of building from the middle up front. (The Falcons have explained that the talent in this draft was too thin at the interior positions. )
Many have questioned whether Ryan is the right man to lead this franchise into tomorrow. Detractors argue that he had just one good season at Boston College. Backers counter that, when healthy, he’s been prolific in big moments. (And also that he has no dog fighting record.)
Atlanta traded two second-round picks to move up and snatch Baker at No. 21. Everyone agrees that this was a reach; Baker himself was even surprised to go so early. But with Dimitroff seeing five offensive tackles drafted in the first 19 slots, and shuddering at thoughts of guys like Renardo Foster and Quinn Ojinnaka protecting his new franchise quarterback’s blindside, he pulled the trigger on the quick but inconsistent ex-Trojan.
Lofton has not received nearly the amount of scrutiny as the two men picked ahead of him, but his selection was perhaps the most puzzling. The Falcons already had an upper-tier middle linebacker in Keith Brooking. And defensive coordinator Brian VanGorder was the linebackers coach on a staff that raved about rookie weakside linebacker Stephen Nicholas a year ago. Dimitroff and company, however, were taken by Lofton’s passion and overachievement at Oklahoma. They drafted him to, they hope, be their immediate starting middle linebacker (Brookings moves back to his natural weakside position, Nicholas comes off the bench).
As usual, only time will tell with everything. Blank’s Falcons have embraced their rebuilding project and put the 2007 season forever behind them. They won’t win a lot of games in 2008––not with a lineup that, on quick-glance, features only six rock-solid contributors between both sides of the ball. But the Falcons are doing what they can. And really, what more can you ask for?

Offense
So should they throw the rookie to the wolves in Week 1? For years, the answer to this question has been dripping with pros and cons. There is a litany of case studies on the topic. And, like snowflakes, no two are alike. Troy Aikman started, struggled, then flourished. David Carr started, struggled, then floundered. Carson Palmer sat and later excelled. Jim Druckenmiller sat and never did anything.
Determining whether Matt Ryan is ready will be up to Mike Smith and offensive coordinator Mike Mularkey. If they feel their $72 million ace is mentally prepared to handle the weight of an NFL playbook and onslaught of faster defenses, they’ll put him under center in September. If, however, they think that doing so raises the risk of scarring Ryan’s psyche and creating the next Joey Harrington, they’ll give the nod to placeholder Chris Redman. The 31-year-old Redman performed admirably in his four starts last season, registering a rating of 90.4 overall. Still, it is highly unlikely that the Falcons will soon have a Drew Brees-Philip Rivers situation on their hands. Redman, accurate as he may be, is neither athletic enough nor savvy enough to be a star.
The fact that Atlanta brought back Harrington suggests they may be inclined to wait patiently on Ryan. Harrington has proven incapable of starting, but he’s too good to be a No. 3. Essentially, he’s around to back up Redman.
A lot of times, the decision to start a rookie quarterback hinges on the coaching staff’s trust in the offensive line. Ryan has solid pocket mobility and showed strong poise throughout his senior season, but he can’t run for his life like the franchise quarterback here before him. Questions abound across Atlanta’s front five. For starters, it’s still unclear how this team will handle Mularkey’s power-blocking approach. Center Todd McClure, right guard Kynan Forney and right tackle Todd Weiner were all here during the Alex Gibbs’s zone-blocking era. Last season, most of the O-linemen struggled with the transition from finesse to brute force under Petrino’s system. But, of course, that could have been a product of the system’s flaws.
The questions don’t stop at the scheme. Weiner is coming off microfracture surgery on his left knee. Few players recover from the operation. If Weiner becomes another statistic, then third-year pro Tyson Clabo will reoccupy the position he manned so well in Weiner’s absence last year. There’s also an outside chance that second-year guard Justin Blalock would move to right tackle. Blalock (6’4”, 329) has more than enough size, but he’s still developing his run-blocking range and awareness on the inside. Plus, moving him would likely put former left tackle Quinn Ojinnaka in the lineup at guard. Ojinnaka’s lack of lower-body strength would cause serious problems there.
Forney comes with questions as well––the main one being, Can he still play? He hasn’t been the same since his ’06 shoulder surgery. The Falcons, in fact, may want to consider using backup center Alex Stepanovich in this spot. Every team Stepanovich plays for seems to vacillate between starting the fifth-year pro or using him in an auxiliary role off the bench. If Atlanta starts Stepanovich, it likely wouldn’t be at center. Todd McClure is only 31 and still effective.
The questions about left tackle Sam Baker are relevant. Baker is already with the first unit (more experienced tackle Renardo Foster is big, but that’s about it). The issue for Baker will be how much tight end help he’ll require. Mularkey loves to utilize ace formations, so the template is there. But the personnel might not be.
Starter Ben Hartsock was a blocking specialist with Tennessee. Martrez Milner, a fourth-round pick a year ago, has shown positive signs blocking out of an H-back position. Fullback Ovie Mughelli is another presence, though most of his impact will come between the tackles.
In stark contrast to the Alge Crumpler years, none of Atlanta’s tight ends are receiving threats. Look for Mularkey to compensate for this by incorporating running backs Michael Turner and Jerious Norwood more in the passing game. The 237-pound Turner established an identity as somewhat of a bruising back during his time in San Diego, but in fact, scouts give high grades to his abilities as a receiver. Norwood, raw as he remains, is also a reliable outlet. Prioritizing him in the passing game would be a wise move. There aren’t a lot of players who are more dangerous in space (for proof, YouTube some of the highlights behind Norwood’s absurd 6.2 career yards per carry average).
The key to the passing game will still be the wide receivers. Veteran Joe Horn remains Atlanta’s most recognized name on offense, but the 36-year-old isn’t happy about playing behind No. 4 wideout Michael Jenkins. Considering that Horn makes $2.5 million and isn’t much better than Adam Jennings, Atlanta probably isn’t too thrilled with the situation either. Don’t be surprised if, by the time you read this, Horn has already been released.
After seemingly dropping every ball he touched his first three years, Roddy White blossomed into a genuine weapon in 2007. Even with the Falcons’ unstable quarterback situation, White notched 83 receptions for 1,202 yards. He’s not much of a presence over the middle––he has concentration lapses in traffic and inadequate strength––but he can stretch the field and run nice routes.
White’s days as Atlanta’s premier receiver could actually be numbered if second-year pro Laurent Robinson harnesses all of his talent. Robinson has stunning quickness in and out of his breaks and will surprise not only by burning opponents with speed, but also by making plays in the short-range as well. If third-round rookie Harry Douglas can zip around from the slot as expected, the Falcons will present a lot of receiving speed for defenses to deal with.

Defense
If Mike Smith had to verbalize it, his words could be mistaken for dry humor. Okay Coach, you want to build your Cover 2 around a strong interior presence up front. I gotcha. So who are your tackles?.....Montavious Stanley and Jonathan Babineaux?........Oh! I get it! Ha-ha. Good one, Coach.
He’s serious. As the defensive coordinator in Jacksonville, Smith decided that he rather liked having Marcus Stroud and John Henderson regulating the trenches. But in Stanley and Babineaux, he has two decent-moving tackles who are by no means destructive enough to jointly control the line of scrimmage. Smith could even line up Tim Anderson, Kindal Moorehead and Rashad Moore directly behind the starters, play 14 on 11, and still not match the force he had in Stroud and Henderson.
Smith will tweak his mantra for the time being (if his Cover 2 was utterly dependent on having dominant tackles, the Falcons would have drafted Glenn Dorsey and signed Grady Jackson). Smith’s bigger issues could be at defensive end anyway. Last year’s first-round pick Jamaal Anderson started 16 games as a rookie and recorded the same number of sacks as Jimmy Carter. Anderson was unable to be explosive while processing NFL reads. When he finally settled down later in the season, he proved to be an immovable object against the run. Comfortable or not, Anderson will never be a big time pass-rusher, which is why the Falcons will slide him inside on third downs.
John Abraham is the other starting end. On the surface, you see a former Pro Bowler who led the team with 10 sacks last season. However, those 10 sacks don’t overwrite the vast number of plays that the fragile veteran gave up in the run game. Or the number of plays that he gave up on. If Chauncey Davis were a better player, Abraham would be coming off the bench as a pass-rushing specialist.
Strongside linebacker Michael Boley will have that role in 2008. Boley offers fluid speed and a good first-step––two traits that could also make him the team’s best linebacker if he plays with more aggression. Boley is not timid or lazy, he just doesn’t show the chipped shoulder needed to dominate.
Keith Brooking––the co-defensive captain with Lawyer Milloy––had his wish granted and will move back to his natural weakside position. Brooking prefers to operate in space, where he can use his speed to chase the ball. Triple-digit tackle totals are a given with him. What he must do is be a leader and help rookie Curtis Lofton handle his starting middle linebacker duties (assuming Loften can take the job from undrafted second-year guy Tony Taylor). Up-and-comer Stephen Nicholas, a fourth-round pick a year ago, will become an up-and-stayer in a reserve role.
Atlanta’s wild card will be the defensive backfield. There is a gaping hole to fill at left cornerback where DeAngelo Hall and his supersized ego once resided. Elite cornerbacks are hard to come by in pro football, and the Falcons may soon regret dealing the one they had. Former Texan Von Hutchins is slated to start in Hall’s place. Hutchins is underrated in pure coverage. He has very fluid technique and can stay with the quickest of receivers, despite not being physical. He’s not much of a tackler, which is why it would be foolish for Atlanta to follow through on the idea of playing him at safety.
Chris Houston is the right cornerback. He survives with acceptable athleticism and okay open-field abilities, but he’s not ready to handle the responsibilities of being the No. 1 guy. Chevis Jackson was drafted in the third round because his game is tailored for a Cover 2 scheme. If he progresses quicker than expected, he’ll take the nickel back job from David Irons. There’s also an outside chance that former undrafted free agent Brent Grimes––a Shippensburg product––could work his way into the mix.
Thirty-four-year-old strong safety Lawyer Milloy is approaching his post-football life, but don’t assume that he can’t still be a factor in run support. Milloy lacks range in coverage, and it’s suspect how effective newcomer Erik Coleman will be in this sense. Coleman plays at an accelerated pace, but he never showed playmaking capabilities as a Jet. Coaches are high on third-round pick Thomas DeCoud after seeing the amount of ground he covers when the ball’s in the air. DeCoud has picked up the Cover 2 scheme in a hurry, but his inexperience will leave him in a reserve role for at least the first half of the season.

Special Teams
What? No Morten Andersen? Not yet anyway. The ancient kicker usually makes his way onto the roster sometime around Halloween, though the Falcons are hoping that the addition of Jason Elam will stop that. Elam is 10 years younger than Andersen but still close to 40. His range will decrease now that he’s left the elevation in Denver, but Atlanta is confident in his power.
In all likelihood, they’ll still continue to refer to Michael Koenen on kickoffs. Koenen’s main responsibilities are punting, which he did well last season (30 balls inside the 20-yard-line versus five touchbacks).
Jerious Norwood is the kick returner, though you wonder if this will remain the case should his role in the offense increase. Punt returner Adam Jennings ran back a few kicks last season. He is ho-hum with the ball in his hands.

Bottom Line
Right now, just about anything is possible in the NFL. If the Atlanta Falcons somehow reach the postseason, you can change that to read “just about anything is possible in the NFL.” The offense is being pieced together but, like the defense, still has a long ways to go. The morale of this team shouldn’t be an issue; Arthur Blank has done a wonderful job of moving his organization forward after the catastrophe that was the 2007 season.


Myth Buster
Wide Receiver Joe Horn is a leader.
This is a tough one to write. You can’t forget the role Horn played in New Orleans’s post-Katrina efforts two years ago. His dignity that season was nothing short of honorable.
Unfortunately for the Falcons, Horn’s leadership never followed him across the Georgia border. This was evident last season when, on Monday night, he engaged in Roddy White’s senseless touchdown mafficking by pointing out White’s “Free Mike Vick” shirt under his jersey (Vick had just been sentenced to 23 months in prison that day).
Imagine what Arthur Blank and Falcon officials felt when they saw their players––and supposed leader––glorifying the circumstances that had humiliated and doomed the organization. The Vick story was the blaze that burned the Falcons. And on a nationally televised stage, the veteran leader Horn poured gasoline on it.
This occurred roughly five months before Horn would request a trade after realizing he was on the brink of falling out of the receiver rotation. Horn did not make a bunch of noise like so many receivers seem to do, but he certainly forgot that he was brought in to help teach the young guys.

Open Thought
The Falcons once played in what many considered the finest stadium in football. In the early 90’s, the Georgia Dome was a glistening venue. Although Arthur Blank has spent more than $150 million in renovations––mainly adding club seating––the general look and feel of the place has fallen out of date in this era of retractable roof stadiums.
Watching games in old domes is depressing––especially during the daytime. It’s Sunday afternoon and you’re already indoors, glued to the television. Seeing a game that is also indoors just amplifies the lethargy you feel yourself wallowing in.

Monday, July 21, 2008

Team Report: New Orleans Saints (pre Shockey)

New Orleans Saints
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 2nd
2007 Record: 7-9 (3rd NFC South)
Head Coach: Sean Payton (3rd year)


Roster Quick View
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Drew Brees As accurate as any passer in the game. Set an NFL record with 440 completions last season. Also led all non-Brady quarterbacks with 4,423 yards.
RB: Deuce McAllister A truly noble pro’s pro, which is why it hurts to doubt him coming off left ACL and right microfracture knee surgery.
FB: Mike Karney A more than serviceable FB who is like every other man at his position: gritty and a little clumsy athletically.
WR: Marques Colston Highly productive WR who is built like a TE. Quickly making his way up the NFL food chain.
WR: David Patten Good veteran who can really hurt defenses running after the catch.
TE: Eric Johnson Like a Pop Warner tight end in that nothing he catches is longer than seven yards downfield.
LT: Jammal Brown Took a half-step back last season, but don’t read too much into that. One of the finest blockers in the game.
LG: Jamar Nesbit An unheralded road-grader who should have gotten some Pro Bowl consideration last year.
C: Jonathan Goodwin Mild downgrade from Jeff Faine, but he’s handled the starting duties before. Saints like his versatility.
RB: Jahri Evans Might be the league’s best guard. It’s amazing more football purists aren’t buzzing about this guy. On a scale of 1-100, he’s a 97.5.
RT: Jon Stinchcomb Picture textbook technique and then ask yourself what the opposite of that might look like. Your answer’s right here. Still, he gets the job done.
------------------------
QB: Mark Brunell** Don’t want to imply that he’s just hanging on….but he’s starting to look like a left-handed Testaverde.
RB: Reggie Bush You’ve read the hype. Now read this: his longest play last season? Twenty-five yards.
WR: Robert Meachem First-rounder in ’07 who was inactive for all 16 games. But impressed everyone with attitude and progress during the offseason.
WR: Devery Henderson Would be starting if he didn’t let so many passes hit the turf.
TE: Mark Campbell Coming off back surgery and may not be able to stay ahead of receiving threat Billy Miller.


Defense
LDE: Charles Grant Somewhat lackluster ’07 campaign seems insignificant after his involuntary manslaughter indictment over the offseason. Has a lot of non-football business on his plate.
DT: Sedrick Ellis* Played NT at USC but Saints will likely ask him to work the three-technique. They really need him to be an interior presence.
NT: Hollis Thomas Will make two or three monstrous plays a game….though he usually offsets them by falling on his face two or three times. Weight has been an issue.
RDE: Will Smith Pro Bowl caliber player who just signed a seven-year, $63 million deal. Coaches like his locker room presence.
SLB: Scott Fujita Defensive captain who plays an effective, gritty brand of football.
MLB: Jonathan Vilma** Saints traded a fourth-round choice and a conditional ’09 pick to get him. If he regains his pre-knee operation form, then New Orleans got a steal.
WLB: Scott Shanle Leaves a lot to be desired in terms of sheer skill, but makes good reads and has adept footwork.
CB: Mike McKenzie Physical cover corner but 32 years old and coming off a torn ACL from December.
SS: Roman Harper They wouldn’t give this guy up in the abortive Jeremy Shockey deal. Great strength, must be more consistent in coverage.
FS: Josh Bullocks Neither good nor bad, fast nor slow. Not strong or weak and isn’t smart or stupid. He just is.
CB: Randall Gay At least they didn’t pay him as much as they paid Jason David. Can survive as a starter but won’t ignite the secondary.
-----------------------
DL: Bobby McCray Pass-rushing specialist who recorded double-digit sacks with Jacksonville two years ago.
LB: Mark Simoneau A much better fit as a utility veteran off the bench.
NB: Tracy Porter* Instability at CB could land him in the starting lineup much sooner than expected.


Key Player Acquisitions
QB Mark Brunell (Was)
CB Randall Gay (NE)
CB Aaron Glenn (Jax)
OL Matt Lehr (TB)
DE Bobby McCray (Jax)
LB Jonathan Vilma (NYJ)

Key Player Losses
DE Josh Cooper
C Jeff Faine (TB)
S Steve Gleason (retired)
K Olindo Mare (Sea)
LB Matt McCoy (TB)
LB Brian Simmons
DE Renaldo Wynn (NYG)

The addition of Vilma is tremendous. He’s an elite MLB when healthy. He could invigorate this defense. Gay fills the void at CB left by last year’s disappointing free agent signing Jason David (now a dime back). Lehr gives them depth at G and C, but he won’t replace Faine as the starter. McCray adds pass-rushing prowess off the bench. Gleason’s special teams contributions will be missed. Mare’s won’t. The rest of the departed veterans are easily replaceable.


2008 - New Orleans Saints
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 7 Sedrick Ellis DT USC
2 40 Tracy Porter CB Indiana
5 144 DeMario Pressley DT North Carolina State
5 164 Carl Nicks OT Nebraska
6 178 Taylor Mehlhaff K Wisconsin
7 237 Adrian Arrington WR Michigan

Considering they traded their fourth-rounder to get Jonathan Vilma, the Saints did an excellent job of plugging holes in this draft. They hope Ellis gives them the interior playmaking presence that the defense sorely needs. They sacrificed their third-round pick just to move up three spots to get him. Scouts were divided about Porter. He handled shutdown responsibilities in college, but not everyone admires his technique. Pressley will be used as a pass-rusher, which seems odd considering he had just 4.5 sacks in his career with the Wolf Pack. Nicks is powerful, Mehlhaff will compete with Martin Gramatica and Arrington is a project.



New Orleans Saints 2008 Preview Report
Have you ever met someone and been immediately impressed––even enamored––with the breadth of their knowledge and creativity? They seem to think just like you, only with slightly better ideas. You’re so intrigued that you come up with a brilliant project and then partner with this charismatic individual. Then, close to halfway through the project you realize this person is not at all what you thought they were. Ever been there?
We call these people flakes. The New Orleans Saints were the biggest flakes in football last season. After exploding as the darlings of the NFL in their miraculous post-Katrina ’06 campaign, they became the trendiest preseason pick. America partnered with New Orleans. But once the project began, the Saints waffled.
They started 0-4. When many quickly gave up on them, they rebounded to win four straight. Surrounded once again with excitement, the Saints promptly dropped three out of their next four. When people groaned, they won three out of four and got right back in the playoff picture. That set the stage for a two-game skid, a 7-9 finish and a lot of baffled partners standing alone wondering what happened.
This is how flakes operate. What’s maddening is, every time you’re ready to write them off, they show you just enough encouraging evidence to rope you back in. When you’re ready to sever ties again, the cycle repeats. You never can figure out how good the flakes actually are at what they do. They’re not as good as expected––you know that. But they’re magnificent at finding second chances.
This is where the Saints are in 2008. After disappointing the masses in ’07, they’re back to looking good.
The Saints have a high-powered offense led by venerable quarterback Drew Brees and imaginative play-caller Sean Payton. They have potentially the most dazzling runner in the game in Reggie Bush. And their receivers all seem capable of stretching the field. Defensively, New Orleans has two $63 million dollar defensive ends (Charles Grant and Will Smith). Their linebackers are hard-working and their secondary is on the rise. It is very difficult to pick against this team.
But before you go to Vegas and take those 22:1 odds, stop and realize that the Saints headed into the season with these same circumstance last year. Beneath the glamour and glitz you see that Brees is the same quarterback who threw 18 interceptions. And the imaginative Payton is woefully impatient when it comes to establishing the run. Can’t blame him––Bush didn’t register a single play over 25 yards last season. (Think about that. The almighty Reggie Bush didn’t make a run or catch longer than 25 yards last season. His average yards per carry was a trifling 3.7.) And New Orleans’s field-stretching receivers dropped more balls than a driving range dispenser. As for all those players on defense? Please––as a unit they ranked 26th overall. The $63 million ends combined for 9.5 sacks.
So what are we to believe? Talented or flakey? Or both? A lot rides on two things: the offense’s ability to run the ball, and the defense’s ability to integrate an infusion of new talent (defensive tackle Sedrick Ellis, defensive end Bobby McCray, middle linebacker Jonathan Vilma and cornerbacks Randall Gay and Tracy Porter).
First, the offense. Run the ball. Sounds simple. But Payton abandoned the run game last season after Deuce McAllister went down with a torn ACL in Week 3. Bush inherited the feature back job and learned that life as an NFL runner can be difficult when you don’t trust your blocking or appreciate the value of a tough four yards. Payton and Bush are the key ingredients to New Orleans’s offensive success in ’08. The latter can greatly influence the former simply by maturing. More on this later.
How about the defense? It was bad last year––no doubt. Its feebleness up the middle was crippling. With no interior pass-rushing presence, opposing offenses were able to dial in on Grant and Smith. Having all day to throw, quarterbacks torched New Orleans defensive backs (namely Jason David, though safeties Josh Bullocks and Roman Harper were nothing to marvel at either). And teams didn’t fear creaky Brian Simmons or the rest of the linebacking core.
In spring, Saints general manager Mickey Loomis set out to right these wrongs. He added another pass-rusher in ex-Jaguar Bobby McCray. Then he brought in Patriots cornerback Randall Gay who, unlike David, will not step in with a debilitating unfamiliarity of man-coverage. To indemnify his investment, Loomis also signed 15th-year veteran Aaron Glenn, a valuable practice presence who can bring some much-needed leadership.
Then, the GM traded a fourth-round draft pick to the Jets in exchange for middle linebacker Jonathan Vilma. The ’04 Defensive Rookie of the Year was expendable because the Jets did not trust his surgically repaired right knee or think he could operate in Eric Mangini’s 3-4 defense. If Vilma regains his form, as expected, this trade could turn into football’s version of the Louisiana Purchase. A mid-round pick––okay, two mid-round picks if Vilma meets certain playing time quotas––for an upper echelon middle linebacker!? A 26-year-old upper echelon middle linebacker?
The defensive tackle situation was addressed on Draft Day when Loomis dealt his third-round selection in order to move up to New England’s No. 7 slot and nab USC’s Sedrick Ellis. The four-year Trojan plays both tackle positions and is expected to start right away.
On the surface, this all sounds pretty good. Of course, with flakes, it always does.

