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Wednesday, November 26, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Wide Receivers & Tight Ends



Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.

Wide Receiver & Tight Ends

Terrell Owens UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Owens unleashed a can of whoop as on the San Francisco 49ers. We aren't saying he's back, but this is a good sign. You have to start him. He has never stopped being a #1 WR, and games like this are why.


Larry Fitzgerald DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.1
Second week in a row that Fitzgerald has been downgraded. With Boldin taking TDs and Breaston taking catches his numbers are slipping. He still is a automatic start. We think this week will be big for him.


Lance Moore UPGRADED FVR: 8.5
2 Moore (Get it?) TDs. He is becoming a big target for Brees. Let's watch him the rest of the season, but for now he is a strong #2 WR.


Marques Colston UPGRADED FVR: 8.8
He barely gets an upgrade cause he got 1 catch for 70 yards and a TD. Not bad, but he's losing favor to Lance Moore.

Reggie Wayne DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.2
Wayne has had to tough week sin a row, but don't worry. We see Wayne having good game with great matchups for the Colts coming up the rest of the season.

Randy Moss UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Wow, what a game for Moss. We expect to see more of this as Cassel seems to be finding his touch and Moss is reaping the benefits.

Wes Welker UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
We like him as much as Moss. We say this primarily for a PPR league. He carries allot of value and is a stellar #2 WR.

Benard Berrian DOWNGRADED FVR: 7.8
Frorotte is killing him. He hasn't done much in 2-3 weeks and we don't see him getting better. At this point we cannot recommend starting him.

Reggie Williams UPGRADED FVR: 7.9
Williams caught a TD and 3 passes. He finally made an appearance. He has ll the ability in the world to score big fantasy points, but him and Garrard have to get on the same page. At this point, you just can't start him.

Amani Toomer UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
He's very inconsistent, but he got 4 catches and a TD week 13. If Burress is out again, Toomer makes a solid #3 FLEX WR.

Tight Ends

Tony Gonzalez UPGRADED FVR: 8.8
Great game after great game. His young QB is looking for this veteran TE constantly. We think he is the #1 TE in 2008 so far.

John Carlson UPGRADED FVR: 8.4
2 catches and 14 yards isn't the best, but add on a TD and it looks good. He's a low-end #1 TE.

Jason Witten DOWNGRADED FVR 8.4
Witten is still playing hurt and didn't do much again. He is killing owners, but the choices out there aren't better then playing a hurt Witten. Its pick your poison right now. We think Thanksgiving could be a game to redeem himself.

Dustin Keller UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
No TDs this week, but 8 catches for 87 yards. When Farve is in the red zone, he's looking for his rookie TE.

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posted by The True GURU at 1:47 AM 0 Comments

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Runningbacks


Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.


Runningbacks

Steve Slaton UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Big upgrade for Staton. Not because he had an overwhelming big game, but Ahman Green is out for the year and Slaton will see more action.

Leon Washington UPGRADED FVR: 8.3
Another 2 TDs for Washington. One sealed the game and the other was junk. Still, two TDs. I started him last week, and if you need a good FLEX player, Washington is your man.

Joseph Addai DOWNGRADED FVR 8.6
For Addai to be effective, he has to score. failed to do that or anything else for that matter.

Michael Turner UPGRADED FVR: 9.1
Turner has gone crazy and is super hot. Add another 4 TDs to his totals. He is single handily winning matchups for fantasy managers.

Thomas Jones UPGRADED FVR: 9.1
The whole Jets offense gets the upgrade. He also did get a 117 total yards and a TD. He is a #1 RB now.

Marshawn Lynch UPGRADED FVR 8.7
Another great game for Lynch. 104 total yars and a TD. Very good. He seems to be back and stronger then ever.

Adrian Peterson UPGRADED FVR: 9.2
Peterson had a solid game, but overall he been hot lately and for owners out there like me who were losing faith in the guy, he seems to back. Start AP with confidence.
Matt Forte UPGRADED FVR: 9.5
132 yards and 2 TDs, outstanding. Matt Forte has quickly turned into one of the best runningbacks in the league and s playing as well as two running backs right now. Continue to see him dominate.

Derrick Ward UPGRADED FVR 8.5
We think Ward is a great start RB in deep leagues and a solid FLEX guy in smaller leagues. He get 10+ touches a game an has been outstanding.

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posted by The True GURU at 1:23 AM 0 Comments

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 12 Review Quarterbacks


Week 12 was an outstanding week for offense. according to the numbers, the NFL put a 800 point week, so translates into alloy of fantasy points. There were 7 games that broke 50 points and many more that broke over 42. As we ready to transition into the playoffs soon, hopefully the players that sprang to life this week were your players. Here's a review of the some the quarterbacks who impacted week 12.