Offense
Above all else, understand that this offense has a chance to be great simply because it has arguably the best front five in the NFC (a front five were every starter weighs over 310 pounds). Coached by offensive coordinator Doug Marrone––who, with Sean Payton calling the plays, can afford the added responsibilities––New Orleans’s offensive line gave up a league-low 16 sacks in 2007 (second best in franchise history).
Left tackle Jammal Brown is the most trumpeted of the group. The fourth-year pro from Oklahoma possesses punishing power and the mobility to be a force in the run game. Brown was an All-Pro in 2006, though mental mistakes and emotional volatility caused his play to drop a level last season. New Orleans actually shopped Brown around prior to the draft, hoping to move up and be in a position to select Glenn Dorsey. It’s doubtful that they’ll let go of Brown now. And it’s doubtful that he’ll fail to rebound in ’08.
For all the notoriety Brown gets, right guard Jahri Evans is actually the team’s best lineman. The third-year pro out of Bloomsburg (Bloomsburg? Anyone?....It’s in East-Central Pennsylvania) has been darn near flawless starting all 32 games in his career. He is a brilliant tactician blessed with tremendous strength and agile feet. The Saints would be wise to get more movement on his side in the ground game and allow him to flourish at the second level. That, however, would put more strain on right tackle Jon Stinchcomb, a dependable veteran but one who lacks the dexterity to do much more than scrap and survive.
Ninth-year left guard Jamar Nesbit still has excellent pop. At 325 pounds he’s a force as a run-blocker. Nesbit won’t have a nasty center playing next to him this season, as Jeff Faine was allowed to leave in free agency. Replacing Faine is former utility backup Jonathan Goodwin, an adequate plugger who performed well in his two starts last season. As an insurance policy, New Orleans signed guard-center Matt Lehr.
Given the power of the offensive line, it is almost inexcusable for the Saints to not conjure a formidable rushing attack in 2008. Reggie Bush, while the team’s most important figure, is not the one to spearhead it. The hope is that 29-year-old veteran Deuce McAllister can once again pound the rock behind fullback Mike Karney.
The Saints need an Obama-esque orator to sell this hope. McAllister is coming back from double knee surgery. His left knee operation repaired the ACL tear that felled him in Week 3 last year. His right knee operation was a microfracture procedure to correct the residual effects of the ACL tear he suffered in 2005. There isn’t a soul alive that doesn’t want to see the honorable seventh-year vet succeed. But what McAllister is attempting to do is next to impossible––especially for a running back. Should he be unable to go, New Orleans will call on either Aaron Stecker or Pierre Thomas, neither of whom weighs more than 215.
Bush is not a pounder. Granted, the Saints will continue to work with him on his patience as an inside runner, and they’ll ask him to get tougher in fighting for hard yards in traffic. But Bush is much more than a classic running back. He, in fact, is at his best when there is a power-runner in the backfield with him who can keep defenders honest and free from swarming the flats.
Sean Payton’s primary focus needs to remain getting Bush the ball in space. This requires using the third-year pro as a receiver––something he thrives at––and giving him freedom as an outside runner. If nothing else, the Saints need to ensure that Bush runs with more compactness and discipline. His willowy rushing style makes him dangerously susceptible to big hits. New Orleans can’t afford to lose his value as a decoy.
Drew Brees is a prolific passer, and Payton’s spread-formations naturally lend considerable playmaking opportunities to the receivers. Marques Colston is the best of the bunch. A seventh-round pick three years ago, the 6’4”, 231-pound Colston is an unstoppable possession target who is also capable of making plays deep. He caught a team-record 98 passes last season, 11 of them for touchdowns. The Saints are hoping to lock Colston up in a long-term deal sometime in the near future.
In a perfect world, last year’s first-round pick Robert Meachem would emerge as a lethal complimentary target. Meachem never caught up as a rookie after knee surgery caused him to miss several practice sessions during the summer. He wound up spending all 16 games on the inactive list. Eager to contribute, Meachem impressed the coaching staff and front office––not to mention Brees––with his diligent offseason work. He appears to be in line for the first job behind No. 2 receiver David Patten.
The slot duties could belong to Devery Henderson––if he ever learns to catch the ball. Henderson, instead, will have to fight off underappreciated veteran Terrance Copper for the No. 4 position.
Tight end Mark Campbell is returning from back surgery––something very few 32-year-olds do successfully. The Saints value Campbell because he offers better blocking than Eric Johnson or Billy Miller, but it’s highly unlikely that they’ll ask him to start again. Heading into training camp, Johnson was listed at the top of the depth chart.

Defense
A big reason why this defense stumbled in ’07 was because it gave up a league-high 15 plays of 40 yards or more. That was almost a direct result of a fruitless pass rush.
Newbies Sedrick Ellis and Bobby McCray are expected to help change that. Ellis will do so from a three-technique tackle––a role that he produced 8.5 sacks in as a senior at Southern Cal. McCray will come off the edge as a third-down specialist, which means regular defensive end Charles Grant will slide inside in nickel situations. The 291-pound Grant has a fairly quick first step, but not as quick as the 260-pound McCray. Grant does, however, have enough strength to be destructive inside.
With three competent pass-rushers flanking him in ’08, fifth-year veteran Will Smith could top his career-high sack total of 10.5 (set back in 2006). Smith has outstanding quickness and is also powerful enough to make plays in traffic. There are, however, mild concerns about his motor. Generally a high-energy player, Smith’s effort level seems to flutter at times (and this was before he got $25 million in guarantees).
Part A for New Orleans is rushing the passer. Part B is stopping the run. The Saints ranked 13th in rush defense last season, but that number is a little misleading given the number of Saints contests that turned into shootouts. The game film showed that too many opposing offensive linemen got bodies on the linebackers last year. It will be up to Ellis to use his 305-pound mass to control the line of scrimmage. And it will be up to 306-pound-(cough….350-pound)-Hollis Thomas to stay on the field. The 13th-year vet is a load in the middle, but poor durability and stamina routinely hindered his output.
Thomas may wind up backing up hearty Brian Young, should the longtime starter overcome the knee soreness that has plagued him as of late. If Young is hampered, Antwan Lake and Kendrick Clancy can both be big bodies off the bench.
If the defensive tackles do their job, Jonathan Vilma will dominate. Assuming his surgically repaired right knee is healthy, Vilma’s speed and instincts make him one of the game’s most vigorous run defenders. He is well suited for coordinator Gary Gibbs’s 4-3 system. His presence alleviates the pressure that has been mounting on strongside linebacker Scott Fujita. Effective as Fujita is––he uses his hands very well to disengage from blocks, and his tackling is of textbook form––he’s a much better fit in a complimentary role.
Weakside linebacker Scott Shanle is nothing special, but he can hold down the fort out in space. He doesn’t like to mix it up in congested areas, so it’s conceivable that Mark Simoneau could capture his job. But considering that energetic but insufficient Troy Evans is the only other reserve linebacker with experience, it’s likely that New Orleans will expect to keep the safety valve Simoneau in a utility role off the bench.
It’s not hard to spot this team’s Achilles heal. Virtually every defensive back could triumph or tumble in 2008. The first is cornerback Mike McKenzie. One of football’s elite cover corners, the ultra-physical McKenzie is coming off a torn ACL suffered in Week 16 last season. He’s listed as the starting left corner heading into camp, but being just eight months removed from reconstructive knee surgery, it’s doubtful he’ll be able to cut and change directions effectively.
If McKenzie can’t go, then oft-injured Randall Gay becomes the No. 1 corner. Gay is decent, but his Patriot aura is creating unrealistic expectations. The fact of the matter is, Gay is middle-tier player. That’s why, last season, fully healthy for the first time since his rookie year of ’04, he started only three games for New England.
Jason David can play the run, but he has been awful in man coverage. He’ll likely fall behind second-round rookie Tracy Porter, who was inconsistent yet promising as a senior at Indiana. Jason Craft is capable of handling the No. 4 duties should the falling dominoes of McKenzie’s situation call for it. Craft, however, would have to beat out well-traveled veterans Aaron Glenn and Jerametrius Butler.
Free safety Josh Bullocks looked very good as a rookie in ’06, but his play seemed to water down as a sophomore. That could have had something to do with the overall instability of the secondary. Or, perhaps Bullocks did not respond well to being pushed by veteran Kevin Kaesviharn. Regardless, he has an opportunity to cement his spot this season.
It would help Bullocks tremendously if strong safety Roman Harper became more consistent. His coverage woes have drawn the ire of Payton and defensive coordinator Gary Gibbs. Harper’s strength is against the run. He was second on the team with 94 tackles last season and, through his physicality, showed a propensity for making big stops.

Special Teams
Martin Gramatica is cute, but not cute enough to simply be handed the kicking job. Gramatica will have to earn it by beating out sixth-round rookie Taylor Mehlhaff. Punter Steve Weatherford is solid across the board. He can leave balls inside the 20, he can kick for distance and his boots don’t get blocked.
Speedy backup receiver Lance Moore handles punt return duties. Moore can be a playmaker….as a fourth receiver on offense. In the return game, he’s never taken one to the house. Pierre Thomas helps on the kick returns; he averaged a commendable 24.0 yards on 36 runbacks last season.

Bottom Line
The Saints have fire power on offense, and there are some intriguing pieces on defense. That said, they haven’t proven capable of running the ball or pressuring the passer. If the adjustments they make this year produce results in this realm, they’ll win the NFC South. If not, they’ll contend for a wild card.



Myth Buster
Fullback Mike Karney is a ball-handler
On a nationally televised Sunday night game in 2006, America was introduced to fullback Mike Karney. A third-year pro at the time, Karney scored the first and second touchdowns of his career.
Karney actually found the end zone twice again in 2007: a one-yard TD run against the Bucs in Week 2, and a two-yard plunge against Carolina in Week 4. However, he is not Larry Centers.
In case there was any confusion, Karney is a classic lead-blocker. He’s rock-hard on contact….including when the contact is between his hands and the football. His balance as a runner is poor (like any fullback) and his range as a receiver is non-existent.

Open Thought
One of the best television commercials last season was the VISA ad that showed the city of New Orleans jiving to Louis Armstrong’s rendition of When the Saints Go Marching In. There was something inherently cheery about the ad––probably because it had bright colors and a Katrina recovery undertone.
For those who didn’t know, the Saints are actually named after the song. (The song is a big element in the Crescent City’s funeral march tradition.)

Team Report: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 3rd
2007 Record: 9-7 (1st NFC South)
Head Coach: Jon Gruden (7th year)

*rookie
**new veteran
Roster Quick View
Offense
QB: Jeff Garcia Thirty-eight and coming off a Pro Bowl alternate season. In the final year of his contract and demanding a new deal.
RB: Earnest Graham Compact, low-to-the-ground running style makes him tough to bring down. Was also looking for a new contract, and got one.
FB: B.J. Askew Wants to handle the ball. Capable of handling the ball. Bucs won’t give him the ball. They love his blocking though. (Team player––he understands.)
WR: Joey Galloway How can a guy this old still be this fast? Critics say he’s slowing down. His 1,019 yards and 17.6 ypc suggest otherwise.
WR: Ike Hilliard This guy’s old, too. And he is slowing down (just a hair). Can still be effective in this West Coast system.
TE: Alex Smith Excellent athlete and bright individual. Hard to explain why his numbers have decreased each of the past three years.
LT: Luke Petitgout Injuries––major injuries––have been an issue. Serviceable when healthy.
LG: Aaron Sears Earth-rattling power as a run-blocker, but technique is nowhere near where it needs to be. Talent is there; Bucs need to keep working with him.
C: Jeff Faine** Recently became the highest-paid C in history (excluding those who play basketball, of course). Nowhere near that good, but gritty and tough.
RG: Davin Joseph Same story as Aaron Sears, only with an additional year of experience under his belt. Strong hands make him a future Pro Bowler (if he continues his development).
RT: Jeremy Trueblood Has survived his first two years as a starter, but just barely. Lacks nastiness and really struggles in pass protection.
--------------------------
QB: Luke McCown Admit it….you don’t know the difference between him and his brother Josh. Both are athletic backups. This one will vie with Brian Griese for the No. 2 job.
RB: Warrick Dunn** Has lost some of his burst, sure. But excellent pass-blocking and dependable hands make him a good fit on third downs.
WR: Michael Clayton Let’s just say the movie is better.
WR: Maurice Stovall Maurice, you’re 6’5’, 220. Why, exactly, did you catch only 10 passes last season?
OL: Anthony Davis Swing tackle who can also fill in at G. Excellent auxiliary tool off the bench.


Defense
LDE: Marques Douglas** Led all NFL D-linemen in tackles behind the line of scrimmage last season. Will share time with Kevin Carter, Jimmy Wilkerson and Greg White.
DT: Chris Hovan High-energy player who can exhibit power and quickness. Scratches and claws his way through each play.
DT: Jovan Haye Had his good and bad moments as a rookie. Can become a good starter if he corrects some fundamental flaws.
RDE: Gaines Adams Led all rookies with 6 sacks despite a somewhat tepid start. Bucs appear destined to get their money’s worth with this fourth-overall pick.
SLB: Cato June Fast and weighs only 227. It makes absolutely no sense having him play in traffic on the strong side (rather than in space on the weak side).
MLB: Barrett Ruud Productive, but it’s impossible for the MLB not to be in Monte Kiffin’s scheme. Doesn’t like taking on blocks, and can be slow to diagnose.
WLB: Derrick Brooks Sagacious veteran leader, but at 35, has clearly lost a step. He may want to soon consider initiating his Hall of Fame eligibility.
CB: Ronde Barber Yet another elder statesman (33). Remains a good all-around player.
SS: Jermaine Phillips Came to life in 2007, showing excellent strength against the run and impressive range in coverage.
FS: Tanard Jackson An absolute steal in the fourth round last year. Custom made for this defense; could emerge as Tampa Bay’s best player in ’08.
---------------------
CB: Philip Buchanon In a contract year; will have to please coaches again this season if he wants to remain a starter here.
DL: Greg White Pass-rushing veteran who always stirs things up when he’s on the field. Coming off an eight-sack season.
LB: Ryan Nece Would you believe he’s one of just four guys left from the ’02 Super Bowl team?
NB: Aqib Talib* Character issues are a concern…unless your coach is Jon Gruden and you’re an athletic 6’2” ball hawk.



Key Player Acquisitions
WR Antonio Bryant (FA)
DE Marques Douglas (SF)
RB Warrick Dunn (Atl)
C Jeff Faine (NO)
TE John Gilmore (Chi)
QB Brian Griese (Chi)
LB Leon Joe (Buf)
LB Teddy Lehman (Det)
LB Matt McCoy (TB)
TE Ben Troupe (Ten)
DL Jimmy Wilkerson (KC)
CB Eugene Wilson (NE)

Key Player Losses
FB Mike Alstott (retired)
TE Anthony Becht (Stl)
LB Patrick Chukwurah
QB Bruce Gradkowski (Stl)
CB Brian Kelly (Det)
OL Matt Lehr (NO)
SS Kalvin Pearson (Det)
RB Michael Pittman (Den)
DE Greg Spires (Oak)
C John Wade (Oak)

Bruce Allen has final say over the personnel, but Jon Gruden’s heavily-weighted input shows in the significant amount of roster turnover. Every free agent acquisition, save for the linebackers and the chemically-imbalanced Bryant, is almost certain to have a significant impact in 2008. Faine got $10 million guaranteed in a six-year, $34 million deal. That’s too much, though he is an upgrade over Wade. Replacing Pittman with Dunn is akin to replacing Al Capone with Mother Teresa (in terms of both character and stature). They won’t miss Kelly, and Alstott left them last year.

2008 Draft
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 20 Aqib Talib CB Kansas
2 58 Dexter Jackson WR Appalachian State
3 83 Jeremy Zuttah G Rutgers
4 115 Dre Moore DT Maryland
5 160 Josh Johnson QB San Diego
6 175 Geno Hayes OLB Florida State
7 238 Cory Boyd RB South Carolina

Many felt Talib was a top-10 talent, but three positive drug tests for marijuana in college and an attitude that some have deemed “arrogant,” hurt his stock. Gruden has never worried too much about character, which is why it was an easy decision to scoop up such a natural Cover 2 artist. The last Dexter Jackson to come through here left with a Super Bowl MVP award. This Jackson is a little different. He was drafted for his return abilities as much as anything. With 4.3 speed he could become a dangerous receiver, but he never had more than 35 catches in a season at tiny Appalachian State. Zuttah can play all three O-line positions. Moore is said to be inconsistent. Johnson is the umpteenth QB on the roster; they love his athleticism.



Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2008 Preview Report
Look over there at the blond-haired, blue-eyed fortysomething-year-old man. The one with the crooked scowl. See him? The guy who just dropped the f-bomb….Now he’s pacing back and forth. See who we’re talking about? That’s the head of this Tampa Bay dragon they call the Buccaneers. That’s the guy shaping the persona of this franchise.
The Glazer family owns the Bucs, and technically GM Bruce Allen manages them. But the one really running the show is that guy right over there. You know he wakes up at 3:17 am everyday? Hardly sleeps at all. He’s a maniac. The scowl––look, right there! He’s doing it right now!––that scowl earned him the nickname Chuckie at his previous job in Oakland. Some have said he doesn’t like the epithet. Gotta admit, it’s fitting though. If you understand a little bit about that guy––Jon Gruden is his actual name––then this Buccaneers organization makes a whole lot more sense.
Gruden’s high-strung. He just Goes! Goes! Goes! Doesn’t want to wait for anything––always just looking for results. You can tell by the way he manages his roster. Look how many free agents this team brings in every year. You ever see a guy so hell-bent on winning right away?
Last year he signed quarterback Jeff Garcia even though Garcia was 37. Oh, that reminds me….Gruden loves quarterbacks. Loves ‘em. There were seven on the roster at one point. And not just training camp guys––actual NFL quarterbacks. He’s got five on the roster right now. It’s like he hordes them. If Tampa Bay’s locker room were a small house, and the quarterbacks were cats, all the neighbors would be creeped out.
One of Gruden’s quarterbacks is Brian Griese. Griese started half a season for the Bucs two years ago. But then he blew out his knee and went to Chicago. Gruden recently brought him back. Traded a sixth-round pick to get him. What’s kinda odd is that the Bucs used their fifth-round pick to draft Josh Johnson, an athletic quarterback who, apparently, they’re hoping they can develop. Johnson’s fifth on the depth chart right now.
Anyway, Gruden’s got Garcia. You would not think a 37––well, now, 38-year-old––could handle such a load. But Garcia does. He’s perfect for the West Coast offense that Gruden runs. Doesn’t throw picks, completes the underneath stuff––he’s solid.
Of course, Garcia’s kinda ticked right now because he’s in the final year of his deal and only making $2 million. He’s worth a lot more. Last year, Gruden had Garcia rest at the end of the season after Tampa Bay clinched their division. That rest wound up costing the quarterback about $1 million in incentives. Bruce Allen needs to rectify that.
Look at Gruden now…look how intently he’s watching the passing drills. You know who’s supposed to be in those drills? Chris Simms. Simms is the guy Gruden once thought would lead this team for the long haul. But then the kid took a nasty hit and lost his spleen. Hasn’t played since. And he and Gruden have hardly spoken since. Not sure what happened, but Simms isn’t coming around anymore. They’ll let him go soon anyway.
You wonder if Gruden will have any patience with running back Cadillac Williams’s recovery. He’s probably frustrated with the whole thing. I mean, draft a guy fifth overall, see flashes of brilliance from him as a rookie, then, all a sudden, guy tears his patellar tendon and you’re not sure you’ll ever have him again? Talk about a tough break. Gruden really likes Cadillac––he’s probably heartbroken for the kid.
At least Earnest Graham stepped up last year. Graham was another guy lookin’ for a new contract. They gave him a three-year deal. Gruden’s saying that Cadillac might still compete. Doubt that. Not in ’08 anyway. Why else would they bring back Warrick Dunn?
Well, actually, they probably would have brought Dunn back one way or another. That’s kinda what I was about to say earlier. See, Gruden’s impatient––hell-bent on winning now. He’s always signing veteran free agents, always relying on old players whom he thinks he can trust. Look at Tampa Bay’s lineup. Offense––Joey Galloway, 36. Ike Hilliard, 32. There’s Garcia, of course. Dunn’s 33. (That makes him 65 in running back years.) And on the defense? End Kevin Carter will be 35 in September. And Tampa just brought in a 31-year-old free agent to play in front of him (Marques Douglas).
Not saying having all the veterans is bad or anything. Look at Derrick Brooks. He’s 35. Sure, he’s slowing down, but you sayin’ you wouldn’t still take him? And of course there’s Ronde Barber––33 and coming off his fourth Pro Bowl.
Yeah, the guy over there, he definitely likes veterans. You know only four rookies have started the season opener for this team since Gruden’s been here?
You know what else? Impatient as he is, the guy is all about second chances. Just as long as the first chance you blew wasn’t with him. If you can play, Gruden will give you a shot. Look at some of the screw ups he has here now. Antonio Bryant? People like him are what makes the psychiatric health industry so profitable . But when Bryant’s right, he can play. Just like David Boston could play.
Tight end Jerramy Stevens is here too. You remember him…the Seahawk? Might be the biggest jerk in all of football. Gruden re-signed him. He’ll back up Ben Troupe––the really athletic guy who couldn’t stay healthy in Tennessee. Have you ever seen Troupe play? He’s not bad, but he’s tapered off the last few years. Gruden’s hoping he stays healthy.
Last year Gruden also brought in defensive tackle Ryan Sims. Sims’s character is fine––like Troupe’s––but boy did Sims ever lay an egg in Kansas City. Sixth-overall pick, and did absolutely nothing. No one knows why.
What’s funny is Sims is backing up Chris Hovan, another guy who used to be a bit of an enigma. Hovan was great in Minnesota before he disconnected with the coaching staff and lost his confidence. Or something. But that guy over there––oh look, there’s the scowl again––he and his assistants have gotten Hovan to play.
You hate to say it because Gruden’s really a good guy, but he tolerates shady character from a lot of his players as long as they can still perform. I mean, besides Bryant and Stevens, there’s first-round rookie Aqib Talib––the guy who tested positive for marijuana three times at Kansas. There’s Torrie Cox––he got suspended by the league for two games last year because of multiple DUI arrests. Cato June also got a misdemeanor DUI last season. Michael Pittman is gone now, but he was here for several years even after police arrested him for ramming his Hummer into the car that his wife, two-year-old son and babysitter were in. What a scumbag. Apparently his wife had just fled their home after they had had an altercation. Gruden kept Pittman around because the ballcarrier was also good at ramming linebackers.
Not saying the Bucs as a whole are bad––not saying that at all. There are lots of great guys on the roster. Brooks was once named the NFL’s Man of the Year. Dunn was just enshrined into the World Sports Humanitarian Hall of Fame. Most of these Tampa Bay players have kept their noses clean.
I guess what I’m really saying is, the guy we’re talking about here––Gruden––he’s just so driven to win. Even if it means being liberal with second chances. Or munificent toward veteran free agents. Whatever it takes.
Thus far, it’s worked so-so. Gruden brought a Super Bowl title here his first year, but that was mainly with Tony Dungy’s and Rich McKay’s players. Since then, Gruden’s gone 36-44. And the Bucs have never posted back-to-back winning seasons under him.
Guess that’s bad news considering they went 9-7 last year.

Offense
Ironically, the impatient Jon Gruden prefers a very patient brand of offense. His system is more West Coast than Snoop Dogg, emphasizing a short, controlled passing game. The mild-armed Jeff Garcia is a near-perfect field general. Experienced in a West Coast system from his days in San Francisco, Garcia produced a rating of 94.6 last season, throwing 13 touchdowns and turning the ball over a total of six times (four picks, two fumbles).
While Garcia has never been seriously injured, health concerns come into play with the former Canadian league star. Last year, he battled a sore back late in the season. In prior years he’s dealt with shoulder and ankle problems. Should Garcia be unavailable, Brian Griese would be a more suitable backup than the less experienced Luke McCown. Griese, however, is short on mobility.
Active feet––which Garcia has––are almost essential when operating behind Tampa Bay’s offensive line. Right tackle Jeremy Trueblood can survive, but just barely when facing a speed-rush. His side of the pocket regularly collapses in obvious throwing situations. Left tackle Luke Petitgout is a natural pass-blocker, though he’s coming off surgery on a torn ACL. Taking into account the back problems he had prior to joining the Bucs in ’07, the ninth-year veteran is anything but reliable at this point.
If Petitgout is unable to go, third-year pro Donald Penn will once again step in. Penn did an admirable job on the left side last season, but Garcia’s quarterbacking acumen masked a lot of his flaws. Penn is slow-footed to the extent that he appears to be playing in sand. It’s surprising the Bucs won’t look to former starting left tackle Anthony Davis in a moment of need. They’re currently using Davis as a utility reserve, mainly at guard. However, he can contribute outside, plus former starter Dan Buenning is probably Tampa’s best interior backup anyway.
Buenning is working behind Jeff Faine––the man they overpaid by about 40 percent. Faine is a hardnosed fist fighter who brings some much-needed feistiness inside. However, he struggles to land blocks in the open field.
Working next to Faine are two of the more intriguing young guards in football. On the left is Aaron Sears, a second-round pick a year ago. On the right is Davin Joseph, the team’s first-rounder in ’06. Offensive line coach Bill Muir––who also serves as the coordinator––has the significant responsibility of teaching these players proper pro-level technique. Both are überpowerful, but both need work on their lower-body fundamentals, particularly in changing direction and blocking for the pass.
Improved pass protection could do a lot to diversify Tampa Bay’s aerial attack. Currently, the aerial attack consists of downfield weapon Joey Galloway, underneath outlet Ike Hilliard and a slew of underachievers. It’s natural to think that the Bucs will soon need a replacement for the hoary Galloway. They will, but not this year. Hilliard is a better fit in the slot, but not if that means relying on butter-fingered Michael Clayton or tree-trunk-stiff Maurice Stovall.
The Buccaneers have a lightning-fast second-round rookie on the roster in Dexter Jackson, though he’s more of a return specialist at this point (he may prove to be only a return specialist at all points in his career). Third-year pro Paris Warren looked good in the OTAs, but it’s unlikely he’ll crack the lineup (especially if Antonio Bryant somehow works out).
The tight end should be a bigger part of Tampa Bay’s offense. Fourth-year veteran Alex Smith is a smart player (Stanford guy) who possesses sound blocking mechanics and fluidity as a runner. It’s difficult to say why Smith has sputtered as a receiver (his reception totals have dropped from 41 to 35 to 32 the past three years). He’s nearing the end of his contract, and the more-dangerous Ben Troupe just joined the team. Hence, Smith has a lot to prove in 2008.
The Bucs are eager to use former Chicago tight end John Gilmore as an extra run-blocker. They already enjoy the services of fullback B.J. Askew (who, by the way, is capable of handling the ball if need be). With the grit and power on the O-line, and the solid supporting cast of blockers, it’s fitting that compact insider runner Earnest Graham has become the featured ballcarrier. Unlike Cadillac Williams, Graham is a pure north-south runner who looks to break tackles rather than elude them. He isn’t dynamic, but he’s certainly capable of building on his serendipitous 898-yard ’07 campaign.
Warrick Dunn brings leadership and an added dimension on third downs. Dunn’s not as fast as he was in his first stint here, but if the Bucs need pure speed they can always look to Michael Bennett.

Defense
Monte Kiffin is a genius. There’s no other way to put it. His defense ranks No. 1 in the NFL since 2002. He makes due with just about any players, and he consistently has his group prepared to win (even if the offense can’t always carry its weight).
Last season, Tampa Bay ranked second overall in yards allowed and first against the pass. They did this despite a pass-rush that produced a middling 33 sacks (tied for 16th in the NFL). The return of secondary coach Raheem Morris had a lot to do with the sterling pass defense. When Morris left for Kansas State after the ’05 season, he said goodbye to two fairly good-looking young safeties: Jermaine Phillips and Will Allen. When he came back last year, he found both players in a state of decay. Neither could make big plays in coverage, and both were botching their reads on a far-too-consistent basis.
Morris austerely pointed out both men’s faults and had them get to work. Phillips wound up rebounding with a phenomenal season. He intercepted a career-high four passes and, using his 6’2”, 220-pound size, became a menace against the run. Allen was a different story. He was unable to keep his job from fourth-round rookie Tanard Jackson. It maybe wasn’t entirely Allen’s fault. Jackson, a Syracuse product, has preternatural playmaking abilities. He’s not blazing fast, but his instincts give him great range. He has a nose for the ball and a proclivity for punishing anyone who dares to carry it in front of him. Simply put, in this scheme, Jackson is going to be a star.
Tampa Bay’s outstanding safety play is buttressed by stellar cornerbacking. Ronde Barber continues to thrive in the zone-oriented Cover 2. Philip Buchanon reasserted himself as a first-round talent last season, mainly because he finally understood the system he was playing in. The Bucs do not ask Buchanon to cover wideouts on an island like the Raiders did.
Another fine season from Buchanon could lead to Barber’s exit in ’09. How so? First-round pick Aqib Talib is pining to get on the field and is probably ready to contribute right now. The Bucs also signed former Patriots safety Eugene Wilson and moved him back to his college position at corner. Buchanon turns 28 in September. A good season will warrant a hefty long-term contract––something Tampa Bay would not be inclined to finance with Barber on the payroll. Bruce Allen has no trouble letting veterans go a bit early (just ask Warren Sapp, John Lynch, Shelton Quarles or Brian Kelly). With this in mind, Buchanon could end up replacing Barber.
The linebackers are a big part of Tampa’s pass defense. Weakside legend Derrick Brooks has long set the bar for coverage at the linebacker position. However, at 35, Brooks no longer has the quickness that made him great. He’s actually lost a lot of his tackling prowess as well.
Only hardheadedness would prevent Brooks from switching positions with strongside linebacker Cato June. Brooks is still viable in traffic, and lining up across from the tight end would decrease the amount of ground he has to cover. June––who is eight pounds lighter than Brooks––struggles taking on blocks and needs to be in a position that allows him to use his speed to chase the ball. Yes, Brooks has held down the weakside duties for 14 years, but that doesn’t change the reality of the present.
Middle linebacker Barrett Ruud led the team with 114 stops in his first season as a starter last year. Take that with a grain of salt though. Kiffin’s system all but ensures that the middle linebacker gobbles up the most tackles. Shelton Quarles had over 100 tackles in four of his five seasons here (the one season he fell short, he had 80 in 11 games). Ruud is productive, but he needs to get tougher against blocks and quicker with his reads.
Backup Ryan Nece has been with this organization longer than every defender save for Brooks and Barber. He can play all three positions off the bench, making him the first option ahead of faster players Teddy Lehman and Quincy Black.
Second-year defensive end Gaines Adams is not Simeon Rice, but he’s certainly on the rise. The game is almost eerily easy for Adams. Should he continue to improve his awareness and technique, it will only be a matter of time before his athletic legerdemain lands him in Hawaii.
Along with Adams is a quartet of rotating veterans: Marques Douglas, Kevin Carter, Jimmy Wilkerson and Greg White. Douglas is a noted run defender, though he’s not nearly as good as his 12 tackles-for-loss last year imply. He struggles to anchor down his side of the line of scrimmage. Carter turned down more money from Oakland to manage his inside-outside role as a Buc for one more year. He’s lost a little off the top, but he’s still better than Wilkerson. White is an energizing presence who led the team with eight sacks in 2007.
Defensive tackle Chris Hovan is destructive with his sheer effort. Opposing offenses must pay attention to him. Second-year player Jovan Haye looked alright as a rookie but must learn to dictate the action more. Backup Ryan Sims is inconsistent though deserving of playing time.

Special Teams
Matt Bryant was a solid 28/33 last season. He missed all three of his kicks over 50 yards, but remember, he drilled a 62-yard game-winner in October 2006. He’s just fine. Josh Bidwell is a decent punter, though he left 10 balls inside the end zone last season.
Michael Spurlock became the answer to a trivia question when he turned in the franchise’s first kick return score in Week 15. However, the speed of rookie return ace Dexter Jackson likely knocks Spurlock out of the picture for this season.
Tampa Bay’s coverage units are excellent. They ranked seventh against punts and second against kickoffs in 2007.


Bottom Line
The Bucs are rock solid on defense, and they have veteran players who know how to execute a West Coast offense. That said, there’s something inherently unsettling about this team. There has been too much inconsistency from year to year in Tampa Bay.



Myth Buster
Joey Galloway––37 in November––is slowing down
Simply put, No he’s not. The 14th-year veteran has six 1,000-yard seasons to his name. Three of them have come in the last three years. Last season, he gained 1,019 yards on just 57 receptions, giving him an NFC-best 17.8 yards per catch. Remarkably, Galloway’s speed seems to be everything it was when he came into the league as a first-round pick out of Ohio State. Can he keep this up? Probably not. But has his slide already begun? Remarkably, no.


Open Thought
The Buccaneers are the only team in the NFL better known by their abbreviated name: Bucs. A lot of teams have abbreviated monikers (Cowboys––Boys, Dolphins––Fins, Jaguars––Jags, etc.) but only Tampa Bay goes primarily by the shortened name. (Some would argue that the 49ers, aka Niners, do. Not quite.)
What’s odd is that the Bucs’ first name is elongated: Tampa Bay. There is no city named Tampa Bay. Rather, Tampa Bay is the name of the 1,031-square mile estuary off the west/central Florida coast. The city the Bucs call home is Tampa. Imagine: Tampa Bucs. How’s that sound? Pretty crisp, huh?
Taking this a step further, Tampa Bay’s professional baseball team––which plays in St. Petersburg––officially shortened its name this past year from Devil Rays to Rays. Many have asked why the negative word “Devil” was ever included in the name to begin with. Simple answer: that’s the name of the fish that serves as this team’s mascot. But I digress.
Note: A friend of mine read this and pointed out that including the “Bay” in the name makes sense given that both the Bucs and the Rays are water-centric mascots. Touché.

Sunday, July 20, 2008

Making Sense of Brett Favre

Hello everyone.

I thought I would throw my hat out into the Favre ring and try to explain what everyone is beginning to get frustrated with.

For years now Brett has been holding the Green Bay Packers hostage, worst thing was that a few of those years Favre's numbers were among the worst of the NFL. Prior to last year he was debating retirement once again, only to make a late decision to play and play he did. He found a new found youth with some of his old skill. Lets fast forward to the NFC Conference game and his last pass. If that pass wasn't an interception would he be wanting back. Myself I would never want everyone to remember that as my last pass was an interception even if I holds the NFL record for most career interceptions and touchdowns like Favre does.

Brett Favre retires! For weeks we all were forced to watch endless amounts of video of the past and present as we celebrated the fantastic career of Brett Favre. At first it was touching to see his tears as he talked about his love for the game and the Packers, as well as every player he ever played with. I instantly predicted to everyone in yelling distance that he would be back.

Brett Favre wants to play football! He told the Packers of his plan and they were not having anything of it as they have given the ball to Aaron Rodgers, the would be predecessor of Favre drafts years ago as Brett was showing signs of age and weak play. What does Brett do? He calls his old quarterback coach who is now in Minnesota. The Vikings are easily a team that with a great quarterback could go the the NFC Championship game and possibly beyond. Brett gets a contract deal in place and then asks to be released from the Packers. The Packers are not stupid, knew what he was doing and refused to release him. Now Brett is expected at the Green Bay camp coming up in a week. The Packers I am sure are looking to trade him to anyone not in the division and hopefully in the AFC. Problem there is that of all the teams in the AFC that would want Brett are not contenders, therefore he wouldn't come out of retirement just to finish 8 and 8 where 10 and 6 didn't cut if for the Browns last year. Plus, he knows that the AFC belongs to Manning and Brady none of the teams that would trade for him have a chance at beating either of them. Now for the kicker. He can refuse the trade and leaving the Packers with a $12 million salary hit if they don't release him, putting them over the cap. Will Brett sit on the Packers bench for 12 million, not a chance after all the bad blood that has been aired nationally.

So now what. The Packers could very well be forced to release him, having him land with the Vikings within minutes. Why the Vikings? Easily one of the top 3 defenses if not the best now with Jared Allen last year sack leader. Throw in a sophomore named Adrian Peterson and a new speedy wide out in Bernard Berrian and you are looking at a team that can win a lot of games even with Tavarius Jackson as their quarterback. So add Favre and you might be putting a ring on his finger to end his career the way he wanted to last year.

That all sounds great, but for us the fans, what Brett has done is held not only the Packers hostage this time, but he is now holding you the fan hostage as well as the whole NFL as that is all even I can talk about instead of talking about sleepers to pick in your draft coming up next month.

Let me talk about the Love/Hate relationship I have with the Denver Broncos' John Elway. First raise whatever you are drinking in the air and give the man a cheers. This is a guy who announced early what his intentions were going to be in the up coming year and in return won 2 Super Bowls. Then he announced his retirement and stayed away allowing us to celebrate his excellence. As everyone knows I am a Raider Fan, but I am also a fan of football and with saying that I respected the career of Elway as I watched him destroy teams in fourth quarter comebacks one after another. I look back at his legacy and I am proud to say I was able to watch him win those 2 rings. Brett is beginning to make it hard for us to remember his greatness as he continues to string us all along as if this was The Young And The Restless. The problem is with Brett, he is Old and Bored and wants a Super Bowl and can only find one team that his abilities can lead them to the Championship game. The unfortunate thing here is that it is a division rival making the whole thing hard to predict what will happen.

My next blog will be in a few days as I will continue with my fantasy impact report.

EXTRA EXTRA.
The NFL FANTASY PLAYBOOK is proud and honored to now be a part of the Fantasy Football Search team. This is allowing us to give our book to you FREE and can be found at http://www.fantasyfootballsearch.com/. For extra information go to our site found at http://www.nflfantasyplaybook.com/ where you can win a jersey of your favorite team. Go to either site and sign up for the PLAYBOOK WEEKLY PICKS where you will get up to-date cheat sheets on Aug. 1 as well as Sept. 1.

Thanks
Aj Pelletier
email any comments to
aj@nflfantasyplaybook.com

Saturday, July 19, 2008

AFC South Overview

By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
AFC South Predictions
1.
Indianapolis Colts
Hard to pick against five consecutive division titles – especially if the defense continues to perform so well.
2.
Jacksonville Jaguars
If they were in the NFC, they would maybe be the Super Bowl favorite.
3.
Houston Texans
Capable of winning 10 games if everyone stays healthy, but they’re in an unfortunately tough division.
4.
Tennessee Titans
The offensive and defensive lines have both taken a step back. Thus, this team gets doubted for another year.

Best Offseason Move
The Titans franchising defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth, ensuring another contract-year effort from the star and forcing him to prove his long-term value.

Worst Offseason Move
The Titans allowing guard Jacob Bell to get away in free agency.

Biggest Question
What force is needed to disrupt the status quo that has come to define this division?

Quick Hits
Team Bests
Passing Game
1 Colts, 2 Texans, 3 Jaguars, Titans
Running Game 1 Jaguars, 2 Colts, 3 Titans, 4 Texans
Offensive Line 1 Colts, 2 Jaguars, 3 Texans, 4 Titans
Pass Rush 1 Colts, 2 Texans, 3 Titans, 4 Jaguars
Run Defense 1 Jaguars, 2 Texans, 3 Titans, 4 Colts
Pass Defense 1 Colts, 2 Jaguars, 3 Titans, 4 Texans
Special Teams 1 Texans, 2 Jaguars, 3 Titans, 4 Colts
Coaching Staff 1 Colts, 2 Jaguars, 3 Titans, 4 Texans
Front Office 1 Colts, 2 Texans, 3 Jaguars, 4 Titans
Home Field Advantage 1 Colts, 2 Texans, 3 Titans, 4 Jaguars
Player Bests
Pure Athlete
Andre Johnson, Texans
Big Play Threat Vince Young, Titans
Gets Most out of Talent Kyle Vanden Bosch, Titans
Gets Least out of Talent Matt Jones, Jaguars
Breakout Prospects Fred Bennett, Texans
Tony Ugoh, Colts
Amobi Okoye, Texans
Breakdown Prospects Ahman Green, Texans
Reggie Hayward, Jaguars
Jeff Zgonina, Texans
Best Leader Peyton Manning, Colts
Unsung Hero Ryan Diem, Colts
Impact Veteran Acquisition Jerry Porter, Jaguars
Impact Rookie Duane Brown, LT, Texans
ALL-AFC SOUTH TEAM
Offense
QB Peyton Manning, Colts
RB Joseph Addai, Colts
RB Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
WR Andre Johnson, Texans
WR Reggie Wayne, Colts
TE Dallas Clark, Colts
LT Michael Roos, Titans
LG Ryan Lilja, Colts
C Jeff Saturday, Colts
RG Jake Scott, Titans
RT Ryan Diem, Colts
Defense
DE Mario Williams, Texans
DT Albert Haynesworth, Titans
DT John Henderson, Jaguars
DE Dwight Freeney, Colts
OLB Freddy Keiaho, Colts
MLB DeMeco Ryans, Texans
OLB Keith Bulluck, Titans
CB Rashean Mathis, Jaguars
FS Antoine Bethea, Colts
SS Bob Sanders, Colts
CB Cortland Finnegan, Titans
Specials
K Rob Bironas, Titans
P Matt Turk, Texans
RS Andre’ Davis, Texans
ST Kevin Bentley, Texans

Fantasy Football Search Releases its Annual Top 25 Busts

Last year we released our top 15 busts. In 2008 Fantasy Football Search and The True Guru release the top 25 busts.

Fantasy Football Search's Top 25 Busts

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Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Team Report: Houston Texans

Houston Texans
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
2007 Record: 8-8 (4th AFC South)
Predicted:3rd
Head Coach: Gary Kubiak (third season)


Offense
QB: Matt Schaub Deserving of his starting job but must prove he can stay healthy.
RB: Ahman Green Age is a darn-near insurmountable obstacle at this point, especially considering his susceptibility to injury.
FB: Vonta Leach A 250-pound space clearer. The coaches really like him.
WR: Andre Johnson At his best could be the most dangerous wideout in football. Last year, Houston was 6-3 with him and 2-5 without him.
WR: Kevin Walter Finally settled into his starting role catching 65 balls last season. Doesn’t have enough electricity to scare defenses.
TE: Owen Daniels Excellent receiving skills makes him a factor between the numbers. Has the athleticism, just needs to continue to channel it.
LT: Duane Brown* Fluid ex-tight end who is an ideal fit for a zone-blocking system. But with just 3 years of experience at OT, he’s greener than grass.
LG: Chester Pitts Has started all 96 games in franchise history. Upper-middle-tier lineman who can play with power and finesse.
C: Chris Myers** Familiar with Kubiak’s ‘scheme from his days in Denver. Great upgrade here for the Texans.
RG: Fred Weary Houston’s most gifted interior lineman, but coming off a fractured tibia and fibula from last year.
RT: Eric Winston Terrific fit in zone system; very lithe for a RT. This job is his for the next 10 years.
---------------
QB: Sage Rosenfels Wants to start but simply can’t match Schaub’s skill set. Might be the best backup QB in football.
RB: Chris Brown** Don’t be surprised if he flourishes as a starter at some point. Problem is, he’s more delicate than tissue paper.
WR: Andre’ Davis When he’s on, his speed makes him a dangerous downfield weapon. Ran three kickoffs back for touchdowns last year, too.
WR: Jacoby Jones Enticing talent but must avoid the type of midseason drop-off that dampened his rookie year.
TE: Mark Bruener Signed a one-year contract to come back for a 14th season of run-blocking work.