Quarterbacks
Eli Manning - UPGRADE FVR: 9.2
240 yards and 3 TDs was outstanding. We really liked him this week and he did not let us down. He even did it without Plaxico Burress. Jacobs will be back and his numbers should fall a bit.
Tony Romo UPGRADE FVR: 9.3
He still has the splint, but he threw three touchdowns and made Terrell happy. Thanksgiving should be just that for Romo. He will look eve better.

Kurt Warner DOWNGRADED FVR: 9.4
We are only downgrading him for the mistakes and the fact that they show they are more willing to run in TDs. Other than that it was the Giants.

Matt Cassel UPGRADED FVR: 8.9
Another 400 yards and 3 TDs. He got a big upgrade, but we think his current FVR is inflated a bit..

Tylet Thigpen UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
Another great game for the rookie QB. 2 TDs and 235 yards against the Saints. He isn't the greatest, but in a league of failing QBs he can be a savior.

Brett Farve - UPGRADED FVR: 8.4
A very nice game for the 39 year old quarterback. He scored 2 TDs and racked up 258 yards. He is still plagued with inconsistency, but he is getting into the time of the year where he dominates.

Shaun Hill UPGRADED FVR: 8.5
Hill had a great game with 3 TDs (1 running). He has had two straight good games and we see him having more. He was our pick at the beginning of the year to start and we think he will have several more great starts this year. Dallas in week 12 looks good for him.

Trent Edwards UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
We still aren't sure about Edwards, but he came alive against Kansas City for the tune of 273 yards and 2 TDs. We still don't recommend starting him, but keep an eye out.

Drew Brees UPGRADED FVR: 9.7
Brees is a monster. 5 TDs and 373 yards. He will win the Tom Brady Fantasy Stud of the year award for 2008. He is unbelievable and always start him with a smile.

Donovan McNabb DOWNGRADED FVR: 8.7
We don't know what's wrong with McNabb. He's good one week, bad the next two. You simply cannot start him and expect him to do well for you. Bench him unless Ryan Fitzpatrick is on your bench. I'd start any of the other guys in this list before McNabb.


Derek Anderson UPGRADED FVR: 8.0
Brady Quinn broke his finger, so for the rest of the year its the Derek Anderson show starring Derek Anderson. Lets see how he can do for the next 4 weeks. I wouldn't start him just yet.

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posted by The True GURU at 4:57 PM 0 Comments

Thursday, November 13, 2008

The Guru Gridiron Report: Week 11 Bench/Start Defenses

NO MORE BYE WEEKS! We may be rid of the BYE weeks, but the new challenge is weather. Since we can only check forecasts, we cannot truly determine the weather until game time. We always tell our readers to examine the weather very closely and start/bench according. We do make our recommendations based on expected weather, but that can change. Also keep an eye on your injured players. This is the time of the year where guys play hurt and don't play good. We will let you know who those guys are. Good luck in week 11.

DEFENSES AND YOU MUST START
We like Atlanta this week. They are a bit risky, but they play very well at home and they will force Cutler to make mistakes. The Carolina defense should man-handle the Detroit Lions in what we think will be a blowout. The New York Giants should have no problem hammering Joe Flacco and company. That is great matchup for them. You have to like Buffalo on Monday night football in a must win scenario. Start them. The Green Bay Vs. Chicago game will be a battle of defenses and we figure a relatively low scoring games with sacks and turnovers. Without a doubt we figure on at least 2 defensive/Special Teams TDs. We are just not sure who gets them. Finally, the San Francisco defense plays the beat up Rams at home and should be able to rack up some big points against Bulger and company. A great slide in start if you can get them.

Others: Chicago, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Miami

Other DEFENSES To Consider Starting With Some Risk
Tennessee is a bit of a risk this week. This game has upset written all over it. Jacksonville needs a win badly, they are at home, and gelling very well. You have to start Tennessee if you own them, but temper your expectations cause it just won't be there. On the flip side, we like Jacksonville, but they are a risk. They need to able to stop Collins. If they do that they make a great defense and we say start them. Arizona is a risky defense that won't start this week. After getting pushed around by San Francisco at home we don't have the confidence to start them on the road against Seattle. Of course on paper its a good matchup, even with Hasselbeck coming back.
Others: Minnesota, Dallas, Washington

Please Bench These DEFENSES

Atlanta, New Orleans, Houston, Denver, Seattle, Oakland, Detroit, Kansas City, Baltimore, Cleveland, San Diego

Sleeper Defenses

We really like Bob Sanders and the Indianapolis defense this week at home against Houston. We expect them to keep the game somewhat low scoring and force some turnovers and sacks. A deep sleeper defense is the St. Louis Rams defense. They can force some turnovers and confuse Shaun Hill. However, it is a deep deep sleeper with lots of risk.