Defense
LDE: Anthony Weaver Used primarily as a run-defender, though hopes to regain an inside nickel role.
DT: Travis Johnson Has finally––finally!––started playing up to snuff. Not the most likeable guy (remember the Trent Green incident?) but at least he’s contributing.
DT: Amobi Okoye Has a long way to go in his development, though the early indications are he’s going to be a star.
RDE: Mario Williams Fans can no longer gripe about Houston passing on Reggie Bush and Vince Young after his second-half explosion last season.
SLB: Zach Diles Tossed into the starting lineup seemingly out of nowhere, but has been logging copious amounts of reps in practices.
MLB: DeMeco Ryans Starting Pro Bowler in ’07. Not without flaws, though considering his production, pointing out those flaws borders on nitpicking.
WLB: Morlon Greenwood Very solid starter who is coming off an impressive 119-tackle season.
CB: Fred Bennett An archetypal cornerback who, in his second season, could soon evolve into one of the game’s elite defenders.
SS: C.C Brown Has learned to play faster and now should have no trouble keeping Glenn Earl out of the starting lineup.
FS: Will Demps Has quickly revived his once-dying career. Provides the secondary very good veteran experience.
CB: Jacques Reeves** Won’t be starting once Dunta Robinson gets back. Better than critics admit. Still, offenses salivated at the site of him in Dallas last year.
---------------
DL: Anthony Maddox Has enough talent to push for a starting job, but has never been able to close the deal in his previous four years.
LB: Kevin Bentley Speed is a plus, particularly on special teams where he’s expected to be a big factor.
NB: DeMarcus Faggins Has starting experience though has proven to really be more of a dime-level cornerback.

Key Acquisitions
LB Kevin Bentley (Sea)
RB Chris Brown (Ten)
WR Tim Carter (Cle)
LB Rosevelt Colvin (NE)
S Nick Ferguson (Den)
QB Quinn Gray (Jax)
TE Ryan Krause (GB)
C Chris Myers (Den)
CB Jacques Reeves (Dal)
LB Chaun Thompson (Cle)
CB Jimmy Williams (FA)

Key Losses
LB Charlie Anderson (Mia)
LB Shawn Barber
DB Michael Boulware (Min)
LB Danny Clark (NYG)
C Mike Flanagan
CB Von Hutchins (Atl)
DT Cedric Killings
WR Jerome Mathis
C Steve McKinney
TE Jeb Putzier (Sea)

It’s a very positive sign that none of Houston’s free agent pickups, aside from Myers, were brought in to start. For one, none of these guys (again, aside from Myers) are good enough to start. For two, the Texans are finally building depth and filling in a lot of the blanks that have long riddled their roster. Thompson, Krause, Ferguson, Carter and Bentley can all make an impact on special teams. Brown will probably have to start a few games considering the fragility of Ahman Green. Of course, Brown himself is also quite prone to injury. Aside from maybe Hutchins, absolutely none of Houston’s veteran losses hurt. A lot of these guys would have struggled making the 53-man roster anyway.


2008 Draft
Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 26 Duane Brown T Virginia Tech
3 79 Antwaun Molden CB Eastern Kentucky
3 89 Steve Slaton RB West Virginia
4 118 Xavier Adibi OLB Virginia Tech
5 151 Frank Okam DT Texas
6 173 Dominique Barber FS Minnesota
7 223 Alex Brink QB Washington State

Ephraim Salaam always gives a noble effort at LT, but it was clear that an upgrade was needed at the position. Whether Brown can be that guy remains to be seen. He’s certainly athletic enough, but he has only three years of experience at OT (he was a TE before). Throwing him immediately in the fire is a big risk. Molden is well-built (6’2”, 195) but he has a steep learning curve after facing inferior competition in the Ohio Valley Conference. They hope to use Slaton’s open-field skills in third-down situations. Some say Adibi and Okam could become starters down the road.


2008 Houston Texans Preview
Okay, so they were late bloomers. No big deal. What’s important is that they’re here now. Robert Kraus didn’t include a chapter about dwelling on past failures in his epic children’s book Leo the Late Bloomer. The Houston Texans are here, and they’re doing things right. This is what people were clamoring for a few years ago, no? The story was always supposed to be how the fresh-start Texans win six games and establish an identity in the process. Then, how they grow from their mistakes, build on their successes, win eight games the following year and suddenly become the upstart Texans. This is precisely what people had in mind; this is what a so-called “expansion franchise” is supposed to do.
After dilly-dallying for their first four seasons, the Texans finally started doing it right. Much of the thanks goes to third-year head coach Gary Kubiak. The longtime Broncos offensive coordinator has effectively planted his football seeds in Houston’s soil. He’s invested in a quarterback (Matt Schaub, with the outside possibility of Sage Rosenfels). He has fine-tuned his coaching staff (zone-blocking genius Alex Gibbs was recently hired to coach the offensive line; 28-year-old Kyle Shanahan, son of…you guessed it, was promoted to offensive coordinator). And he has allowed the front office, headed by GM Charlie Casserly in 2006 and taken over by Rick Smith that same year, to build a defensive foundation primarily through the draft (first-round defensive end Mario Williams and second-round linebacker DeMeco Ryans in ’06, first-round defensive tackle Amobi Okoye in ’07).
And so you have the modern Houston Texans––still the latest team to join the league, and now, the latest team to establish a path toward prosperity. For the first time, the young franchise and Football America truly have an opportunity to meet. NFL pundits are starting to issue favorable projections for the Texans, and not simply as a means to go out on the obligatory limb. The Texans will make their Monday Night debut on December 1, when they host Jacksonville. They’ll take the field that night not as a primetime novelty act, but rather, as a likely playoff contender.
If the Texans are indeed football’s version of Leo the Lion, then, like the illustrated character, they’re lucky to have a patient mother in owner Bob McNair. The technology tycoon has awarded power to his front office and coaching staff and allowed them enough time to fully install their system of operations. It was McNair’s patience that perhaps enabled the Dom Capers era to traipse into stagnation. But now that same patience is facilitating his club’s early climb up football’s mountain under the Kubiak regime.
McNair has helped keep the fan base calm during Houston’s infancy. His franchise has survived five years of losing by playing in one of the most pristine venues in all of sports (Reliant Stadium), where every one of the team’s home games has sold out. He has shown a laudable willingness to invest in his team. Character has also been a priority to McNair and his staff, and the Texans have managed to steer away from any substantial public relations blips.
There is understandable optimism radiating along the Gulf of Mexico this season. Which is why it’s not fun to mention the huge asterisk cozying up next to this team: the AFC South. It could be the toughest division in football. For all the improvements that last season brought forth, Houston still finished in the division’s basement. The AFC South’s default champion Colts had a 13-3 record. The Jaguars went 11-5. And the Titans––the older brother that casual observers always seem to mistake the Texans for––surprised everyone by finishing 10-6.
It’s been proven many a time that teams’ fortunes are subject to change from year to year. However, the Jaguars appear to be as solid as granite. And the Titans are a team on the rise. The Colts, of course, might be the NFL’s only team omitted from the “subject to change” charge, as they’ve won five straight division titles.
Very rarely do schedules make a significant difference in pro football. Generally, if a team is good, its record will reflect accordingly. But there are exceptions to most things. That’s why someone invented the asterisk.

Offense
It’s almost like the Texans offense has been following steps in a “How To” manual. How To Construct Your Offense:
Step One––hire a shrewd head coach from the Mike Shanahan School of Offense. Allow him to overhaul your operation and implement his own modus operandi.
Step Two––give the new coach a year to break-in his system and evaluate his personnel.
Step Three––invest fully in the quarterback your coach wants. (Even if that means trading two second-round draft picks and guaranteeing $7 million to a guy with minimal experience.)
Step Four––After one year, wait 12-16 games. During this time, your offense will gradually start to flourish. You should start to notice measurable increases in productivity and consistency. (Like a jump from 28th in total yards to 14th, or a rise from 28th in scoring to 12th).
Step Five––Analyze your offense and make the appropriate upgrades.
Heading into Week 1, the Texans find themselves in the latter stage of Step Five. So far, the new coach, Gary Kubiak, has done a terrific job of implementing his variegated passing attack and zone-blocking run scheme. The quarterback he chose, Matt Schaub, has been solid when healthy. Granted, that has not been often enough. This is why there’s a slim chance that Schaub will not make it to Step Six.
Schaub is a better athlete than given credit for, and he certainly has an NFL-quality arm. He’s accurate and dependable, though he could stand to improve his poise under duress. His grasp of Kubiak’s offense is also up to snuff. That said, this past offseason the Texans refused to trade away perennial backup Sage Rosenfels, even rejecting Minnesota’s third-round pick for the former fourth-rounder. Their reason was simple: Schaub missed snaps in nine games in 2007, including five games altogether (thanks mainly to an injured non-throwing shoulder). As a starter, Rosenfels went 4-1 and posted an overall rating of 84.8 (Schaub’s was 87.2)
All things equal, Schaub is the superior player. He’ll be given every opportunity to steel his spot in the lineup this season, though another injury-plagued campaign could prompt his exit. He has a fairly large contract (six years, $48 million) that is very “voidable.” Few teams demand second-round value when considering trades for their No. 2 signal-caller. And few teams sign proven backups like Quinn Gray to be their emergency quarterback (even if it’s only to a one-year deal).
Contrasting Schaub’s ’07 campaign with Rosenfels’s requires a grain of salt. The former did most of his work without the services of All-World receiver Andre Johnson, who missed seven games with a knee injury. The latter was usually fortunate to have Johnson, he of the blazing speed, hardened strength and soft hands. The difference is night and day. With Johnson in the lineup, Houston’s good-but-far-from-great ancillary options like Kevin Walter, Andre’ Davis, Jacoby Jones and tight end Owen Daniels are respectable forces. Walter is tough to defend over the middle. Davis can really stretch the field. Jones shows flashes of being a playmaker. And Daniels catches just about every ball he sees.
But without Johnson, each man moves up a peg and suddenly looks like the retail version of his wholesale self. Walter becomes a receiver who struggles to get open. Davis becomes whatever it is that has caused him to be super fast yet never good enough to catch more than 40 passes in a season. Jones morphs into the greenhorn who vanished from the offense as a rookie. And Daniels turns into the guy who doesn’t make enough plays after the catch.
The numbers tell the story: Last season, Houston’s offense averaged 25.6 points per game when Johnson was in the lineup, and the team’s record was 6-3. But when he was out of the lineup, the Texans managed only 21.3 points per game and went just 2-5.
The Texans followed Step Five in the “How To” manual by upgrading their offensive line over the offseason. This has essentially become tradition during the franchise’s short existence. Run-blocking has always been poor here, and awful pass protection was largely to blame for the unremunerative tenure of David Carr.
However, Houston appeared to ameliorate their blocking issues last season, giving up only 22 sacks and ranking seventh in sacks allowed per play. The front five has really taken to the zone-blocking scheme that Kubiak brought over from the Broncos. That said, defensive ends have still been too common a presence in the backfield, which is why the team made the necessary move of replacing left tackle Ephraim Salaam. The 32-year-old does not have the lower-body strength to handle the bull rush, and his recovery abilities are questionable.
Taking over for Salaam will be first-round rookie Duane Brown, a Virginia Tech product who converted from tight end just three years ago. Brown will undoubtedly benefit from the tutelage of revered offensive line coach Alex Gibbs, the godfather of zone-blocking. But even Gibbs hasn’t had to work with many left tackles this raw. Playing next to tested veteran Chester Pitts should help Brown. So will the presence of storied run-blocking tight end Mark Bruener, who was given $870,000 to delay retirement for at least one more year.
Rounding out the offensive line is ascending right tackle Eric Winston, guard Fred Weary and center Chris Myers. Winston, in his third season out of Miami, is a near-perfect fit in this scheme. He has the strength to maul in the run game and the nimbleness to play in space. Weary is a naturally gifted player, but if he’s unable to bounce back from a devastating knee injury suffered last season, the Texans may have to consider finding his replacement. Mike Brisiel would be a candidate, though he doesn’t have enough sheer power, even for a zone system. Jordan Black is a tackle who could likely hold up inside. The Texans would love to see former third-round pick Charles Spencer fit this bill, but Spencer’s career never regained traction after a horrendous broken leg his rookie season.
Myers’s presence in the middle fills an enormous void. Experienced in a zone scheme from his days in Denver, and fresh off his best season as a pro, the fourth-year veteran should help elevate a Texan rushing attack that ranked 22nd in 2007.
Houston relied predominantly on bulky Ron Dayne last season, and saw him produce 773 yards on 194 carries. However, Dayne was yet to be resigned as of mid-June, and the Texan coaches have made it clear they prefer a leaner, more one-cut-oriented type of ballcarrier. Oft-injured Ahman Green will be given the first chance to start. Behind him will be oft-injured Chris Brown. Both men have thrived in a zone system before––Green in his glory days with the Packers and Brown in his college days with Colorado.
Third-round rookie Steve Slaton figures to be the playmaking resource for this team on third downs. Slaton has tremendous ability in the open field. Fullback Vonta Leach will be asked to clear the path for whoever lines up seven yards deep.

Defense
The Texans have taken the George Young approach by building their defense from the trenches out. This past draft was the first in which Houston did not expend a first-round draft choice on a defensive linemen. In 2005, they selected Florida State’s Travis Johnson. The following year, they used the No. 1 overall pick on North Carolina State’s Mario Williams. Last season, they made Louisville’s Amobi Okoye the youngest player in the NFL when they selected him 10th overall.
For the most part, Johnson has been a bust, thanks to attitude problems and a work ethic that would make even the French laugh. He has, however, started to recently come on, which is why Anthony Maddox, an able run-defender, has been unable to crack the lineup.
After an underwhelming 4.5-sack rookie year, Williams appeared to be another bust. However, a 10-sack outbreak during the second half of last season pushed Williams to second on the league’s final sack list, with 14 (a Texans record). The 291-pounder plays a brand of football similar to Michael Strahan’s. Williams has the strength to be a force against the run, and he’s a playmaking threat throughout an entire play (as opposed to only off his first step, like so many pass-rushers today). He is a monster in backside pursuit.
As good as Williams looks, Okoye may have the brighter future. Coruscating upper-body power that makes you rewind the tape and confirm what you just saw, the Nigeria native––who attended Louisville at age 16 and graduated at 19––has the potential to be special. Run-stuffing dominance is a given (though he must improve his leverage). And there’s a strong possibility that Okoye will someday emerge as a one-gap penetrater on the level of a Warren Sapp. His numbers declined as the season wore on last year, but fatigue wasn’t entirely to blame. Simply put, Okoye is still not ripe. He exerts more energy than he needs to because he’s yet to hone his technique. He has decent ball awareness though he’s not yet instinctive. These traits will come with time.
Run-stopper Anthony Weaver is the defensive end opposite Williams. He’s hoping to bounce back from an injury-induced down season. N.D. Kalu sees playing time as a pass-rushing specialist though you might not know it from his modest three sacks in ’07. Newly acquired linebacker Kevin Bentley may get an opportunity to take some of Kalu’s snaps this season.
Pardon the breach of etiquette in taking six paragraphs to mention the team’s reigning Most Valuable Player (as voted by his teammates). Middle linebacker DeMeco Ryans is a star. He has recorded 283 tackles in his first two seasons as a pro, racking up honors that include 2006 Defensive Rookie of the Year and 2007 starting Pro Bowler. Ryans gets off blocks with remarkable proficiency and has diagnostic abilities that are developed well beyond his years. Great as he is playing downhill, he’s not the same impact player going east and west.
This in part explains why weakside linebacker Morlon Greenwood, Ryan’s praiseworthy running mate, posted nearly the same number of tackles as the leader last season. Greenwood’s long-term job security was rattled just a bit with the drafting of Xavier Adibi in Round Four, but for now, he is undoubtedly The Man on the outside for Houston. Zac Diles was anointed the strongside linebacker after spending a year almost as a redshirt. Diles shadowed Ryans as a rookie last season. This past offseason, he took serious reps at all three linebacker positions. The Texans appear confident in his abilities––they like his strength in traffic––though they did feel the need to sign veteran Rosevelt Colvin.
Houston boasts a potentially excellent cornerbacking tandem in Dunta Robinson and Fred Bennett. Robinson, however, is expected to begin the season on the PUP list as he continues to recover from a gut-wrenching knee and hamstring injury suffered in Week 10 of last year. The hope is that he can regain his uncanny quickness and burst.
In the meantime, Bennett will hold down the fort as the No. 1 corner. Chances are, you aren’t too familiar with the second-year pro (in part because he was only a fourth-round pick, and in part because there’s something strangely familiar about the sound of his name, which makes him easy to confuse with someone else). Bennett has an excellent build (6’2”, 195). His fluid hips make him the NFL’s version of Shakira, and his awareness and presence in man coverage is well above average for a player of his youth. And perhaps best of all, Bennett can tackle.
Jacques Reeves was a whipping boy when playing across from blanket-cover-ace Terence Newman in Dallas last year. Reeves is a better defender than his high completion rates suggest, which is why the Texans gave him $20 million over four years to sign. That said, he shouldn’t be starting in any team’s secondary. He has trouble establishing position in one-one-one situations, and his ball instincts are nothing to marvel at. He’s starting, though, because the only other options are inconsistent DeMarcus Faggins and callow Antwaun Molden (their third-round rookie out of Eastern Kentucky).
Houston intercepted the lowest percentage of opponents’ passes in football last year. A playmaking safety would do wonders for this defense. C.C. Brown has improved and is now an adequate strong safety, and Will Demps has been a great leader from his free safety spot. But neither man strikes fear in a quarterback.

Special Teams
Kris Brown can make field goals in the clutch, and he was a hat-tipping 5/5 from 50 yards-out last season. Inconsistency has been a stigma throughout his career, though at 31, he’s likely overcome that. It seems like punter Matt Turk has been around since the helmets were leather, but this will only be his 13th season. He’s still solid––his ball placement is excellent.
Jacoby Jones can be an electrifying punt returner, while Andre’ Davis had a Hester-like three touchdown returns on kickoffs last season.

Bottom Line
The next stone in Houston’s path seems to be at least on the threshold of the postseason. However, playing in the über-competitive AFC South––where Indy, Jacksonville and Tennessee all posted double-digit win totals and made the playoffs in ’07––might stifle their final push.


Myth Buster
Mario Williams and DeMeco Ryans have first-rate speed
There is a tendency to assume that a productive young player must be fast. Williams and Ryans are both tremendous young athletes, but neither is a burner. Williams has a surprisingly normal first step that prevents him from being ultra explosive off the snap. This is partly why he struggled his rookie season. His effectiveness comes from his strength and acceleration late in the play (say, in his second, third and fourth steps). He has a great frame (6’7”, 291), highlighted by a seven-footer’s wingspan. The combination of all this makes Williams dominant.
Ryans can certainly get around the field, but his timed speed is only 4.65. He thrives mainly off his ability to shed and slip blocks. He is most effective playing north and south between the tackles. When forced to turn and chase, Ryans becomes a good but not great player. He makes up for any minor deficiencies with instincts and intelligence. As he continues to mature, he’ll give up less space in coverage and have fewer of his tackles come downfield. But it will be because he understands the game, not because he has fast wheels.

Open Thought
Everyone seems to love Houston’s Battle Red jerseys––mainly because, well, how many teams actually give their outfits a cool name like Battle Red? The club itself loves to promote it. Their media guide touts their 5-3 record on “Battle Red Days” and even points out Andre Johnson’s success in the uniform (Johnson averages 6.3 catches, 80.5 yards and has caught a touchdown in four of the last five Battle Red games. This, of course, is comparable to his usual production, but still…..Battle Red!)
After the Texans debuted their new red-jersey, red-pant look on a Thursday night game against the Broncos last year, there were calls for the team to adopt the Battle Red outfits fulltime. Don’t they pretty much have to? After all, when they come out in blue jerseys, isn’t the implication that today is not a day to battle?
How about this: blue helmets, red jerseys, blue pants at home. On the road, do a knock off of the Boise State Fiesta Bowl look: blue helmets, white jerseys, red pants. Wear blue jerseys with red pants on your allotted two alternate uniform games. Just don’t give an inspiring epithet to the uniform.

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Team Report: Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts

By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com

Predicted: 1st

2007 Record: 13-3 (1st AFC South)

Head Coach: Tony Dungy (7th year)

Roster Quick View

*rookie

**new veteran

Offense

QB: Peyton Manning
Thirty-two and
approaching his 11th season as a pro. So far, he’s done alright.


RB: Joseph Addai
Excellent fit in Tom
Moore’s system. Might be one of the five best running backs in football.


WR: Reggie Wayne
Coming off career-high
1,510-yard season. Has supplanted Harrison as Indy’s No. 1 receiver.


WR: Marvin Harrison
Finally showing signs
of mortality after a knee injury wiped out 11 games for him last year. Can you
believe he’s almost 36?


WR: Anthony Gonzalez
Looks like he’ll be a
key figure in this offense for the next 10 years.


TE: Dallas Clark
Became the highest paid
TE in football over the offseason.


LT: Tony Ugoh
Survived the fires of his
rookie season. Skills are there and he’s proven capable of developing. Be
patient––he’ll be a good one.


LG: Ryan Lilja
Was chosen over Jake Scott to
return in 2008. Excellent run-blocker, particularly at the second level.


C: Jeff Saturday
Thirty-three and in the
final year of his contract. Oh, and playing ahead of two rookie centers. Not
slowing down, so could still return next season.


RG: Charlie Johnson
Surprisingly was
anointed the starter during minicamp. A better utility backup, but capable of
surviving with good vets around him.


RT: Ryan Diem
Huge frame and quick power
makes him one of the elite RT’s in football. Highly underrated.


---------------

QB: Jim Sorgi
Nice guy but absolutely no one
in the Hoosier State ever wants to see him have to take the field for the Colts.


RB: Dominic Rhodes
A football speculator:
Won a ring in Indy, went to Oakland for a year and made a quick $3.5 million,
then humbly returned to Indy.


H-back: Jacob Tamme*
Will line up in the
backfield but is strictly a receiving option. He actually played WR at one
point. He also long-snaps.


WR: Devin Aromashodu
A picture of Indy’s
health situation at wideout: if he’s on the field, then someone’s hurt. If he’s
on the sideline, then everyone’s fine.


TE: Gijon Robinson*
Will have a chance to
contribute right away as an extra blocker on the line or out of the backfield.


OL: Mike Pollak*
A center in college,
will begin his career at G. Only a matter of time before he starts.


Defense

LDE: Robert Mathis
So small, he almost looks
like someone’s humorous Create-A-Player on the Madden video game. But he
can sure play.


DT: Raheem Brock
Serviceable player who
is deserving of his reps in a rotation. Will occasionally draw a double team.


DT: Ed Johnson
Undrafted a year ago because
of character concerns, but has been well-behaved and, honestly, absolutely
outstanding. The Colts rolled a seven here.


RDE: Dwight Freeney
Perhaps the most
destructive pass-rusher in football when healthy. How will he perform coming
back from a Lisfranc (foot) injury?


LOLB: Tyjuan Hagler
Shows a good burst. Can
be physical and is effective in space. Must continue to build awareness as he
develops in the system.


MLB: Gary Brackett
Don’t be fooled by his
pudginess. This guy is smart, productive against the run and adroit in pass
defense.


ROLB: Freddy Keiaho
Indy’s best LB; should
really come into his own in 2008.


CB: Kelvin Hayden
Lacks strength and will
get picked on at times, but quickness makes him a good starter.


SS: Bob Sanders
Reigning NFL Defensive
Player of the Year. And now the game’s most well-compensated safety. Key for
him, as always, is staying healthy.


FS: Antoine Bethea
Went to the Pro Bowl as
an injury replacement last season. Doesn’t have dominating tools, but certainly
does his job well.


CB: Marlin Jackson
Physical presence who
can play anywhere in the secondary. Colts like to slide him into the slot in
nickel situations.


---------------

DL: Jeff Thomas
High-energy player who
you can plug in on defense and stay above water.


LB: Clinton Session
Flashed stimulating
signs of potential as a fourth-round rookie last year. Will be a starter
someday, maybe even this season.


NB: Tim Jennings
Absurdly short (5’8')
but performs well when called upon because he trusts the Cover 2.




Key Acquisitions

RB Dominic Rhodes (Oak)

Key Losses

LB Rocky Boiman (Phi)

TE Bryan Fletcher

G Dylan Gandy

DT Dan Klecko (Phi)

DT Anthony McFarland

LB Rob Morris

G Jake Scott (Ten)

TE Ben Utecht (Cin)

This was the first time in several years that Indy did not take a major hit in
free agency. It was wise to bring back Rhodes, especially for less than $1
million. Of the players lost, Fletcher and Gandy were the biggest surprises.
Both were expected to have bigger roles in 2008 and both were suddenly given the
ax after the first minicamp. Makes you wonder if the team knows something we
don’t. Morris and McFarland are finished after knee injuries. Scott was solid
for the team, but they couldn’t afford to keep both he and Ryan Lilja.



2008 Draft

Rd Sel Player Position School

2 59


Mike Pollak

G/C Arizona State

3 93


Philip Wheeler

OLB Georgia Tech

4 127


Jacob Tamme

TE Kentucky

5 161


Marcus Howard

LB Georgia

6 196


Tom Santi

TE Virginia

6 201


Steve Justice

C Wake Forest

6 202


Mike Hart

RB Michigan

6 205


Pierre Garcon

WR Mount Union

7 236


Jamey Richard

OL Buffalo

Pollak was an All-Pac 10 center his senior season, but like most Colt
interior linemen, he’ll break in at guard first. He may stay there in the long
haul, considering that Justice, despite being drafted late, is regarded as one
of the preeminent center prospects. Wheeler can play all three linebacker spots,
and his athleticism makes him a great fit for the Cover 2. He’ll start some day.
Tamme is a receiving weapon while Santi can block. Hart was a star in college
but he’ll have to fight just to make this roster.



2008 Indianapolis Colts Preview Report

The system is set up to prevent this.
It’s designed to create parity and equality. This is what the people behind it
champion to the masses. There are 32 teams that operate under a socialistic form
of government that calls itself the NFL (National Football League). A more
accurate title would be the PRPF (People’s Republic of Pro Football).

In the PRPF, revenue a team earns goes into a pot, where it is then
redistributed in a more proportionate fashion. Money a team spends on player
payroll must not exceed $116 million in the year 2008. They call this the salary
cap. In the PRPF, teams that achieve the most success are rewarded with a lower
draft position and harder schedule the following season. Teams that do the best
in the draft eventually are forced to give up the highest number of quality
players in free agency. Otherwise, they’d go over that cap. This is the system.

There is the belief that the key in pro football is to operate within the system
and beat the other 31 teams. It’s not. Rather, the key in pro football is to
beat the system. Beating the other teams happens naturally from there. Some
clubs know this. Few understand it. And even fewer actually do it.

The Indianapolis Colts are one of the few. They beat the pro football system the
same way Rockefeller, Carnegie and Mellon beat the free market system: by
perfecting their own system within the system.

For the Colts, it’s about minimizing risk. It all starts at the top with a
stable owner in Jim Irsay. A man of honorable character and
self-assurance, Irsay has thrived by leasing control of this franchise to those
who know football. Mainly, team president Bill Polian.

Polian has one of the sharpest football minds in the world. Best known as the
orchestrater of the Buffalo Bills runner-up teams in the early 90s, he joined
the Colts in ’98. Over time, Indy’s system has been installed.

Polian’s inaugural year in Indianapolis presented a fate-altering decision: use
the first overall pick in the draft on Tennessee quarterback Peyton Manning,
or spend it on Washington State quarterback Ryan Leaf? Polian later said that,
in his mind, there was never really much question about it. He was four years
ahead of everyone else in this sense.

When Manning joined the Colts, their system’s only human component was put in
place. It remains that way today. The 11th-year quarterback is the
only person that the Colts are dependent on; the rest of their system is
theory-based.

Polian has an unwavering commitment to the system. So do the people he works
with. Offensively, it centers around flexibility and complexity. Everything runs
through Manning and is overseen by coordinator Tom Moore. The mission is
to figure out exactly what a defense is doing and then go to the playbook and
counter it. You may have noticed that this all takes place at the line of
scrimmage.

The playbook itself is a system, crafted in a fashion that demands speed at the
receiver position, patience and vision from the running back and endurance and
mobility along the offensive line.

Finding the right men to execute it is up to Polian. If you’re a college player
and your skills meet the system’s demands, Polian is willing to look at you. If
your skills don’t meet the demands, then you cease to exist. When Polian looks
at players, he has his staff help filter out the ones incapable of handling the
system’s flexibility and complexity. He also filters out any players with
serious red flags on character. If you are one of the few who make it through,
you have a chance to be drafted.

If you’re a skill position player, Polian drafts you in Round One. This is where
he found Manning, receivers Marvin Harrison, Reggie Wayne and
Anthony Gonzalez
, tight end Dallas Clark and running back Joseph
Addai
. If you work along the offensive line, you’re usually drafted on the
second day. If you’re really talented, Polian might take you in the second
round, as he did left tackle Tony Ugoh and guard/center Mike Pollak.
But for the most part, you’re going to be drafted late. And you’ll likely be
allowed to leave after your first contract expires. When it comes to paying
high-priced second contracts, Polian’s system is like fantasy football: it
prioritizes the skill players.

It wasn’t until a few years after Tony Dungy arrived before the defensive
system became fine-tuned. Dungy brought along his own system from Tampa Bay,
called the Cover 2. It’s a zone-based scheme built around speed. This
attribute––speed––serves as the first filter when Polian and company evaluate
defensive personnel. If you don’t have it, you’ll never be a Colt.

From there it’s simple, really. The Colts evaluate all the speedy players, then
decide which ones along the front seven tend to make the most plays, and which
ones in the secondary tend to give up the fewest. From that pool, they draft.


If you play in Indy’s defensive system, you’ll be coached well. And you’ll
probably succeed. But there is an underlining cruelty that comes with it: lack
of appreciation. Unless you have Hall of Fame potential, the Colts aren’t going
to break the bank to keep you around. You could even be a Pro Bowler––they’ll
still show you the door. That’s what happens when the franchise’s main system
ranks the offensive system higher than the defensive system, and the bigger
system hovering over the main system enforces a salary cap law. Get it?

It’s worse if you’re a linebacker or cornerback because, in Dungy’s Cover 2, the
demands on your position are relatively simple, which makes you extremely
replaceable. When you leave the Colts, they’ll hardly notice because they
already drafted your replacement a few years ago. It’s like getting dumped and
seeing your ex immediately start dating someone else. This year, for the first
time since 2003, the Colts return all 11 starters on defense. That’s merely a
coincidence.

Hold onto your questions about Indy’s system. In fact, forget them. The system
is impermeable. And the Colts know it. Any concerns you voice will only draw a
nonchalant response along the lines of 'doesn’t matter.' Go ahead, try to press
the issue:

What about injuries? There have been lots. All are survivable as long as
No. 18 is not the victim.

Chemistry concerns? Taken care of by the filters.

Bad draft picks? Again, the filters.

It seems like the defensive system often results in poor run defense for the
Colts. Is that true?
Yep. In fact, it was the worst in the league in the ’06
Super Bowl season. It always seems to correct itself in the right moments
though.

Okay…what if coaches leave? Few ever do.

What about Dungy? Yeah, he’ll be gone soon––probably next year. But his
replacement (Jim Caldwell) is already here. And Dungy’s system will stay,
too.

Does the system survive in a small market? Oh now you’re just reaching.
This team has national appeal. Besides, haven’t you seen the new $675 million
Lucas Oil Stadium? You don’t think that will help the bottom line?

Okay, so why only one Super Bowl in this system? Ah! Good question. No
answer. Perhaps that’s why football fans stay intrigued.

Offense

Never before has the Colts offense
entered a season with its biggest question mark being wide receiver Marvin
Harrison
. Peyton Manning’s career-long favorite target is coming off
a forgettable 2007 in which he missed 11 games with a ruptured bursa sac (sounds
gross, but it actually just means 'sore knee.') Harrison’s offseason wasn’t much
better. He spent most of his hours rehabilitating the knee, and in May he was
questioned in a Philadelphia shooting that took place outside a bar that he
owns. (The gun used in the shooting was registered to Harrison. He has not been
charged.)

Such distractions are foreign for the taciturn veteran. The legal issues are
likely to sort themselves out. The knee is another concern. Harrison turns 36 in
August and plays a style of football that is utterly dependent on his ability to
cut and change directions. Should he not be ready to contribute, you’ll see
second-year pro Anthony Gonzalez take over outside.

Gonzalez is tailor-made for this offense and is poised to inherit a starting job
in the near future. The Colts, however, would rather not have to rush him into
the No. 2 spot. Such a scenario would be problematic because of the gaping hole
it would leave in the slot. Indy’s depth at wide receiver and tight end is
unusually thin this season. Third-year pro Devin Aromashodu, second-year
pro Roy Hall and sixth-round rookie Pierre Garcon are the
bottom-feeder wideouts likely to make the 53-man roster.

In the past, the No. 2 tight end has helped fill a void in the passing game when
starter Dallas Clark flexes out into the slot. But when Clark stands up
this year, the tight end spot will be manned not by veterans Bryan Fletcher and
Ben Utecht, but by rookies Jacob Tamme (fourth round) and Tom Santi
(sixth round). Tamme is a converted wide receiver, while Santi is a de facto
fullback.

Keep all this in perspective. There isn’t a team in the league that wouldn’t
take Indy’s insecure receiving depth if it meant having Reggie Wayne and
Dallas Clark in the starting lineup. The 29-year-old Wayne has evolved
into Manning’s preferred target. He’s coming off a season in which he caught 104
balls for 1,510 yards and 10 scores, despite facing more double teams than he’d
ever seen before. Aside from occasionally cutting off a route, Wayne is
exquisite. Clark is nearly as valuable. While his numbers pale in comparison, he
is an everydown X-factor. Tom Moore does a masterful job of using the
tight end in ways that constantly command a defense’s attention.

The Colts will continue to work out of a single-back offense in 2008, and with
the return of Dominic Rhodes, they’ll likely return to the two-man
rotation that helped guide them to a Lombardi Trophy two years ago. Playing
behind Joseph Addai, Rhodes won’t see nearly as many touches as he did
when he was the starter in ’06. Addai is a great enough weapon to warrant 20
touches a game, but with Rhodes, Kenton Keith (who struggles in pass pro
but runs with good power) and maybe even sixth-round rookie Mike Hart,
there is no reason for the third-year star to shoulder a heavy load before
January.

The front five masterfully allows Manning and the offense to function. Much of
the credit belongs to offensive line coach Howard Mudd. Mudd’s genius is
what permits Polian to get away with using predominantly late-round picks on
O-linemen.

Two of Indy’s five starting linemen were actually 'no-round picks.' Ten years
ago, center Jeff Saturday came into the league as a rookie free agent out
of North Carolina. He has since gone to two Pro Bowls. Left guard Ryan Lilja
was undrafted out of Kansas State back in ’04. He was recently given a
well-deserved five-year, $20 million contract.

The investment in Lilja came at the expense of starting guard Jake Scott, who
signed with division foe Tennessee. It was thought that Dylan Gandy would
replace Scott, but Gandy was abruptly released after the team’s first minicamp.
This leaves third-year veteran Charlie Johnson competing with
second-round draft pick Mike Pollak for the starting duties. No doubt the
Colts would like to see Pollak earn the job, but they won’t hesitate to go with
the ex-tackle Johnson.

On the outsides, second-year player Tony Ugoh is a star in the making. At
6’5', 301 pounds, Ugoh has an athletic frame with long arms that give him an
edge in all facets as a blocker. He improved his technique as a rookie and
started to show confidence late in the season. Mudd has worked closely with his
pupil and should have a Pro Bowler in Ugoh by 2010.

Right tackle Ryan Diem is less heralded but more dominant. At 6’6', 320
he’s difficult for defenders to see around, which means if he doesn’t get beat
off the first step, the battle is his.

Defense

Would you believe this group gave up the
fewest points in football last season? And, despite its bend-but-don’t-break
mentality, it surrendered the third fewest yards. Here’s the kicker: the Colts
did all this despite having a depleted pass-rush that registered only 28 sacks
(tied for 26th most in the NFL).

Those familiar with Dungy and defensive coordinator Ron Meeks know that
this Cover 2 scheme is predicated on pressuring the quarterback. Colts defensive
linemen have long been instructed to play the pass first and the run second.
Sometimes they’re even told to play pass, play pass once more, and then, if
there’s time left over, go ahead and play run.

Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis are two of the paramount
pass-rushers in the game. Both are coming off injury-marred ’07 campaigns.
Mathis missed time with a knee sprain. Freeney was lost in Week 10 with a
more-alarming Lisfranc injury. Freeney had just 3.5 sacks at that point, after a
ho-hum 5.5-sack total in 2006. However, his statistics always come with a grain
a salt, considering the amount of attention opposing offensive lines direct to
him.

Backup ends Jeff Thomas and Jeff Charleston are both try-hard guys
who can fill in when either starter is out. The Colts are also shifting
second-year pro Keyunta Dawson back to his original defensive end spot,
giving them three good options off the bench.

Inside, Meeks will use a four-man rotation featuring starters Ed Johnson
and Raheem Brock, and backups Quinn Pitcock and Darrell Reid.
Johnson is a promising talent who became the team’s lottery prize when Anthony
McFarland went down last August with a torn ACL. The Colts discovered that the
undrafted kid from Penn State had an unusually quick first step for someone
weighing nearly 300 pounds. They also saw in Johnson the type of motor and
agility that their system covets.

If Johnson continues to develop, the Colts will have a very formidable front
line. Brock is a tenured veteran who makes plays when he has to. Pitcock, a
third-round pick a year ago, is a starter in waiting, thanks to upper-body
strength that amplifies his leverage at the point of attack. Reid is
underwhelming but capable of filling in while other guys catch their breath.

The entire linebacking core is undersized––think Vern Troyer––but faster than
sound. Their responsibility is to run to the ball before blockers can get a hand
on them. Middle man Gary Brackett is the most productive of the bunch,
though outside stud Freddy Keiaho is the most fearsome. Keiaho has great
play recognition and is dominant when untouched. He doesn’t have Brackett’s
intuition in pass defense (Brackett led the team with four picks last season)
but he’s good enough to play in the nickel packages.

If there is a weak link, it’s Tyjuan Hagler. Unquestionably gifted enough
to start, the third-year vet must continue to build his knowledge in this
system. Backup Clint Session was extremely impressive in limited action
as a rookie last season and is chomping at the bit to crack the starting 11. So
is third-round pick Philip Wheeler, a versatile prospect out of Georgia
Tech who will inherit a starting job when Keiaho and Brackett become free agents
after next season.

Regardless of what the linebackers do, no player is as important to Indy’s run
defense as strong safety Bob Sanders. The 2007 NFL Defensive Player of
the Year is coming off his first injury-free season as a pro. At 5’8', 206
pounds, bumps and bruises––even the occasional break––are inevitable for
Sanders, given his reckless style of play. But it’s imperative that he make that
style of play available to the team by staying on the field. Without Sanders,
the gorgeous Colts D becomes a girl with no makeup on.

Sanders is good in coverage, though Indy relies more on free safety Antoine
Bethea
in this sense. Bethea, while not a playmaker, has the necessary speed
to handle his help coverage duties. Still, the onus is on the cornerbacks to be
physical and adept in their individual responsibilities. This is especially true
for Kelvin Hayden, who starts on the left side where Sanders often
blitzes from. Hayden has a good feel for breaking on the ball, which is why
offenses must be judicious with the number of hook and out-patterns they show
him. The way to go after Hayden is to overpower him with physical receivers.

The opposite is true when attacking right cornerback Marlin Jackson. The
former first-round pick is an aggressive defender who explodes into the point of
attack. He doesn’t have the fast feet of an elite cover corner, but he’s very
comfortable operating in zone.

Jackson is a wonderful tackler, having played safety early in his career. The
Colts spend an awful lot of time in nickel. In these situations, Jackson slides
into the slot, where he can be more active against the run. Third-year pro
Tim Jennings
then mans the outside. Bethea tends to cheat his coverage
toward Jennings, especially deep downfield. Jennings, though, deserves some
credit for discouraging quarterbacks from throwing to his side.

The depth is alright in the defensive backfield. Matt Giordano can
perform at both safety positions. Cornerback Dante Hughes has only played
special teams thus far, but he was a third-round pick a year ago. Michael Coe
has seen minor action.

Special Teams

You may have heard that kicker Adam
Vinatieri
is clutch. Vinatieri was, however, 0-3 on field goals longer than
40 yards last season. Hunter Smith continues to enjoy the chillest job in
football: punting for the Colts offense.

T.J. Rushing is the return specialist. He handled his duties well last
season, averaging 23.0 yards on kickoffs and 13.1 on punts (including a 90-yard
touchdown). The Colts coverage units as a whole need work. Last season, Indy
finished last in defending punt returns and 29th in defending kick
returns.


Bottom Line



It’s a given that this team will be a contender in late
January. The Colts are one of the few teams in football that can use the regular
season as a tune-up for the playoffs. Ultimately, their success may hinge on how
well the offense can handle aggressive 3-4 fronts (which they’ll see from AFC
powers New England, San Diego, Cleveland and Pittsburgh).





Myth Buster

Left tackle Tony Ugoh is a liability

Ugoh was phenomenal last season considering he wasn’t expected to be thrown
to the wolves right away. Indy gave him very little tight end help early in the
year and entrusted him with Manning’s blindside on Day One.

The area where the second-rounder did struggle at times was in run-blocking.
Ugoh took a little while to fully understand the timing of the Colts’ stretch
handoff, and he initially looked uncomfortable in space. However, this changed
as the year wore on.

Heading into this season, Ugoh remains an extremely gifted athlete under the
auspices of an extremely gifted O-line coach (Howard Mudd). He’ll only continue
to improve.

Open Thought

Lucas Oil Stadium is a lavish venue, but we seem to have struck the nadir of
the stadium naming rights craze. These days, anything with the word 'oil' in it
makes everyone uneasy. It’s impossible to say the word and not feel your morale
drop. Exacerbating the 'oil' issue with the stadium is the name Lucas in front
of it. It’s too personal of a name––it only seems to add to the sting. You can
just hear the people now saying, Wait, wait, wait. Who is Lucas? What is this
oil he has? Is he to blame for high gas prices?


Team Report: Jacksonville Jaguars


Jacksonville Jaguars


By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com

Predicted: 2nd

2007 Record: 11-5 (2nd AFC South)

Head Coach: Jack Del Rio (6th year)

Roster Quick View

*rookie

**new veteran

Offense

QB: David Garrard

Became far and away the
highest-paid Jaguar in history over the offseason. Deserving of the fortune, but
what he is, really, is a superstar caretaker.


RB: Fred Taylor
Who would have ever
believed that 'Fragile Freddy' would still be gaining over 1,200 yards well into
his thirties?


FB: Greg Jones
More athletic than a
traditional fullback––which figures considering he was drafted as a tailback.



WR: Jerry Porter**
Few realize he’s never had 1,000
yards in a season. That could change this year.


WR: Troy Williamson**
If he couldn’t catch in
Minnesota, why would he be able to catch here?

TE: Marcedes Lewis
Jacksonville
overestimated his raw talent when they drafted him in Round One, but he’s still
a very solid starter.


LT: Khalif Barnes
If football were only
about talent, he’d be fine. But football’s also about character, endurance and
leadership. That’s why he’s fending off Richard Collier for his job.


LG: Maurice Williams
Former OT who is
clearly a better fit at G. Must avoid mental letdown after signing a new 4-year
contract.


C: Brad Meester
Awareness and technique
make this aggressive veteran a cog in the middle.


RG: Vince Manuwai
Moving over from the
left side; the hope is he’ll boost the right side’s run-blocking power.


RT: Tony Pashos
Uses size to his
advantage, and approaches one-on-one matchups well. Not a standout, but above
average.


---------------

QB: Cleo Lemon**
Great name, so-so game.
A mild upgrade over Quinn Gray.


RB: Maurice Jones-Drew
A de facto starter. One
of the game’s best playmakers. Stubborn on contact and absolutely lethal in the
open field.


WR: Dennis Northcutt
The football equivalent
of a Benihana chef who shows nifty utensil tricks but makes mediocre food.


WR: Matt Jones
God gave him great size, great
speed and absolutely nothing else.


TE: George Wrighster
A receiving TE who
caught only 17 passes in 2007 before tearing his ACL in November.


OL: Dennis Norman
The consummate utility
backup inside. Can start at G or C when needed. Won’t invigorate your front
five, but will help keep it functioning.


Defense

LDE: Derrick Harvey*
They took out a small
mortgage to get this guy. Simply put, they need him to record lots of sacks.


DT: John Henderson
Playing without
sidekick Marcus Stroud won’t be a problem. A dominant run defender at his best.


DT: Rob Meier
Starting opportunity came
about two years too late. Still, can be effective at the front-end of a
rotation.


RDE: Reggie Hayward
Faces very long odds at
holding onto his starting job in the long haul now that Quentin Groves is behind
him.


LOLB: Justin Durant
Tremendous athlete who
has only okay speed. Football instincts are almost otherworldly; he’ll be a good
starter for many years.


MLB: Mike Peterson
Elite veteran player
when healthy. Closing quickness is superb, and instincts are impressive.