The True Guru



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posted by The True GURU at 10:34 PM 0 Comments

Fantasy Playoffs Weeks 14-16 NFL Strength of Schedule Analysis

Written By AJ "The Guru Eh!" Pelletier

Here is the Strength of Schedule for weeks 14-16 (17) I am going to explain how I came up with the numbers. A team is rewarded 1 point for a win, 2 points for a high scoring offensive output and 1 point if the game is played in a warm weather climate or venue. If I predict the team is to score an average or below average amount of points in the game then they will only receive 1 point. A perfect game is 4 points and what you will soon see is that the Indianapolis Colts have a perfect schedule for those weeks.
IMPORTANT: If a team has a very low number it doesn’t mean that the running backs don’t have great value. Check comments on the Buffalo Bills. Check the spreadsheets for all the numbers broken down week to week for each team

TOP 5 SCHEDULES
COLTS = 12: The Colts I predict have the easiest schedule and with two home games back to back in week 14 and 15 against the Bengals and Lions. Trust me neither cat will keep this game close as for the first time in a long while the Manning and crew has to win games late in the year to make the playoffs. In week 16 a game in sunny Jacksonville will mean a lot more to Indy than to the Jags.
CARDINALS = 11: They too have aback to back home games on week 14 and 15 against the Rams and the Vikings followed by a cold weather game in New England.
SAINTS = 10: The high scoring Saints will be at home to the Falcons, then in chilly Chicago and the in Detroit on week 16.
VIKINGS = 10: Starting on the road for the first two in Detroit and then Arizona they then continue their quest for the playoffs with a game at home against Atlanta.
49ers = 10: In week 14 the 49ers host the Jets and then travel to Miami and then to their division rival the St. Louis Rams.

THE REST OF THE NFL

FALCONS = 8 – 3 tough games against teams with playoffs hopes; 2 divisional match ups and 2 on the road.
RAVENS = 7 – 3 very tough games against 3 highly ranked teams with great defenses.
BILLS = 3 – 2 cold weather games and another in week 17. Lynch will see a lot of carries.
PANTHERS = 7 – 2 home games and then playing the Giants when they might be on glide.
BEARS = 6 – All 3 games at home in the cold against the well tanned Jags, the boyz on Mardi gras and the cheese heads.
BENGALS = 6 – Ugly Schedule for all 3 games
BROWNS = 7 – 2 away games and then home to the Bengals.
COWBOYS = 8 – In very tough as they start with a road game in Pittsburgh and then home to the Giants and Ravens.
BRONCOS = 9 – Decent teams to score against and should look to surpass team scoring records.
LIONS = 6 – Will lose all three in ugly fashion.
PACKERS = 9 – Average schedule with the only question being can Rodgers close out the season.
TEXANS = 9 – Two road games finishing in Oakland in week 16.
JAGUARS = 6 – From winning the super bowl (predictions were they would to finishing close to 500% while teams they play continue to play beyond week 17.
CHEIFS = 8 – week 13 in Oakland, 14 Denver and home to San Diego in week 15. With everyone scoring against the AFC WEST the chiefs will do the same.
DOLPHINS = 9 – Very soft schedule as they do play in cold but against 3 teams not going to the playoffs.
PATRIOTS = 9 – Soft start in Seattle then Oakland, finishing in Arizona while the Cards will be already preparing for their playoff berth.
GIANTS = 9 – Tough match ups against Philly, on the road in Dallas and then home to Carolina.
JETS = 9 – In San Fran and Seattle while week 15 splits them at home to the Bills
RAIDERS - 6 – Lose, lose and lose. Enough said baby.
EAGLES = 8 – 2 divisional games on the road with a home game against the Browns.
STEELERS = 7 – games against 3 playoff hopefuls.
CHARGERS = 9 – Games against the Raiders, Chiefs, and then they travel to sunny in Tampa Bay. A very good schedule to score points for fantasy teams and pick up some needed late season fantasy wins.
SEAHAWKS = 7 – Home to the Pats and Jets with a road game against the lowly Rams.
RAMS = 8 – In Arizona then home for two division battles against Seattle and San Fran.

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posted by The True GURU at 9:17 PM 0 Comments

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Fantasy Football Search Releases its Annual Top 25 Busts

Last year we released our top 15 busts. In 2008 Fantasy Football Search and The True Guru release the top 25 busts.

Fantasy Football Search's Top 25 Busts

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posted by The True GURU at 2:01 AM 0 Comments