ROLB: Daryl Smith
Quintessential role
player who can be good at all 3 linebacker spots. Won’t make you win, but
you need guys like him in order to win.


CB: Rashean Mathis
Take tackling out of
the equation and he’s for sure a top-10 CB. He’s probably top-10 anyway. But
goodness, he sure is a wuss against the run.


SS: Reggie Nelson
Questionable idea to
move him from FS to SS, but he can still thrive. Must continue development. Good
progress to date, far from done.


FS: Brian Williams
Moves from CB to
centerfield, where he’s a slightly better fit.


CB: Drayton Florence**
Doesn’t get burned all
that often but doesn’t discourage quarterbacks from challenging him either.


---------------

DL: Quentin Groves*
Fast player who was
thought to perhaps be a better fit as an OLB in a 3-4. This tells you what kind
of pass-rusher he can be.


LB: Clint Ingram
Good tackler who could
start for a lot of teams––including this one.


NB: Scott Starks
The one key defensive
contributor who might make Jaguar coaches and fans a little nervous.


Players Acquired

QB Todd Bouman (FA)

CB Drayton Florence (SD)

DT Jimmy Kennedy (Chi)

QB Cleo Lemon (Mia)

WR Jerry Porter (Oak)

S Pierson Prioleau (Was)

WR Craphonso Thorpe (Ind)

WR Troy Williamson (Min)



Players Lost

CB Terry Cousin (Cle)

CB Aaron Glenn (NO)

QB Quinn Gray (Hou)

S Sammy Knight (NYG)

DE Bobby McCray (NO)

G Chris Naeole

LB Shantee Orr (Cle)

DT Marcus Stroud (Buf)

S Lamont Thompson

RB LaBrandon Toefield (Car)

WR Earnest Wilford (Mia)

The Jaguars made good use of the $30-plus million they had in cap space. They
spent a lot of that money on locking up David Garrard. Then, they bought Garrard
some receivers. Porter is an alright addition. His attitude is questionable, but
he’s better than anyone they’ve had here since Jimmy Smith. Trading for
Williamson shows wishful thinking, though Jacksonville only gave up a
sixth-round pick to get him. Lemon is an upgrade over Gray, and Florence is an
improvement over Cousin. It was a big move to trade Stroud––symbolic if nothing
else. Naeole was let go because of injury. Knight hasn’t slowed down as much as
they think, but they can live without him.

Draft

2008 - Jacksonville Jaguars

Rd Sel # Player Position School

1 8


Derrick Harvey

DE Florida

2 52


Quentin Groves

DE Auburn

5 155


Thomas Williams

LB USC

5 159


Trae Williams

CB South Florida

7 213


Chauncey Washington

RB USC

Think the Jaguars weren’t bent on improving their pass rush? Harvey was
productive in the SEC and, not having played football until his senior year of
high school, he’s still very much a work in progress. If he pans out, he’ll be a
star. Jacksonville traded a pair of third-rounders and a fifth-rounder just to
move up 18 spots to get him. Groves can be a havoc-wreaker. Thomas Williams
wasn’t even a starter in college, but he provides special teams help. Trae
Williams is a playmaker who gives them depth. Washington could maybe be groomed
as Maurice Jones-Drew’s replacement for when Jones-Drew takes over Fred Taylor’s
job.



2008 Jacksonville Jaguars Preview Report

The Jacksonville Jaguars are just going
to have to win a Super Bowl. That’s the only way they’ll get people to like
them. Nothing else seems to be working.

In a sense, there’s a certain pureness to this. Almost like, isn’t this how it
should be? Perhaps. But it’s not how it is for the 31 other teams in the NFL. If
we are to believe the polls and statistics, all 31 of those teams are more
popular than the team from Duval County. Despite having won 31 games since 2005
(tied for fifth most in the NFL), and not having finished below .500 since 2003,
Jacksonville has ranked dead-last in size of fan base each of the past three
seasons.

The Jaguars themselves have done nothing wrong. Poll Americans to find out which
teams are most despised and you wouldn’t see Jacksonville’s name anywhere near
the top of the list. But herein lies the problem. There is a cruel sense of
apathy toward this team. Almost as if the Jaguars were in the NHL. Or even the
WNBA. Rooting for Jacksonville has become like protesting discrimination against
women at Augusta National: many appreciate the idea, but whatever.

Some NFL teams have generation-long waiting lists for season tickets; the
Jaguars have long had an embarrassingly low season-ticket renewal rate. This
season, the team set a record with 84 percent renewals––a respectable number and
nine percentage points higher than the previous year. But division rival
Indianapolis had a 99.7 percent renewal rate. And Indy’s ticket prices are
closely aligned with the league average; Jacksonville’s are about 10 percent
below that.

The Colts also have a 20-year stadium naming rights agreement in place with
Lucas Oil. The deal pays them $120 million. The Jaguars, on the other hand, have
been searching two years for a stadium sponsor.

The small market of Duval County is partly to blame for Jacksonville’s woes. And
horror stories from national media outlets and reports just like this one tend
to paint a bleaker picture than what reality holds. But the bottom line is, the
Jaguars are a good team––a damn fine organization––and still, no one cares.

Well guess what. Neither do the Jaguars.

Owner Wayne Weaver has been smart enough to understand that his on-field
product is not the source of his team’s lackluster popularity. Thus, Weaver has
wisely refrained from the temptation to stir things up and has instead only
solidified his franchise’s core principles. (Think of the Jags as the nice but
unnoticed kid in high school who chooses not to chase cheap popularity through
hard partying.)

In March, Weaver rewarded quarterback David Garrard with a six-year, $60
million contract, making the 30-year-old by far the highest paid individual in
franchise history. Garrard certainly deserved the largesse––his 102.2 passer
rating was third best in the NFL last season, and his poise in the playoffs was
noble, particularly in the Wild Card win at Pittsburgh. That said, his
consistency and character do not outweigh the vanilla style of play that makes
him forgettable in the fantasy-loving Madden EA Sports–adoring minds of
typical football fans.

But God be with the individual who ever tries to explain this to Weaver. Or head
coach Jack Del Rio. The longtime NFL linebacker subscribes to the type of
rigid values that embody the idea of doing things your own way. Del Rio doesn’t
care what they think. (Who? Anybody.) If he did, he never would have abruptly
cut a former No. 7 overall draft pick (Byron Leftwich) after anointing a
career-long backup (Garrard) the starter last year.

Del Rio cares only about winning games––and it shows in how he goes about his
business. His relationship with Weaver has been rocky at times. And he’s butted
heads with VP of player personnel Shack Harris and the front office
before. However, hasty firings have been eschewed, and egos have been put aside
in Jacksonville.

After working under a fairly non-committal contract for the better part of six
years, Del Rio accepted a five-year extension from Weaver this past the
offseason. It’s a testament to Del Rio that, prior to the security of an
extension, he had been willing to surround himself with creative and experienced
assistant coaches. Gregg Williams is the latest example. Once presumed to
be the next head coach in Washington, owner Dan Snyder instead fired Williams
out of fear that the defensive guru’s presence could jeopardize the authority of
Jim Zorn. Del Rio, himself a defensive expert, quickly brought Williams to
Jacksonville.

Last season Del Rio hired his buddy Mike Tice, the former head coach of
the Minnesota Vikings. He also added prominent ex-college head coaches Dirk
Koetter
(offensive coordinator) and Mike Shula (quarterbacks).

A lot of the assistant coaches have changed in recent years, but Jacksonville’s
style of play has not. Conservative and smash-mouth––it’s what’s worked for
them. It’s boring. Even when it’s exciting, it’s boring. The Jaguars don’t care.

And because they don’t care, they now find themselves in legitimate contention
for a Super Bowl run in 2008. Is Jacksonville the leading contender in the
top-heavy AFC? No. But this is a team that went 11-5 a year ago, and got better
over the offseason. In Derrick Harvey and Quentin Groves they
added the potentially dynamic pass-rushers that their stellar but never sexy
defense has long been missing. In Jerry Porter they brought in a talented
veteran receiver to fill the enormous void still remaining from Jimmy Smith’s
retirement.

Should none of these additions work out, the Jaguars will simply be left with
the same young team that a year ago ranked sixth in offense and tenth in defense
(in terms of scoring). This team is rock-solid. Not that anybody really cares.

Offense

David Garrard

is The Man in Jacksonville, but the fulcrum of the offense is the rushing
attack. It ranked second in the league last season thanks to its star tandem of
Fred Taylor and Maurice Jones-Drew. Both players are thrilling
home run threats who thrive on speed and elusiveness. Taylor, once bestowed with
the dubious moniker Fragile Freddy, has produced the most unlikely of
late-career surges. At 32, he heads into his 11th season fluid and
healthy. He averaged a career-high 5.4 yards per carry last season, due in part
to his league-leading four runs over 50 yards. He makes up for the half-second
he’s lost in speed with outstanding vision and an innate understanding of how to
use his blocks.

Taylor receives approximately two-thirds of the carries, though that number
could decrease as the Jags focus on getting the rock more in the hands of the
23-year-old Jones-Drew. An ’06 second-round pick from UCLA, Jones-Drew is
already one of the elite playmakers in the NFL. At 5’7', 212, he’s a bowling
ball between the tackles. His reliability in the passing game (40 receptions a
year ago) makes him the optimum third-down back. Jacksonville, of course, uses
him on all four downs.

The health of both Taylor and Jones-Drew is crucial to the team’s success. The
only other running back on the roster is seventh-round pick Chauncey
Washington
. Fullback Greg Jones carried the ball at Florida State,
but he has evolved into a genuine lead-blocker since turning pro.

A dominant ground game is what allows a second-tier star like Garrard to excel.
Also, not to be overlooked is the value that offensive coordinator Dirk
Koetter
has brought to the table. The man originally behind the high-flying
offensive movement at Boise State arrived last season with a playbook rich in
creativity (compared to what this organization had grown familiar with, anyway).
Koetter’s relationship with Garrard is fantastic––especially now that they’ve
had a true full offseason to work together.

Garrard does not boast amazing raw tools. He’s mobile, sure, but his arm
strength shows its limitations when defenders get in his face. Last season, the
quarterback threw for a modest 2,509 yards. His rating was escalated with 18
touchdowns against only three interceptions. Such statistics are the sign of a
conservative passing attack.

Indeed, Koetter’s not stupid; he knows his personnel. For years, the Jaguars
have lacked quality wide receivers like Evander Holyfield has lacked quality
financial advisors. Former first-round picks Reggie Williams and Matt
Jones
have been busts (Williams on a moderate scale; Jones on an
overwhelming one). Both are on the cusp of losing a roster spot in 2008. If not
for health issues surrounding last year’s third-round pick Mike Walker
(knee), or the shilly-shallying by the coaching staff in trusting
seventh-rounder of a year ago John Broussard, Williams and Jones would be
gone already.

You can’t help but chuckle when realizing that needing to replace their
underachievers, Jacksonville went out and acquired Troy Williamson and
Jerry Porter
, two poster children for the underachievement movement.

Minnesota drafted Williamson seventh-overall in 2005, hoping he’d be a
replacement for Randy Moss. Sadly, the speedy ex-Gamecock forgot how to catch.
(Imbalanced eye strength, it was determined by vision specialists at Nike, could
be partly to blame.) Tight end coach Mike Tice, who was Williamson’s
first head coach in Minnesota, vouched for the receiver to come to Jacksonville.

Few head coaches would ever vouch for the puerile Porter. But with as much speed
and body control as the 6’2', 220-pounder has, a poor reputation was not enough
to prevent Shack Harris from guaranteeing him $10 million in a six-year,
$30 million contract. If Porter can fulfill his potential––and in a new
environment that is almost as far away from Oakland as possible, it’s probable
that he can––then Garrard will have his first true go-to receiver.

Porter’s arrival moves Dennis Northcutt to the slot, a role the shifty
ninth-year veteran is better suited for. It also opens things up for tight end
Marcedes Lewis. Jacksonville’s late-first-round pick from three years ago
has progressed decently thus far. While a somewhat maladroit runner, Lewis
(6’6', 265) shows extremely soft hands, making him viable as a short-to
medium-range receiver. His blocking is up to par, though the Jags will need him
to continue to improve, as backup tight end George Wrighster is more of a
pass catcher and back-end reserves Greg Estandia and Richard Angulo
are too restricted athletically.

Jacksonville’s offensive line is without a standout blocker. But collectively,
this unit is big, gritty and consistent. Center Brad Meester anchors the
middle and does a spectacular job with the line calls. He shows the kind of
consistency that Jaguar coaches fear will vanish from Maurice Williams
now that the tackle-turned-guard has signed a new four-year, $16 million
contract. Williams showed a less than enthralling output during the OTAs.
Coaches actually toyed with the idea of benching him for Uche Nwaneri or
Dennis Norman.

Williams will play the left side which means guard Vince Manuwai moves to
the right. Manuwai’s short-area power should be more effective next to solid
right tackle Tony Pashos. At the almighty left tackle position, talented
but immature Khalif Barnes fell into a job competition with 358-pound
Richard Collier
, a Valdosta State product who the team has spent the past
two years polishing for what they hope can be a shiny debut. Whether that debut
comes in earnest this season remains to be seen. Collier is far from a golden
child; like Barnes, he was once reprimanded by the team for a DUI arrest.

Defense

Longtime defensive coordinator Mike Smith
left for the head coaching position in Atlanta (by the way, have fun with that,
Mike), allowing for the arrival of heralded defensive coordinator Gregg
Williams
. Williams has a unique ability to customize his approach to fit the
taste of his boss––in this case, Jack Del Rio––and the skills of his
personnel. When given his druthers, Williams employs a blitz-happy scheme
insured by stellar secondary play.

Though Williams focuses on winning in the offensive and defensive backfields,
his strategy actually hinges on the performance of the linebackers. The Jaguars
have four good ones: Mike Peterson, Darryl Smith, Justin Durant
and Clint Ingram.

When healthy, Peterson is among the best Mike backers in football. He has
outstanding speed and instincts, and he shows a jarring ferocity at the point of
attack. Of course, as the 'when healthy' qualifier implies, injuries have been
an issue. In 2006, Peterson missed 11 games with a torn pectoral muscle. Last
season, he sat out half of November and most of December with a broken hand. At
32, the next significant injury could undermine his career.

When Peterson is out, Darryl Smith moves from the outside to the middle.
His contributions are like a mid-length skirt: observers are appreciative but
not awe-struck. Smith’s versatility and acumen in pass defense––not to mention
his consistency––secure his starting spot. With Peterson healthy, this leaves
Durant and Ingram vying for the final position. Durant was a second-round pick
from Hampton last season. Assumed to be athletic but raw, he instead showed
remarkable instincts and intelligence, starting eight games (including the final
six). His speed is ordinary, but the rest of his natural attributes earn high
marks. Ingram shows superior quickness, however, he occasionally struggles to
get off blocks. And he’s not great in coverage.

More evidence of Jacksonville’s unwavering commitment to ignoring popular
opinion came when they axed half of their esteemed defensive tackle tandem by
trading the oft-injured and ostensibly distracting Marcus Stroud (they got
Buffalo’s third-round pick in the deal). The move leaves Big John Henderson
in a solitary star role, something he got accustom to during Stroud’s absence
last season. Henderson will be fine without Stroud. Yes, more double teams will
find him, but at 6’7', 325, his strength in run defense has always overridden
two blockers.

Ninth-year veteran Rob Meier has long been a consummate professional and
impactful interior presence. Many feel that he’s more than capable of starting.
He is, but you still want him working in a rotation. Meier excels in the
three-technique as long as he doesn’t have to first untangle from blocks.

Depth is an issue at defensive tackle. Derek Landri is a second-year pro
from Notre Dame who could change that. Armed with a quick first step and, when
properly positioned, an even better second and third step, Landri has the
potential to flourish as an interior pass-rusher. But with the only other
defensive tackles being little-used Tony McDaniel and serial
underachiever Jimmy Kennedy, the Jaguars may want to consider sliding
veteran Paul Spicer inside.

Spicer was the team’s leading sacker last season (7.5). But with the drafting of
Derrick Harvey in the first round and Quentin Groves in the
second, not to mention the pass-rushing prowess of specialist Brent Hawkins,
Spicer’s role on the team is destined to shrink. He knows this and doesn’t like
it. Angling for a new contract (he’s currently in the final year of his deal),
Spicer joined veteran Reggie Hayward, another disgruntled starter on the
verge of losing his job, in boycotting the OTAs during the offseason. It’s
unlikely that the pass-rushing rookies will both be equipped to immediately
handle the run defense rigors of the NFL. Spicer, an excellent run-stopper, is
therefore a very valuable piece to this puzzle. (For this year, anyway.)

Whether Jacksonville’s secondary can meet Gregg Williams’s demands hinges
on how well newly acquired Drayton Florence performs as the No. 2
cornerback. Playing across from upper echelon cover corner Rashean Mathis,
Florence will undoubtedly carry a similar target on his back to the one he had
in San Diego. He does not surrender a lot of big plays, but he is susceptible to
giving up completions in bunches.

Mathis is chomping at the bit to elevate his interception total. After
registering 13 picks from ’05-’06, he had just one interception last season.
Though quarterbacks may shy away from him, Mathis’s risk-taking style of play
draws a fair number of balls to his side of the field. Generally, he comes out
the winner at the end of the day. However, penalties have been an issue at
times, as has the occasional long reception.

Brian Williams is too good to be a nickel back, which is why he’s moving
to starting free safety. His presence in centerfield shifts second-year stud
Reggie Nelson
into Sammy Knight’s vacant strong safety position. Both
Williams and Nelson can handle their new jobs, though both might be playing a
hair out of position. Nelson is a good tackler but meek hitter, and his enticing
range in coverage will be mitigated on the strong side.

Depth at cornerback is suspect. Scott Starks has never dazzled, and rookie
Trae Williams
is a project. Nelson, however, could play corner in a bind.
Experienced safety Gerald Sensabaugh (a likely starter before tearing
labrums in both shoulders last year) and Gregg Williams favorite Pierson
Prioleau
(who was with the coach in Buffalo and followed him to Washington)
are both capable of dime duties.

Special Teams

Not a lot of kickers have injury-plagued
seasons, but Josh Scobey (hamstring) did in 2007. He was 12/13 on field
goals. Scobey is 100 percent heading into this season. Punter Adam Podlesh
is decent, but esteemed special teams coach Joe DeCamillis wouldn’t mind
having his punting unit face returns on only 40 to 45 percent of Podlesh’s
boots, rather than the 52 percent of last year. (It’s the little things, you
know?)

Dennis Northcutt remains a capable punt returner. Teams kickoff to
Maurice Jones-Drew
at their own risk.




Bottom Line



It’s undeniable that this team is better than it was a year
ago. The offense is poor in style but rich in substance, thanks to the rushing
attack. The defense will hit you in the mouth (and, if Jacksonville’s young
players progress as hoped, you’ll bleed when it happens). Perhaps best of all,
Del Rio benefits from having some of the finest assistants in the business.
People may soon have to care about the Jaguars.




Myth Buster

John Henderson’s success is a product of playing alongside Marcus Stroud

It’s hard to fault people for this belief. After all, Stroud was a
three-time Pro Bowler who could destroy the run or pressure the passer. He
constantly attracted double teams, and Henderson constantly reaped the benefits.


However, the monster-sized Henderson thrived without his longtime running mate
for most of last season. When energized––which has been more often in recent
years––Henderson is an elite force. His powerful yet agile game enables him to
make plays against the run even when there are multiple blockers hanging onto
him. And his first punch in the pass rush––not to mention his long arms––makes
him a significant factor on third downs.

Henderson’s life may have been easier with Stroud next to him, but his impact on
Jacksonville’s defense is unchanged.



Open Thought

It’s remarkable the Jaguars have been able to survive the color teal like
they have. Besides a tie, name one item of men’s clothing that looks tasteful in
teal. You know teal is not a respected color––that’s why it gets mistaken for so
many other colors (aqua, turquoise, cyan…'blue-green' for those with limited
vocabulary).

What’s funny is that most would agree teal is a nice looking color. Yet, for
some reason, it’s not good when featured alone. It’s like the friend you only
enjoy hanging out with in a group.

Somehow, the Jaguars have sported teal jerseys for more than 10 years and have
looked good doing it. Having black to accentuate it has helped. (Imagine if the
team’s helmets were teal.) The Jags recognize the value of black––it’s
practically the color of their road uniforms. And, twice a year––usually on
nationally televised games––they’ll wear black jerseys.

Tuesday, July 08, 2008

Fantasy Football Search Releases Its Top 101 Fantasy Football Player Ranking

San Francisco 49ers Team Report By Any Benoit

link href="san%20francisco%20final%20blog_files/filelist.xml" rel="File-List">



SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com

Predicted: 4th

2007 record: 5-11 (3rd
NFC West)

Head Coach: Mike Nolan
(4th season)





*rookie **new veteran



ROSTER QUICK VIEW



Offense



QB: Alex
Smith
How many former No. 1 overall picks
end up fighting for their job against guys like Shaun Hill and J.T. O’Sullivan?



RB: Frank
Gore
Everything you could want in a running back (when he
actually has some blocking in front for him).



FB: Moran
Norris
A prototypical fullback: smart,
strong, hard-working and stable.



WR: Isaac
Bruce**
Brought in to share his wisdom of
Mike Martz’s offense.



WR: Bryant
Johnson**
Better than any WR they had last
season, but why is his $2 million contract only for one year?



TE: Vernon Davis Watching him go to waste in this
inept offense is like watching sand fall in an hour glass.



LT: Joe
Staley
Became the first Niner rookie
O-lineman to start all 16 games. He’s now moving over from RT to his more
natural position.



LG: Adam
Snyder
Slow feet make him a liability at OT,
which is why they’re inserting him at G.



C: Eric
Heitmann
Consummate plug-in guy who can play G
or C and at least keep the middle of your O-line afloat.



RG: David
Baas
Has never lived up to expectations; chance at starting
was jeopardized in April when he tore his right pectoral tendon.



RT: Jonas
Jennings
Has missed 32 games over his three
years in the Bay Area. It’ll be a surprise if he’s still starting come New Years.



---------------



QB: Shaun
Hill
Teammates seem to prefer him over Alex Smith, but keep
in mind, he’s only played in 2 ½ games.



RB:
DeShaun Foster**
Tenacious runner but very average
overall. Will spell Gore for four or five carries a game.



WR: Ashley
Lelie
Do you think his ego is still
inflated after catching only 10 passes last season?



WR: Arnaz
Battle
There’s a lot to like about the
former Notre Dame QB; he’s an excellent fit at slot receiver.



TE: Billy
Bajema
Might be too lanky for a blocking TE,
but the only other option here is H-back Delanie Walker.





Defense



DE: Isaac
Sopoaga
Finally started to make relevant
plays on a consistent basis last year. Niners gave him a four-year, $20 million
contract to stay.



NT:
Aubrayo Franklin
This 3-4 defense won’t fully flourish
until he’s in a more fitting backup role.



DE: Justin
Smith**
You’re about to see what 20 million
wasted dollars looks like. Good player, but not to the right fit for this
scheme.



LOLB:
Manny Lawson
Intriguing athlete who has a chance
to be a unique force for many years. Must first bounce back from torn ACL.



LILB:
Brandon Moore
Talented enough to start, but for
some reason, the Niners are always trying to replace him.



RILB:
Patrick Willis
Reigning NFL Defensive Rookie of the
Year, might already be the best LB in football.



ROLB:
Tully Banta-Cain
Game lacks spice. If he were any
blander, he’d be a rice cake.



CB: Nate
Clements
Has $22 million in guarantees to live
up to; passing but not nailing the test so far.



SS: Michael
Lewis
A huge part of both the run and pass
defense. Much closer to ’04 Pro Bowl form than people realize.



FS: Mark
Roman
Lacks awareness. Lacks consistency.
Lacks flair. How does this man keep finding starting jobs?



CB: Walt
Harris
Allergic to tackling but loves the art of
man coverage. Would be most effective defending the slot.



---------------



DL:
Kentwan Balmer*
First-round pick who can play
anywhere up front. Niners are relying heavily on his development.



LB:
Dontarrious Thomas**
Solid coverage skills make him a
likely contributor in nickel defense.



NB:
Shawntae Spencer
Good enough to start but must stop
finding comfort from the enlarged cushion he allows in coverage.







Key Acquisitions



WR Isaac Bruce (Stl)



RB DeShaun Foster (Car)



WR Bryant Johnson (Ari)



QB J.T. O’Sullivan (Det)



KR Allen Rossum (Pit)



DE Justin Smith (Cin)



LB Dontarrious Thomas (Min)

Key Losses


G Larry Allen (retired)



QB Trent Dilfer (retired)



DE Marques Douglas (TB)



WR Bryan Gilmore



OT Kwame Harris (Oak)



RB Maurice Hicks (Min)



WR Darrell Jackson (Den)



G Justin Smiley
(Mia)



LB Derek Smith (SD)



DT Bryant Young (retired)

For the second year in a row, the 49ers went on a free agent
shopping spree (and they’ll have somewhere around $20 million in cap space again
next season). Deep pockets or not, guaranteeing $20 million to Smith was
unwise. He is the quintessential 4-3
DE––it’s hard to see him thriving on a
three-man front. Johnson and Bruce are both upgrades over Gilmore and Jackson
at WR.
San Francisco will regret letting Smiley slip away. They negotiated
with him for over a year and couldn’t stop pitching lowballs. Harris never
panned out. Allen and Young were both old, but they were also the team’s best
lineman on their respective side of the ball. Young deserves Hall of Fame
consideration.


2008 - San
Francisco
49ers
Draft



Rd Sel # Player Position School

1 29 Kentwan Balmer DE North Carolina

2 39 Chilo Rachal G USC

3 75 Reggie Smith DB Oklahoma

4 107 Cody Wallace C Texas A&M

6 174 Josh Morgan WR Virginia Tech

7 214 Larry Grant OLB Ohio State

Wherever they play Balmer––DE or NT––he’ll be filling a dire need. He’s a
classic clogger. They drafted Rachal to be a G but quickly converted him to RT.
This will stunt his rookie season growth, but he’ll probably still be called on
to start at some point in ’08. Smith is a utility weapon in the secondary,
while Wallace is a player that Nolan and his staff coached in the Senior Bowl.
Morgan is a project and Grant is a special teams hopeful.

2008 San Francisco 49ers Preview Report

If the San Francisco 49ers were a public company, the
major shareholders would be calling for the CEO’s removal. Few could have
imagined the amount of talent this team would waste last season. A year ago,
the Niners completely emerged out of what fans were referring to as Salary Cap
Hell. A decade spent suffering the consequences of the Carmen Policy, Eddie
DeBartalo-created financial turmoil had rattled the once proud Football Empire
of the West. But with their accounting problems gone and the NFL’s escalated
salary cap in place, John York’s
organization turned over a new leaf. The 49ers liquidated their $30 million in
capital (i.e. cap space) and put it in the hands of Scott McCloughan, instructing the third-year GM to go out and
purchase a winning team.

Having just gone an admirable 7-9
under second-year head coach Mike Nolan,
day traders and investors took notice of what the Bay Area franchise was doing.
With young quarterback Alex Smith
and newfound star Frank Gore already
in place, the Niners’ stock soared after McCloughan orchestrated deals that
brought in free agents like cornerback Nate
Clements
, safety Michael Lewis,
linebacker Tully Banta-Cain and wide
receiver Ashley Lelie. Adding a pair
of first-round rookies––linebacker Patrick Willis
and offensive tackle Joe Staley––only
fanned the fire.

The executives at 280 Park Avenue became intrigued. They scheduled
four prime time games for the upstart club (one was later revoked). Preseason
publications were forecasting a division title, and talking heads were, as
usual, playing on the public’s emotions and augmenting the hype.



The 49ers were football’s hottest
stock. Problem was, their beta was miles above one. When fall came and injuries
and chemistry issues set in, so did the losing. None of it went away, and the
team wound up finishing 5-11.



Today, optimism for the Niners feels
a lot like $2.50 gas prices: recent yet seemingly long ago. And nowhere near
returning.
San Francisco’s problems have not come from their
new bull market mentality; most of the free agents from last year’s $40 million
class have earned their paychecks. And the team’s aggressive spending has not
come on high-interest credit. Despite awarding more than $20 million in
guarantees to defensive end Justin Smith,
wide receivers Bryant Johnson and Isaac Bruce, and running back DeShaun Foster this past offseason, the
Niners will still have around $20 million in cap space next year. And these
short-term investments are not compromising the integrity of their organic
growth, either.
San Francisco has drafted 14 players the past two
years, including three in the first round. Heading into training camp, all 14
are on the roster. Overall, McCloughan and company are doing a fine job.



This is what makes the
organization’s failures so concerning. Creating success is a tricky concept in
the NFL. A big part of it is simply managing your weaknesses. In pro football,
a team like the ’06 Colts can set records for futility in run defense yet still
win a Super Bowl. Or, a team like the ’07 Giants can be amongst the league
leaders in interceptions and dropped passes and still finish on top. Control
your weakness and exploit your opponent’s––that’s the name of the game.



There’s just one stipulation: your
weakness can’t be at quarterback, offensive line or in the coaching staff.
These three pillars are the food, water and shelter of pro football. If one of
them breaks, your whole foundation falls. Right now, all three are broken in
San Francisco.



The situation is almost bad enough
to make finger-pointing inappropriate. Pillar
One:
Quarterback Alex Smith was
the No. 1 overall draft pick in 2005. Through his first three seasons he has a
record of 6-12 as a starter, and a passer rating of 63.5. He now heads into
training camp in a three-way quarterback competition with Shaun Hill and J.T.
O’Sullivan
.



Pillar Two:
Not too long ago the offensive line looked like the cornerstone of the
franchise. There was former first-round pick Kwame Harris, second-rounders David Baas and Justin Smiley, big-money
free agent Jonas Jennings and future
Hall of Famer Larry Allen. Last year, another first-rounder, Joe Staley, was thrown into the mix. As
it’s turned out, Harris never stopped underachieving and was allowed to leave.
Baas still hasn’t achieved period. Smiley developed into a fine starter only to
join the Dolphins this year. The oft-injured
Jennings has barely been able to stay on the
field. And Allen, coming off his 11th Pro Bowl, unceremoniously
retired during the offseason. This leaves Staley, who will move from right
tackle to left tackle, and a quartet of either unproven or ungifted big men, to
occupy the trenches.



The quarterbacking and offensive
line issues are directly tied to Pillar
Three:
The shaky coaching situation. Mike
Martz
is the fourth different offensive coordinator that Alex Smith has had in his four-year
career. So far, only Norv Turner has clicked with the passer.



Additionally, Smith’s relationship with head coach Mike Nolan is iffy at best. Last year,
Nolan publicly questioned the impact that Smith’s shoulder injury had on his
poor play. The quarterback accusingly riposted that Nolan was undermining him
in the locker room. Nolan has acknowledged that Smith is his most talented
quarterback; it would take a great deal of naivety to think that the two men’s
acerbic rapport hasn’t factored into the coach’s decision to open up a
competition for the starting job.



As for Pillar Three’s relation to
the front five, offensive line coach George
Warhop
did a poor job instructing his unit in ’07. Nolan tacitly
acknowledged this when he hired Chris
Foerster
to come in and be the pass-blocking coach (Warhop stayed on as the
run-blocking director). Foerster had better straighten things out; the
coordinator he’s working for is the capricious Martz, who blamed his failures
in
Detroit on sub-par pass protection.



It’s easy to see why the market
would reject the 49er franchise. Unless egos are put aside and potential
recognized, heads will start rolling by the Bay.





Offense



It’s highly unlikely that Alex Smith won’t be the starting
quarterback when the 49ers host the Cardinals on September 7. Erratic as Smith
is, he’s still a smart guy blessed with the talent of a former No. 1 overall
pick. And, as impressive as Shaun Hill
looked in limited action last season, there’s still a reason it took six years
for him to even see such action. Smith will start, Hill will back him up, and J.T. O’Sullivan will do exactly what
the Niners brought him in to do: hold the clipboard.



O’Sullivan is the only player with
prior experience in Mike Martz’s
offense, having spent last season in
Detroit. As he learned, and as Smith will
soon learn, Martz’s Byzantine passing attack is utterly dependent on protection
from the front five. Herein lies the problem (a few problems, actually). First,
the 49ers are simply not a good pass-blocking team. They gave up the most sacks
in football last year (55), which is why they gained the fewest yards and first
downs, finished last in passing and third down offense, and averaged a
league-low 13.7 points per game (and all this was with Larry Allen and Justin Smiley).



Heading into this season,
second-year pro Joe Staley is
San Francisco’s best lineman. He must first prove
that he can handle the substantial responsibilities of an NFL left tackle. Lining
up next to Staley will be Adam Snyder,
a fifth-year pro who was drafted to play tackle but instead developed into a
utility lineman (which usually means bad tackle but so-so guard). Snyder can
mix it up inside, but his 6’6” height and questionable lower-body strength make
his job difficult. It doesn’t help that center Eric Heitmann, while intelligent and hard working, routinely has
his hands full just with his own assignments, and can’t be counted on to pick
up much slack.



The right side of the line is a
bigger problem. McCloughan views rookie Chilo
Rachal
as a poor man’s Larry Allen, which is why he drafted the USC product
early in the second round. Rachal (6’4”, 315) played guard for the Trojans
though the 49ers sporadically moved him to right tackle early in spring. This
verifies their understandable concern about veteran Jonas Jennings.
Jennings, one way or another, will likely
find himself out of the lineup at some point this season.



It would make all the sense in the
world to allow Rachal to ease into the pro game as a guard now that projected
right side starter David Baas will
be a step behind as he recovers from a weight-lifting induced torn right
pectoral muscle suffered back in late April. If Baas is unable to go, the
Niners will either start fourth-round rookie Cody Wallace at center and move Heitmann back to his original guard
position, or they’ll refer to their usual hole-plugger, Tony Wragge. Veterans acquisitions Qasim Mitchell and Jeb Terry
were once starters on other teams, many, many lifetimes ago. Today, neither has
any business running with the first unit.



Should the Niners encounter issues
with their pass-blocking––and there’s not a reasonable person who doesn’t think
they will––they’ll once again see Alex
Smith
struggle. A product of Urban Meyer’s shotgun offense at
Utah, Smith is unable to operate with
defenders in his face. His rocket arm requires a comfortable launching pad.
Heavy pressure last season resulted in a completion percentage of 48.7. Smith’s
yards per attempt was a paltry 4.7 (the league mean was 7.0).



San Francisco stayed within the NFC West to
restock its receiving corps. With last year’s starters struggling so mightily
at getting open, the Niners opted to sign reliable route runners Bryant Johnson and Isaac Bruce. Johnson was solid but never lived up to his
first-round billing in
Arizona (in part because the outbreak of
Anquan Boldin lessened his role). His speed will be a plus. Bruce is
Canton-bound and, at 35, determined to prove that he can still play. He can,
but he won’t post good numbers in this “developing” offense.



Coming off the bench will be
underappreciated Arnaz Battle and
underachieving Ashley Lelie.
Second-year wideout Jason Hill was a
third-round pick last season and should be pushing for playing time, but thus
far, he’s made very little noise since leaving
Washington State.



Of greater concern is the role of
third-year tight end Vernon Davis.
The former sixth-overall pick is a raging athlete who has the skills to be an
elite player. However, Martz’s offense has never emphasized the tight end,
which is why it’s hard to see
Davis topping his reception total of 52
from a year ago. But if all actually goes to plan, 70-80 receptions are possible.
The Niners intend to flex
Davis out to the slot more often and put
him in motion. However, they’re hesitant to have him deviate too much from his
traditional tight end functions because they value his output as a run-blocker
(which, by the way, is still improving).



Run-blocking may not matter, though,
as Martz’s stubbornness has always been demonstrated through his circumvention
of the ground game. When the passing game isn’t clicking, Martz tries to throw
his way out of it. When things get worse, he throws harder. It’s a shame
because his best player is Frank Gore,
the hearty fourth-year pro who has posted back-to-back 1,000-yard seasons.
Martz has indicated that he’ll use Gore much like he used Marshall Faulk. Novel
concept, but Gore is not Faulk. Gore is a purebred workhorse who pounds
defenses between the tackles. True, he has led the 49ers in receptions each of
the past two seasons, but that speaks more to the offense’s ineptitude than his
versatility. Gore catches dump-off passes, but he’s not someone you want to
split wide. And neither are big-bodied backups DeShaun Foster or Michael
Robinson
. All of
San Francisco’s runners are at their best when
they’re grinding behind fullback Moran
Norris
. It’s not certain if Martz has even heard of the fullback position.





Defense



Right inside linebacker Patrick Willis might be a
once-in-a-generation talent. At the very least, he’s the coigne of Mike Nolan’s
3-4 defense. Willis––who benefits from the tutelage of venerable defensive
assistant Mike Singletary, a Hall of
Fame linebacker himself––led the league with 174 tackles as a rookie last
season. He is a terrorizing blitzer, evidenced by his four sacks and 6.5
tackles for a loss. His coverage skills have plenty of room for growth, though
he is a part of both the nickel and dime packages (Willis was just one of 18
players in the league to partake in every one of his unit’s snaps last season).



The 49ers spent all offseason
looking for an adequate running mate for Willis inside. They visited with
veteran free agents Takeo Spikes and Jeremiah Trotter but ultimately decided to
stick with their home grown product, Brandon
Moore
.
Moore has been productive when given a chance, including
as a pass-rusher off the edge. He has the necessary tools to succeed in
interior run defense. However, the coaching staff has never thrown its full
support behind
Moore. If he should struggle in ’08, aging but capable
veteran Jeff Ulbrich, or steady but
ho-hum ex-Viking Dontarrious Thomas,
will get a look.



The key to any good 3-4 is having a
formidable pass rush. The Niners fall short in this sense, though that could
potentially change. It was a mistake to sign and start Tully Banta-Cain––there are calendars that are harder to figure out
than him. Banta-Cain’s unimaginative pass-rushing repertoire makes supple
third-year pro Parys Haralson all
the more intriguing. The athletic former fifth-round pick does not necessarily
have superstar potential, but if he continues to develop his strength and
aggressiveness, he’ll be a very good starter for many years.



In a lot of ways, Haralson is like a
Chinese-made version of Manny Lawson
(another third-year-pro). The 6’5”, 247-pound Lawson has rare fluidity and is
too unique to limit to only pass-rushing assignments. His versatility makes him
capable of being a star just about anywhere on the field. However, he must first
bounce back from a torn ACL that ended his season last September. Two other
linebackers to consider but not anticipate are Jay Moore, a second-year pro with pass-rushing potential, and Roderick Green, a former Raven who
possesses good explosiveness off the corner.



The Niners have the makings of a
viable linebacking core; they must hope that the front line can progress as
expected. Longtime
Bengal Justin Smith was brought in
to occupy the right defensive end slot. Smith, a classic 4-3 end who they’ll
likely move around, is not an ideal fit for base end duties in this system. He
is, however, still an enormous upgrade over the now-departed Marques Douglas. Isaac Sopoaga had his best season last year, which may or may not
have had something to do with his looming free agency.
San Francisco gave him $20 million over four
years to stay, and then moved him from reserve defensive tackle to starting
defensive end. Sopoaga has excellent strength and should thrive as an anchor on
the outside.



Everything about nose tackle Aubrayo
Franklin screams backup, which is why McCloughan drafted
North Carolina’s Kentwan Balmer in the first round. Balmer comes into the league
weighing 308 pounds, a number he’ll need to increase in order to handle the
rigors of the NFL. Don’t’ be surprised if he struggles early on.



Ray McDonald
showed okay athleticism as a third-round rookie last season, but he’s nowhere
near physical enough to play on a three-man front. If he doesn’t gambol less
and grind more, either Melvin Oliver,
Ron Fields or Atiyyah Ellison will capture his role.



The 49ers have so far seen a nice
return on their investments in cornerback Nate
Clements
and strong safety Michael
Lewis
. Clements is not quite a shutdown corner, but he’s a playmaker who
requires very little help in coverage. Lewis is a cog in the run defense,
thanks mainly to a sturdy 226-pound frame that gives him good power at the
point of attack.



Free safety Mark Roman can be a liability in coverage, which is why you may see
utility defensive back Donald Strickland
or third-round rookie Reggie Smith
crack the starting lineup at some point. Strickland is more of a special teams
player (there’s actually a cap-friendly incentive in his contract that pays him
a $7 million bonus if he blocks 15 punts this season). Smith was drafted as a
cornerback, but it’s unlikely that he’ll be able to surpass man-to-man guru Walt Harris or agile Shawntae Spencer on the depth chart.





Special Teams



Having a prolific punter can be
bittersweet. On the one hand, it’s a constant reminder of how shamefully porous
your offense is. On the other, it’s better than having a non-prolific punter.
Insert Andy Lee. One of two Pro
Bowlers on the team last year (Patrick
Willis
was the other), Lee averaged a staggering 41.0 net yards per punt,
second best in NFL history. Oddly enough, the best net punting average all-time
was established last year by the guy across the Bay (Shane Lechler, 41.1). Lee
did, however, set the NFL record for punts inside the 20, with 55.



Kicker Joe Nedney was 17/19 on field goals last season and made all of his
attempts inside 50 yards. When he’s healthy, he’s dependable. Allen Rossum, a veteran return
specialist, was brought in to handle kick and punt return duties.





Bottom Line



There are encouraging patches of
talent on this roster. In fact, there could be as many as 10 former first-round
picks in the starting lineup in ’08. The problem is, the most expensive one of
those former first-rounders is not playing up to snuff. If quarterback Alex
Smith struggles, the chemistry issues that are boiling beneath the surface of
the locker room could erupt. Considering how questionable the coaching staff
is, and how poor a fit Mike Martz’s scheme is for this offense at the moment,
disaster seems imminent.







Myth Buster



Myth: Michael Lewis is
a sub-par safety



Lewis is once again playing at the
level that sent him to the Pro Bowl as an Eagle in 2004. His physicality in run
defense has been a blessing to this team. Last season, Lewis finished second to
Patrick Willis in tackles with 105. He is a noticeable presence in the box and
a demon when left unblocked.



In coverage is where Lewis’s
struggles began in Philly. Now, confidence no longer shaken, he has gained a
commendable understanding of his assignments in Greg Manusky’s defense, making
consistent reads and plays on the ball. Lewis does not have flashy speed, which
is why he’ll never be a game-breaker. But at 226 pounds, he makes up for it by
packing a punch.







Open Thought



It is impossible to watch a 49ers
home game and not get distracted by the empty seats cornered back around the
20-yard-line. Surrounded by a red sea of fans, the bright orange seats serve as
a reminder that
Monster Park (formerly known as Candlestick) was
originally built with both the Niners and baseball’s Giants in mind. The Giants
have since moved to their own new stadium along the shores of the
China Basin. The 49ers, meanwhile, have been
bickering with local politicians for more than a decade about getting a new
home. In the meantime, television viewers will keep glancing at the bright
orange seats, noting the three or four people who always seem to be standing
amongst them, wondering why those people are standing there and if they know
how easy they are to spot on TV.





Monday, July 07, 2008

Arizona Cardinals 2008 Preview Report

ARIZONA CARDINALS
By Andy Benoit, www.NFLTouchdown.com
Predicted: 2nd
2007 Record: 8-8 (2nd NFC West)
Head Coach: Ken Whisenhunt (2nd year)

ROSTER QUICK VIEW
*rookie
**new veteran
Offense
QB: Matt Leinart Talented passer but unproven leader. Has yet to live up to his own celebrity.
RB: Edgerrin James Coming off a 1,200-yard season but lack of burst kept his average carry well under four yards.
FB: Tim Castille Lacking in experience but was able to take starting job from veteran Terrelle Smith.
WR: Larry Fitzgerald Led the NFC in receptions and yards in 2007. Not a stretch to argue that he’s the game’s best WR.
WR: Anquan Boldin Preeminent possession receiver in football. Wants a new contract but will first have to regain his 1,000-yard form. He will.
TE: Leonard Pope Terrific size makes him viable in the red zone. Must bounce back from a severe ankle injury.
LT: Mike Gandy Serviceable as long as he’s surrounded by solid players.
LG: Reggie Wells Versatility is a plus. Cards love to pull him play side in the run game.
C: Al Johnson Decent middle-man who finishes his blocks. Lack of strength, however, can be an issue.
RG: Deuce Lutui Technique leaves something to be desired, but the bottom line is he gets the job done.
RT: Levi Brown Already the key to the front five. Once he figures out the pro game, he’ll be a perennial Pro Bowler.
---------------
QB: Kurt Warner Thirty-seven years old, but didn’t come back to be a No. 2.
RB: Marcel Shipp Decent backup who can hold down the fort in a bind.
WR: Early Doucet* Lacks speed and pizzazz. Still, Cards hope he can be Bryant Johnson’s replacement in the slot.
WR: Steve Breaston Return specialist who may see more time on offense after an impressive offseason.
TE: Jerame Tuman Was a blocking specialist under Ken Whisenhunt in Pittsburgh.
OL: Elton Brown Saw time at RT last year, but his limitations give him enough problems at G.

Defense
DL: Antonio Smith Effective when energized. Oh, and when lining up near the edges.
NT: Gabe Watson Effort issues from college have not carried over, thankfully. Still, hasn’t been able to draw double teams at the pro level.
DL: Darnell Dockett Career-high nine sacks in ’07 but just one in the second half of the season. Pro Bowl impact when he maintains separation.
DE/OLB: Bertrand Berry Coming off torn triceps; has finished the last three seasons on Injured Reserve.
SILB: Gerald Hayes Fast and decisive when he’s able to sniff a play. Underrated.
WILB: Karlos Dansby Playing on one-year franchise deal. Not explosive, but remarkably solid all-around.
DE/OLB: Chike Okeafor Coming back from torn biceps tendon, may have trouble keeping his job from Travis LaBoy or Clark Haggans.
CB: Roderick Hood Has earned his money thus far but could stand to show more consistent focus.
SS: Adrian Wilson A Swiss Army Knife-type star who should regain his form after heel surgery. This defense needs him.
FS: Antrel Rolle Struggled at CB but has the cover skills to thrive at FS. Question is, does he have enough strength as a tackler?
CB: Eric Green Very physical. Criticized for not registering many interceptions. Few realize how good of a stopper he is.
---------------
DE: Calais Campbell* Rare length should make him a factor as a DE in 3-4 or a DT in 4-3.
DT: Alan Branch Carbon copy of Gabe Watson, only with slightly less power and durability.
LB: Clark Haggans** Familiar with playing in a 3-4 after spending his first eight years in Pittsburgh.
NB: Dominique Rodger-Cromartie* 4.29 speed and nice ball skills make him the potential playmaking CB that this defense has lacked since Aeneas Williams.

Key Acquisitions
CB Michael Adams (FA)
LB Clark Haggans (Pit)
DE Travis LaBoy (Ten)
DL Bryan Robinson (Cin)
QB Brian St. Pierre (Pit)
LB Matt Stewart (Cle)
TE Jerame Tuman (Pit)

Key Losses
DL Rodney Bailey (FA)
P Mitch Berger (FA)
LB Darryl Blackstock (Cin)
DT Chris Cooper (Sea)
S Terrence Holt (Car)
LB Brandon Johnson (Cin)
WR Bryant Johnson (SF)
LB Calvin Pace (NYJ)
QB Tim Rattay (FA)
OT Oliver Ross (NE)
G Keydrick Vincent (Car)

The 31-year-old Haggans is a downgrade at OLB, but the cap-strapped Cardinals couldn’t afford to overpay Pace. It’s unlikely that LaBoy––who has been a 4-3 DE his entire career––will have a huge impact. Vincent and Ross were both former Steelers whom Russ Grimm and Ken Whisenhunt allowed to leave. This puts a dent in Arizona’s depth up front, but neither player had been performing well enough to start. Holt was mediocre and became expendable when Antrel Rolle moved from CB to FS. They’ll miss Johnson early on.
Neither Antrel Rolle nor Eric Green has become a playmaker at CB, so the hope is that Rodgers-Cromartie can validate the old saying, “third time’s a charm.” Campbell needs to improve his technique in order to start. He’s 6’8” and has the wingspan of a Pterodactyl, which, at the very least, should enable him to disrupt passing lanes. Doucet lacks glamour, but they only need him to fill the slot. Coaches like Iwebema and Hightower, though neither is likely to make a significant contribution in ’08.


Rd Sel # Player Position School
1 16 D. Rodgers-Cromartie CB Tennessee State
2 50 Calais Campbell DE Miami (Fla.)
3 81 Early Doucet WR Louisiana State
4 116 Kenny Iwebema DE Iowa
5 149 Tim Hightower RB Richmond
6 185 Chris Harrington DE Texas A&M
7 225 Brandon Keith T Northern Iowa

Neither Antrel Rolle nor Eric Green has become a playmaker at CB, so the hope is that Rodgers-Cromartie can validate the old saying, “third time’s a charm.” Campbell needs to improve his technique in order so start. He’s 6’8” and has the wingspan of a Pteranodon, which, at the very least, should enable him to disrupt passing lanes. Doucet lacks glamour, but they only need him to fill the slot. Coaches like Iwebema and Hightower, though neither is likely to make a significant contribution in ’08.



2008 Arizona Cardinals Preview Report
Try all you want…you won’t succeed. It can’t be done. You can be a fan of the game, student of the game, historian of the game, whatever. It doesn’t matter. You still can’t figure out these Arizona Cardinals. Nobody can. It’s impossible. They’re too ambiguous. They’re football’s embodiment of the word maybe. They’re the 20 minutes of time you have to kill. They’re the girl who gives you her number and then never returns your call.
Start with Arizona’s record from last season: 8-8. Their PR department touts it as the team’s first non-losing season since 1998 (actually, they’re calling it their first “.500 or better season” since 1998). The plain-speak department touts it as the epitome of mediocrity. The Cardinals were 3-3 against clubs with winning records last year and 5-5 against everyone else. They went 2-2 in the first quarter of the season and 2-2 in the fourth quarter.
Given this team’s pathetic history, 8-8 is probably a building block. But still, what are they building? Second-year head coach Ken Whisenhunt is the project manager––we know that. But are we looking at groundbreaking construction or a remodeling project? Are the Cardinals building for this year or for years to come?
Starting quarterback Matt Leinart is only 25 years old and in just his third season. This makes him the foundation, right? Okay, so then what is that 37-year-old former Super Bowl champion and league MVP doing over there? Don’t say he’s a veteran backup or mentor––everybody saw Kurt Warner lead this team with 3,417 yards passing last season. And everybody knows that not all of those yards came after Leinart’s season ended with a dislocated shoulder. No, the young and the old were sharing snaps last season. And look at these recent minicamps….they’re still sharing snaps! What do we make of that?
Never mind––we’ll discuss it later. What about the defense? Defensive coordinator Clancy Pendergast’s unit ranked 17th in yards last year––more ambiguity, by the way––and heads into this season as both a 4-3 and 3-4 unit. When the Cardinals are in a 4-3, you notice how callow their run stoppers are (mainly Gabe Watson and Alan Branch). When they’re in a 3-4, you notice how worn their pass-rushers look (mainly Bertrand Berry and Chike Okeafor). Put all this together and you get a bundle of questions that the front office has been frantically trying to answer these past few years. Again, we’ll discuss this in more detail later.
One thing that isn’t ambiguous is that this franchise’s problems––four playoff appearance in 47 years––have come from the top down. Bill Bidwill has long been vilified as the worst owner in football. For decades, Bidwill refused to fully invest in the franchise that he once inherited from his father. Recently, revenue from the palatial University of Phoenix Stadium, and tighter rules against thriftiness brought forth by the NFL’s latest Collective Bargaining Agreement, appear to have sparked some life into Bidwill and his organization. Including the preseason, the Cardinals have played in front of 20 consecutive home sellout crowds. They just set a new attendance record last year. Bidwill has written more checks, which is why the team no longer has such an embarrassing free agent deficit.
Still, there’s something a little unsettling about the whole thing. There is no evidence suggesting the new stadium isn’t doing for the Cardinals what oil is doing for the Russians. Fresh money––man’s greatest masking agent––is pouring in. But it’s still going to largely the same people who are operating under the same bleak history. Who’s to say they know what they’re doing?
The Cardinals were one of the few teams to be financially strapped under the inflated $116.8 million salary cap this past offseason. They wanted to sign guard Alan Faneca but lacked the funds to give the idea any realistic consideration. They saw former first-round pick Calvin Pace finally blossom after learning a new hybrid outside linebacker role. Then they saw him leave for $22 million in guarantees from the Jets. They wound up paying $7.5 million in guarantees to Pace’s replacement, Travis LaBoy (a downgrade, as the less athletic LaBoy is essentially in the same position Pace was prior to last season).
These are just the small potatoes. Look at Larry Fitzgerald’s situation this past March and you’ll see the meat of a real potential problem. Fitzgerald agreed to a new four-year, $40 million deal. Prior to his new contract, he was due to count an astronomical $16.4 million against the cap. Unlike most clubs, Cardinals management does not put voidable years at the end of contracts for their early-round rookies. Instead they use escalator clauses. This means the Fitzgerald problem will repeat itself when Antrel Rolle’s contract nears its end, and again when Levi Browns’s deal starts to run out.
In the meantime, four of Arizona’s best players––Darnell Dockett, Anquan Boldin, Adrian Wilson and Karlos Dansby––all requested new contracts this past offseason. The team wasn’t able to accommodate any of them. (Dockett and Boldin are both Drew Rosenhaus guys and eschewed the offseason workouts.) Chances are, at least one of these four, and probably two, will have to wait until next year as well, unless Arizona is willing to lose starting cornerback Eric Green and starting defensive end Antonio Smith in free agency.
But keep in mind, these are all talented players that we’re talking about. Maybe things aren’t so ambiguous. General Manager Rod Graves has done a pretty decent job of drafting during his six-year tenure. And don’t overlook the respect that Whisenhunt and his staff have garnered since arriving last winter. All in all, maybe 8-8 isn’t so bad. Maybe it is a good building block. Recall the words of capitalism father Adam Smith: “On the road from the City of Skepticism, I had to pass through Ambiguity.”
Of course, Smith lived in a time before quarterbacks.
Offense
The only way Matt Leinart can have any less job security is if they somehow find a way to outsource quarterbacking. In his third year out of USC, the former Heisman Trophy winner is currently known more as a celebrity than as a quarterback, especially after taking a step back in 2007. Prior to separating his left shoulder in Week 5, Leinart was completing just 53.6 percent of his passes. He had four interceptions and two touchdowns and was so uncomfortable in Ken Whisenhunt’s new offense that the head coach actually pulled him in two-minute situations. Being a quarterback and sitting out the hurry up offense is akin to being a lawyer and sitting out the closing arguments.
No matter how many “right things” Leinart might say, there is nothing powerful enough to hide the look of self doubt and angst that riddles his face every time he’s told to ride the bench. A remedy for the situation––and all of Leinart’s struggles, for that matter––is for the quarterback to a.) gain a better understanding of the offense, b.) do a better job of reading defenses and c.) become more of a leader. All three are hard to do from the sideline.
Whisenhunt––who, keep in mind, was with Pittsburgh when Leinart was drafted––is notoriously hard on young passers (ask Ben Roethlisberger). This isn’t lost on Kurt Warner. The 11th-year veteran refrained from retiring and told friends that he wanted to continue his career as long as he has an opportunity to start. Since leaving St. Louis, the issue with Warner has been his lack of escapability and poor ball security. However, under new offensive line coach Russ Grimm, the Cardinals surrendered just 24 sacks last season, ranking sixth in the NFL in fewest sacks allowed per play. Not under constant pressure, Warner produced a passer rating of 89.8.
If given time to throw, Warner is obviously capable of picking apart a defense. In order to keep his job, Leinart must prove himself in this sense. It helps having Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin as his targets. The fifth-and sixth-year receivers are in the heart of their prime. Fitzgerald is coming off his second 100-catch season in three years after leading the NFC with 1,409 yards receiving. Aside from needing to be more physical––something the coaching staff has been on him about––Fitzgerald is without a serious flaw. The same is true for Boldin, a superlative possession receiver when healthy. Both men have great size and football IQ, which makes them a frightening duo that can hurt you anywhere on the field.
Whisenhunt and offensive coordinator Todd Haley do not use as many spread formations as Denny Green, which is why the Cardinals felt they could allow Bryant Johnson to walk. Third-round rookie Early Doucet will be given an opportunity to claim the No. 3 wideout job, though his lack of speed makes him essentially a vanilla version of the two starters. Don’t be surprised if return specialist Steve Breaston winds up capturing the slot duties.
Tight end Leonard Pope is a monstrous target (6’8”, 258) but it’s uncertain whether he’ll be able to bounce back from a dislocated ankle sustained last December. With former Steeler Jerame Tuman being brought in strictly for his run-blocking, it’s possible you’ll see second-year pro Ben Patrick, a fluid seventh-rounder from Delaware, crack the starting lineup this fall.
What makes Arizona’s aerial prowess all the more impressive is the absence of threat presented by the rushing attack. Running back Edgerrin James, a consummate professional, is coming off a 1,200-yard season. However, at 29 and having logged 2,849 carries in his career, James has the explosiveness of an incense stick. He has only four runs over 20 yards since arriving in the desert, his longest going for only 27.
Don’t expect Arizona to improve their 29th-ranked rushing offense much in ’08. James will handle another heavy load. Backup Marcel Shipp has been around for years and has never been a huge difference-maker. Disappointing former second-round pick J.J. Arrington lacks the patience to be a reliable contributor, particularly in the passing game. Fifth-round rookie Tim Hightower is tenacious but doesn’t offer the game-changing speed that this offense still needs at running back.
The front five has long been Arizona’s bugaboo. However, with Russ Grimm’s guidance and a finally-stabilized starting unit, signs of actual, positive change have started to flicker. Most of the flickers are coming from the right side, where second-year monster Levi Brown mans the tackle position. The fifth-overall pick from Penn State is the lynchpin up front. Blessed with 6’5”, 322-pound size and conceivably every natural gift they say you can’t teach, Brown could begin attracting Pro Bowl consideration as soon as this season. Right now, the Cardinals are being cautious about throwing too much on his plate. If they thought Brown was mentally prepared to handle a complex load, they’d play him next to versatile veteran guard Reggie Wells (the fulcrum of their run-blocking efforts). Instead, Brown is next to sloppy but effective third-year pro Deuce Lutui, while Wells occupies the left side, next to the serviceable but unspectacular Mike Gandy. In between everyone is center Al Johnson, a player who seems to typify Arizona’s offensive line. Johnson is a hard worker who can play multiple positions, but he’s hindered by a lack of power.
The Cardinals will be especially dependent on having a cohesive starting five in 2008. One injury could fell them. The only experienced backup is Elton Brown, and he’s not a player you want to rely on.


Defense
If ever there was a flex defense, this is it. Clancy Pendergast has the schematic knowledge and personnel to alternate between a three-and four-man front. The addition of Clark Haggans might be an indicator of which direction the Cardinals are headed in 2008. Haggans spent the first eight years of his career in Pittsburgh, the leading source behind today’s 3-4 movement. At 31, he no longer has great oomph to his game, but he understands the system Arizona is trying to run.
Recent history suggests that fate will push Haggans into a starting role at some point. Eleventh-year veteran Bertrand Berry usually gets injured around November––he’s finished the last three seasons on IR––and ninth-year pro Chike Okeafor will likely be rusty after having missed virtually an entire year with a torn biceps tendon. Both men will not only be fighting off Haggans but also free agent pickup Travis LaBoy and fourth-round rookie Kenny Iwebema. The Cards hope it doesn’t come to that. LaBoy has been a 4-3 defensive end his entire career and will likely need a year to transition to a two-point stance. Iwebema has impressed coaches in camp, but not enough to dispel the opinion that he’s still a bit too raw. Still, he could see spot duty in ’08.
The drafting of Miami Hurricane Calais Campbell in the second round is more evidence of a deeper commitment to a 3-4 scheme. Campbell is a multi-purpose defensive lineman who will be asked to play outside in the 3-4 and inside in the 4-3 (likely as a pass-rusher). It’s imperative that he make an early contribution; last season, Antonio Smith manned these responsibilities alone and wore down around Thanksgiving. Smith can be a force when fully energized, but he tends to loaf when fatigue sets in and double teams arrive.
Double teams also present problems to under tackle Darnell Dockett. The fifth-year pro is coming off a career year in which he registered nine sacks and 6.5 tackles for a loss. However, eight of those sacks came in the first eight games. Dockett can be dominant when he’s able to use his quickness and win the battle of initial positioning. However, he becomes an enormous liability when blockers get their bodies into him.
It’s important that Dockett play next to someone who can demand attention, preferably in the form of their own double team. Arizona recognized this when they drafted 332-pound Gabe Watson in ’06 and 331-pound Alan Branch in ’07. Both players came from Michigan and both had seen their draft stock fall amidst concerns over their commitment and motor. Thus far, effort has been a non-issue with both, but the same can’t be said for their outright effectiveness. Watson is yet to frighten opposing guards, let alone overpower them enough to command help from centers. The same goes for Branch, who showed little explosiveness as a rookie. There is still time for both to develop, but there’s no guarantee that either will step up. Before all else, Watson must ensure he is healthy. He broke his kneecap on a treadmill back in April and had to have surgery.
Linebacker Karlos Dansby’s dependability is impressive, especially considering how much he’s been moved around throughout his career. Dansby produced his customary smorgasbord of statistics last season, leading the team in tackles (99), collecting 3.5 sacks, forcing four fumbles, breaking up eight passes and intercepting three more. As a reward, he was slapped with an $8.065 million franchise tag, a tender he signed after negotiations for a long-term contract generated no traction.
The Cardinals are set to play Dansby on the weak side this season, though his so-so speed yet laudable strength make him a better fit at the Sam position. He’s good in coverage and can handle most tight ends. Middle/inside linebacker Gerald Hayes is a demon when instincts are running his show. At full force, Hayes is an augmented version of Monty Beisel, the longtime Chief who joined the team midway through 2006. Between Dansby, Hayes and Beisel the Cardinals have three good inside linebackers to fill two spots.
After ranking near the bottom in pass defense for the second straight year, Arizona has once again shaken up its secondary. Cornerback turned nickel back Antrel Rolle has been moved to free safety, where the team hopes his propensity to peek at the quarterback will naturally morph from a weakness into a strength. Rolle should do well at centerfield from a coverage standpoint, but he may not have the requisite tackling abilities.
Replacing Rolle at cornerback will be first-round rookie Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. The only thing about him that isn’t fast is the time it takes to say his name. Rodgers-Cromartie––who is the cousin of the league’s ’07 interception leader, Antonio Cromartie––has the ball skills that are missing from Eric Green’s game. Still, Rodgers-Cromartie hails from tiny Tennessee State, which is why it’s doubtful that he’ll be able to capture Green or Roderick Hood’s starting job right away. Hood is a decent cover corner but he surrenders more receptions than you’d like––including some downfield. He also tends to drop interceptions. He did, however, post 21 pass breakups last season, which tied with Terence McGee for the most in the NFL.
There isn’t a better player for Rolle to learn the safety position from than eighth-year veteran Adrian Wilson. A Pro Bowler in ’06, Wilson is a multifaceted strong safety in the same class as a Troy Polamalu or a Bob Sanders. He does most of his damage near the line of scrimmage (13 sacks from ’05-’06) though his speed and agility make him viable in the open field as well. Wilson is coming back from season-ending heel surgery but is expected to be 100 percent by training camp. With he and Rolle starting, Aaron Francisco is now undoubtedly a reserve.

Special Teams
When he’s right, kicker Neil Rackers is one of the best in the business. He has excellent range and lethal accuracy. Last season, Rackers’s confidence and comfort were rattled by his unfamiliarity with holder Mitch Berger. He missed nine of his 30 field goal attempts (Berger was eventually shown the door…Arizona’s ranking dead last in net punting also contributed to his departure).
This year, Dirk Johnson takes over the punting duties. He lost his job in Philadelphia in part because he doesn’t hold on field goals. Thus the Cardinals will still be looking for someone to handle the holding duties come training camp. Whoever it is, they’ll be catching snaps from the dependable Nathan Hodel, recipient of a four-year contract extension over the offseason.
Second-year pro Steve Breaston was drafted for his return skills. Breaston averaged 22.4 yards on kickoffs and 9.4 yards on punts last season. Such production is acceptable, though more big plays––like, say, his 73-yard touchdown return in Week 4––are expected.

Bottom Line
What happens with the quarterback situation will go a long way toward erasing the ambiguity that encompasses this team. If an identity can be established under center, and if the offensive line can stay healthy, the Cardinals offense has enough pieces to top the 400-point plateau for a second consecutive year. Defensively, a healthy unit and an upgraded secondary would give Arizona their best opportunity at overcoming the weaknesses laced throughout the front seven. Playing in the moribund NFC West certainly helps their chances. Then again, the Cardinals have teased us before.



Myth Buster
Myth: Eric Green is not a good cornerback
The fourth-year pro from Virginia Tech has taken heat for years. That’s what happens when you start 24 games and post just one interception. Fans in this numbers-oriented era label Green as a disappointment, but what many don’t acknowledge is his physicality, quickness and attitude. These are the traits that make him Arizona’s only true cover corner, and enable him to be a fierce tackler.
True, Green could stand to make more big plays, and he’s not entirely immune to giving up a few as it is. But the first job of a cornerback is to stop the opponents’ passing game, and that’s something he has done a noble job at when healthy. Green signed a one-year, $2.017 restricted free agent tender this year, which means he’ll hit the free market in 2009. It would be a mistake for Arizona to not prioritize re-signing him.


Open Thought
How many teams in the NFL are not as big as their own stadium? In other words, how many teams play in a stadium that is famous but not because of its home team? The Cardinals are one of three that come to mind (the others are the Saints and Texans). The University of Phoenix Stadium has already hosted the greatest college football game in this era (Boise State’s upset of Oklahoma in the ’07 Fiesta Bowl). It has also hosted the ’07 BCS championship and Super Bowl XLII. Considering the stadium is a popular convention center and will be the site of the 2009 NCAA Men’s Basketball West Regional, it’s unlikely that the Cardinals’ second-tier status at home will change any time soon.
As for the other two teams previously mentioned…
The Saints play in the Superdome, which will forever be remembered for Hurricane Katrina, and then for all the Super Bowls, Sugar Bowls, and Final Fours. Reliant Stadium is yet to host a Texans playoff game, but it has been the site of Super Bowl XXXVIII and is now in the rotation of venues for the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. It is also the regular home of the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo, which regularly draws over 70,000 fans.


Tuesday, July 01, 2008

The True Guru Releases The 2008 Kickers Cheat Sheets

The True Guru Releases The 2008 DEF/ST Cheat Sheets

The True Guru Releases The 2008 TE Cheat Sheets

The True Guru Releases The 2008 WR Cheat Sheets